My Pension Expert July Cup Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series)

Newmarket (July)

16:35

Date 2024-07-13

Distance 6f

Class Class 1

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £340,260

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (6)	Inisherin Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	128	—	2-1611	117	127	106	22d	—	—	-7	33.6	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Two convincing wins since dropped to 6f, latest in the Commonwealth Cup; highly respected
12 (5)	Vandeek Grey J:James Doyle T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:James Doyle T:Simon & Ed Crisford	128	—	1111-3	119	124	110	49d	—	—	+9	24.7	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Soft ground possibly not ideal on sole run this term; otherwise an exciting prospect
11 (4)	River Tiber Bay J:Ryan Moore T:A P O'Brien	J:Ryan Moore T:A P O'Brien	128	—	133-38	114	121	89	21d	—	—	+8	19.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Trainer has won this prize a few times with 3yos dropping back to sprinting; shortlisted
3 (12)	Kinross Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	134	—	1122-2	116	126	115	14d	—	—	+15	24.2	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Grand campaigner; good chance on peak form; finished third in this race 12 months ago
4 (11)	Mill Stream Bay J:William Buick T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:William Buick T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	134	—	68-213	114	123	105	21d	—	—	+11	17.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Solid record this term, most recently third in 6f Group 1 at Royal Ascot; not ruled out
10 (9)	Jasour Grey J:Jim Crowley T:Clive Cox	J:Jim Crowley T:Clive Cox	128	—	189-13	110	121	96	22d	—	—	+10	16.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Good third to Inisherin in the Commonwealth Cup; won the July Stakes here a year ago
5 (3)	Mitbaahy Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Charles Hills	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Charles Hills	134	—	1-4717	113	122	103	21d	—	—	+20	23.7	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Never landed a blow at Royal Ascot last time, taking Group 1 form figures to 887
7 (7)	Swingalong Chestnut J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	131	—	144-82	111	123	110	21d	—	—	+12	16.3	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Has a consistent record in Group 1 races; second to Khaadem at Royal Ascot latest
2 (1)	Khaadem Brown J:Billy Loughnane T:Charles Hills	J:Billy Loughnane T:Charles Hills	134	—	575-01	116	125	112	21d	—	—	+14	17.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Unlikely to follow up his latest Royal Ascot success; beaten twice in this contest
1 (10)	Art Power Grey J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	134	—	1-0540	114	125	95	21d	—	—	+21	23.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Fourth in this race in 2021 and 2023; behind several of these opponents on latest start
8 (8)	Vadream Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	131	—	-32805	102	120	109	21d	—	—	+14	15.5	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Suited by soft/heavy; comfortably held in this contest last year; Group 1 record is 0-9
NR (2)	Regional Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	134	t	151-22	114	125	117	25d	—	—	—	16	—	—
Won last year's Haydock Sprint Cup; creditable second in both runs this term; in the mix

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Inisherin	5/4	6/5	6/5	11/8	6/5
Vandeek	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
River Tiber	15/2	15/2	7/1	13/2	7/1
Kinross	9/1	17/2	8/1	15/2	17/2
Mill Stream	12/1	12/1	12/1	10/1	12/1
Jasour	12/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	12/1
Mitbaahy	22/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Swingalong	18/1	22/1	22/1	18/1	22/1
Khaadem	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Art Power	40/1	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Vadream	80/1	100/1	80/1	50/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Inisherin

33.6

OR: 16.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 13.3

11/8

2nd

Vandeek

24.7

OR: 17.3 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

5/1

3rd

Kinross

24.2

OR: 16.5 Form: 5 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Mitbaahy

23.7

OR: 15.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1

25/1

Art Power

23.6

OR: 16 Form: 7 Odds: 0.6

50/1

River Tiber

19.3

OR: 16 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Mill Stream

17.9

OR: 16 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Khaadem

17.5

OR: 16.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Jasour

16.9

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Swingalong

16.3

OR: 15.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Regional

OR: 16 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Vadream

15.5

OR: 13 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Vandeek	119	124	110
Inisherin	117	127	106
Kinross	116	126	115
Khaadem	116	125	112
River Tiber	114	121	89
Mill Stream	114	123	105
Art Power	114	125	95
Regional	114	125	117
Mitbaahy	113	122	103
Swingalong	111	123	110
Jasour	110	121	96
Vadream	102	120	109

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Kinross	14d ago	Fit
River Tiber	21d ago	Fit
Mill Stream	21d ago	Fit
Mitbaahy	21d ago	Fit
Swingalong	21d ago	Fit
Khaadem	21d ago	Fit
Art Power	21d ago	Fit
Vadream	21d ago	Fit
Inisherin	22d ago	Fit
Jasour	22d ago	Fit
Regional	25d ago	Fit
Vandeek	49d ago	Fresh