Byerley Stud British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

Salisbury

18:15

Date 2024-07-13

Distance 6f213y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,400

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (8)	Royal Playwright Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-20	8.9	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Out of owner's Juddmonte International winner Arabian Queen; very interesting newcomer
10 (10)	Original Outlaw Brown J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Ralph Beckett	133	—	73	-	88	65	17d	—	—	-13	9.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Out of a well-connected mare; close third in 6f AW maiden last month; good chance here
3 (2)	Defence Missile Bay J:George Downing T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:George Downing T:Eve Johnson Houghton	133	—	28	-	83	66	21d	—	—	-10	8.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Second of 20 on debut at Newbury; found Royal Ascot too hot last month
2 (1)	Canvas Bay J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Martyn Meade	J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Martyn Meade	133	—	54	-	86	58	21d	—	—	-9	3.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Fourth in quite valuable 7f Haydock maiden last month; big player on stable debut
5 (5)	Fernando Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Ed Walker	J:Ross Coakley T:Ed Walker	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
First foal from a Group-placed 2yo winner; well worth a glance in the betting
4 (3)	El Madar Bay J:Adam Farragher T:Charles Hills	J:Adam Farragher T:Charles Hills	133	—	6	-	70	29	27d	—	—	-3	1.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Never really looked dangerous when sixth here (6f) on debut but should improve
9 (11)	Meeghat Chestnut J:Sam Hitchcott T:Richard Hannon	J:Sam Hitchcott T:Richard Hannon	133	—	7	-	71	56	9d	—	—	-3	1.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Made just a mildly encouraging debut last week but ought to learn from that experience
6 (6)	Hawaii Five O Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry Charlton	J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry Charlton	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Out of a Listed 2yo winner; already gelded, but still makes appeal on paper
8 (4)	Lightening Mann Bay J:George Bass(3) T:Jack Channon	J:George Bass(3) T:Jack Channon	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
40,000gns yearling; first foal from a fair middle-distance winner; may find 7f a bit sharp
1 (9)	Bracklesham Bay Bay J:Nicola Currie T:Jamie Osborne	J:Nicola Currie T:Jamie Osborne	133	—	76	-	54	39	10d	—	—	-2	0.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Soundly beaten on both starts but was very strong in the betting on latter occasion
12 (12)	Tap Dancer Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Marcus Tregoning	J:Joey Haynes T:Marcus Tregoning	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	20.00/1	80/1 1%
4,000gns yearling; half-sister to four winners; may need further than 7f to show her best
7 (13)	Laplander Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Tom Ward	J:Liam Keniry T:Tom Ward	133	—	—	-	56	40	30d	—	—	-1	0.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Always towards rear when 125-1 for last month's debut at Newbury (6.5f)
13 (7)	Telford Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Hughie Morrison	J:Darragh Keenan T:Hughie Morrison	128	—	09	-	49	-	23d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Unable to land any sort of blow on either of last month's 6f starts; up in trip today

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Royal Playwright	9/4	9/4	2/1	85/40	9/4
Original Outlaw	3/1	3/1	11/4	3/1	3/1
Defence Missile	4/1	4/1	9/2	4/1	4/1
Canvas	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2	6/1
Fernando	11/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	11/1
El Madar	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	20/1
Meeghat	20/1	20/1	18/1	18/1	20/1
Hawaii Five O	25/1	25/1	28/1	22/1	25/1
Lightening Mann	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1	28/1
Bracklesham Bay	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Tap Dancer	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Laplander	125/1	100/1	125/1	125/1	125/1
Telford	125/1	150/1	125/1	125/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Original Outlaw

9.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 6.7

3/1

2nd

Royal Playwright

8.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

9/4

3rd

Defence Missile

8.9

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5.4

9/2

Canvas

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Fernando

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

El Madar

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Meeghat

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Hawaii Five O

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Lightening Mann

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Bracklesham Bay

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Tap Dancer

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Laplander

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Telford

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Royal Playwright	—	—	—
Original Outlaw	—	88	65
Defence Missile	—	83	66
Canvas	—	86	58
Fernando	—	—	—
El Madar	—	70	29
Meeghat	—	71	56
Hawaii Five O	—	—	—
Lightening Mann	—	—	—
Bracklesham Bay	—	54	39
Tap Dancer	—	—	—
Laplander	—	56	40
Telford	—	49	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Meeghat	9d ago	Quick return
Bracklesham Bay	10d ago	Quick return
Original Outlaw	17d ago	Fit
Defence Missile	21d ago	Fit
Canvas	21d ago	Fit
Telford	23d ago	Fit
El Madar	27d ago	Fit
Laplander	30d ago	Fit
Royal Playwright	—	—
Fernando	—	—
Hawaii Five O	—	—
Lightening Mann	—	—
Tap Dancer	—	—