PPM Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Doncaster

Doncaster

16:20

PPM Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2024-07-11

Distance 6f2y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,320

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (8)	Flowstate Bay J:Mark Winn(3) T:David O'Meara	J:Mark Winn(3) T:David O'Meara	137	—	1	-	85	74	22d	—	—	-9	18.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Promising winning debut over 6f on soft at Ripon three weeks ago; surely more to come
2 (7)	Air Force Indi Bay J:Sam James T:K R Burke	J:Sam James T:K R Burke	132	—	15-	90	97	69	308d	—	—	-2	25.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Won on debut then fifth in Group 3 at 2; off ten months but remains a useful prospect
7 (9)	Tourist Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Hilal Kobeissi	J:Richard Kingscote T:Hilal Kobeissi	130	—	-43324	75	91	84	28d	—	—	-2	17.9	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Has fair form but 0-10 and well below best when fourth on soft at Yarmouth latest
4 (3)	Istanblue Bay J:Jason Hart T:Amy Murphy	J:Jason Hart T:Amy Murphy	130	t	5-2	-	83	-	26d	—	—	-3	8.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Both runs in France, finishing fair second over 1m on soft turf latterly; down 2f in trip
5 (2)	Mavericko Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Best watched on debut unless the betting vibes are strong
3 (4)	Formby Chestnut J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Bred to have a future and needs checking out in betting on debut
8 (1)	Wiggins B Bay J:Ben Robinson T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Ben Robinson T:David & Nicola Barron	130	—	00	-	45	22	30d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Has come in well held on both his outings to date and looks more one for handicaps
9 (5)	Milaikka Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Rae Guest	J:Callum Shepherd T:Rae Guest	125	—	06	-	43	18	16d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Related to winners but hasn't beaten a rival in two outings over 6f in recent months
6 (6)	Spellbinding Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Alex French	J:Phil Dennis T:Alex French	130	—	5	-	-	-	10d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Lost many lengths at start when distant last of five on recent AW debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Flowstate	2/1	2/1	9/4	5/2	2/1
Air Force Indi	5/2	5/2	2/1	2/1	5/2
Tourist	7/2	10/3	10/3	3/1	10/3
Istanblue	15/2	7/1	6/1	15/2	7/1
Mavericko	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Formby	12/1	12/1	16/1	12/1	12/1
Wiggins B	200/1	125/1	80/1	100/1	125/1
Milaikka	150/1	125/1	80/1	80/1	125/1
Spellbinding	200/1	150/1	80/1	100/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Air Force Indi

25.4

OR: 10 Form: 7 Odds: 8.4

5/2

2nd

Flowstate

18.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 8.4

5/2

3rd

Tourist

17.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 5.9 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Istanblue

8.1

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Mavericko

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Formby

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

16/1

Wiggins B

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Milaikka

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Spellbinding

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Air Force Indi	90	97	69
Tourist	75	91	84
Flowstate	—	85	74
Istanblue	—	83	—
Mavericko	—	—	—
Formby	—	—	—
Wiggins B	—	45	22
Milaikka	—	43	18
Spellbinding	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Spellbinding	10d ago	Quick return
Milaikka	16d ago	Fit
Flowstate	22d ago	Fit
Istanblue	26d ago	Fit
Tourist	28d ago	Fit
Wiggins B	30d ago	Fit
Air Force Indi	308d ago	Long break
Mavericko	—	—
Formby	—	—