Irish Stallion Farms EBF Race – Navan

Navan

16:10

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Race

Date 2024-07-13

Distance 1m2f40y

Class

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize €12,980

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (3)	The Equator Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:A P O'Brien	J:Declan McDonogh T:A P O'Brien	136	—	4-145	101	107	96	24d	—	—	-17	27.8	0.23/1	10/11 52%
Seemingly regarded as a stayer so drop back in trip may not play to his strengths
6 (2)	Sumptuary Law Bay J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	131	—	231-11	89	99	65	11d	—	—	-4	15.5	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Filly thriving, up 14lb for two handicap wins; upped in class here but could go well
3 (4)	Naval Force Bay J:Gavin Ryan T:Donnacha Aidan O'Brien	J:Gavin Ryan T:Donnacha Aidan O'Brien	136	—	14-10	91	92	75	23d	—	—	+1	13.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Quick ground at Ascot probably didn't suit but potential remains
1 (6)	Going Remote Bay J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	136	p	-89221	87	92	85	21d	—	—	+17	28.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Progressive handicapper with ground to suit but needs to step up again here
2 (1)	Inner Success Bay J:W J Lee T:K J Condon	J:W J Lee T:K J Condon	136	—	641	87	96	52	40d	—	—	+16	20.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Front-running Gowran maiden winner with likely more to offer but needed
5 (5)	Vestigia Brown J:Robbie Colgan T:Ms Sheila Lavery	J:Robbie Colgan T:Ms Sheila Lavery	136	t	26-158	95	95	70	40d	—	—	+8	12.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Elevated rating due to Gallinule fifth (2l off The Equator) not sure he can run to that

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
The Equator	evn	10/11	10/11	10/11	evn
Sumptuary Law	10/3	10/3	3/1	10/3	16/5
Naval Force	8/1	13/2	7/1	7/1	7/1
Going Remote	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	7/1
Inner Success	18/1	16/1	18/1	16/1	16/1
Vestigia	22/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	18/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Going Remote

28.6

OR: 9.3 Form: 16 Odds: 3.3

7/1

2nd

The Equator

27.8

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 15

10/11

3rd

Inner Success

20.6

OR: 9.3 Form: 10 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Sumptuary Law

15.5

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Naval Force

13.9

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

8/1

Vestigia

12.6

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
The Equator	101	107	96
Vestigia	95	95	70
Naval Force	91	92	75
Sumptuary Law	89	99	65
Going Remote	87	92	85
Inner Success	87	96	52

Last Run