Afternoon Tea At Western House Hotel Handicap

Ayr

16:03

Date 2024-07-15

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,664

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (1)	Atomise Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	137	—	0-2323	58	69	60	7d	—	—	-16	10	0.56/1	9/4 31%
0-18 in handicaps but placed in all 4 runs this year, including C&D last week; e-w shout
5 (4)	Ramon Di Loria Chestnut J:Rowan Scott T:Ewan Whillans	J:Rowan Scott T:Ewan Whillans	138	—	464473	59	68	61	9d	—	—	-7	10.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Finished with a flourish at Carlisle nine days ago (5f); one to take seriously
4 (6)	Mighty Power Grey J:Jason Hart T:Stella Barclay	J:Jason Hart T:Stella Barclay	139	—	-13680	60	69	42	46d	—	—	-7	10.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
0-12 on turf but returning to better ground a plus; J Hart a good booking for the yard
2 (11)	Water Of Leith Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	141	—	61-232	62	72	55	112d	—	—	-5	6.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Two of his three turf wins have come here; in good form on AW when last seen in March
10 (2)	Sound Of Iona Chestnut J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	126	—	670804	47	68	49	13d	—	—	-6	2.2	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Losing run stands at 22 despite a big drop in the weights; others look safer
8 (9)	Flavius Titus Chestnut J:Sam James T:Danny Brooke	J:Sam James T:Danny Brooke	128	b	575-38	49	68	40	21d	—	—	-6	2.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Promising return on AW in May but latest Thirsk run a backward step; others are stronger
7 (8)	Zebra Star Grey J:Paddy Mathers T:R Mike Smith	J:Paddy Mathers T:R Mike Smith	136	h	4-1798	57	67	41	7d	—	—	-2	3.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Made all over 7f here in May; less good since but returning to a Class 6 in her favour
13 (5)	Amerigo Vespucci Bay J:Cam Hardie T:John Wainwright	J:Cam Hardie T:John Wainwright	119	p	167936	46	69	64	10d	—	—	-1	3.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Drops in trip with something to prove; tongue-tie left off again
12 (7)	Earn Your Stripes Bay J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:R Mike Smith	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:R Mike Smith	124	p	545-04	45	68	42	18d	—	—	-3	1.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Won this in 2022 and fourth last year; more promise at Hamilton last time; each-way shout
11 (12)	Groove Inn Brown J:Joanna Mason T:Mark Walford	J:Joanna Mason T:Mark Walford	125	—	678-0	52	65	-	57d	—	—	-1	1	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Yet to show much, including on handicap debut in May; too much to prove
9 (10)	Chookie Dunedin Bay J:Tom Eaves T:R Mike Smith	J:Tom Eaves T:R Mike Smith	127	—	980-07	48	61	72	18d	—	—	-1	0.5	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Not beaten many rivals in seven runs for this yard; hard to recommend at present
NR (13)	Wee Fat Mac Bay J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Iain Jardine	J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Iain Jardine	142	t	323753	63	69	53	2d	—	—	—	8.2	—	—
On a dangerous mark and ran best race this summer when 3rd at Hamilton on Saturday
NR (3)	Giselles Izzy Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	145	—	108331	66	71	59	2d	—	—	—	17.6	—	—
All turf wins at Hamilton, the latest on Saturday night; placed in all three C&D runs

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Atomise	-	9/4	2/1	9/4	2/1
Ramon Di Loria	-	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Mighty Power	-	9/2	4/1	7/2	9/2
Water Of Leith	-	13/2	6/1	11/2	13/2
Sound Of Iona	-	10/1	10/1	17/2	10/1
Flavius Titus	-	12/1	11/1	9/1	11/1
Zebra Star	-	16/1	14/1	14/1	16/1
Amerigo Vespucci	-	22/1	20/1	20/1	22/1
Earn Your Stripes	-	25/1	22/1	18/1	22/1
Groove Inn	-	66/1	50/1	40/1	66/1
Chookie Dunedin	-	80/1	50/1	50/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Giselles Izzy

17.6

OR: 4 Form: 13.6 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Ramon Di Loria

10.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 3 Odds: 5.2

4/1

3rd

Mighty Power

10.4

OR: 2.5 Form: 2.9 Odds: 5

9/2

Atomise

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 8

9/4

Wee Fat Mac

8.2

OR: 3.3 Form: 4.9 Odds: 0

—

Water Of Leith

6.3

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Amerigo Vespucci

3.2

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Zebra Star

3.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Sound Of Iona

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Flavius Titus

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Earn Your Stripes

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Groove Inn

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Chookie Dunedin

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Giselles Izzy	66	71	59
Wee Fat Mac	63	69	53
Water Of Leith	62	72	55
Mighty Power	60	69	42
Ramon Di Loria	59	68	61
Atomise	58	69	60
Zebra Star	57	67	41
Groove Inn	52	65	—
Flavius Titus	49	68	40
Chookie Dunedin	48	61	72
Sound Of Iona	47	68	49
Amerigo Vespucci	46	69	64
Earn Your Stripes	45	68	42

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Wee Fat Mac	2d ago	Quick return
Giselles Izzy	2d ago	Quick return
Atomise	7d ago	Quick return
Zebra Star	7d ago	Quick return
Ramon Di Loria	9d ago	Quick return
Amerigo Vespucci	10d ago	Quick return
Sound Of Iona	13d ago	Quick return
Earn Your Stripes	18d ago	Fit
Chookie Dunedin	18d ago	Fit
Flavius Titus	21d ago	Fit
Mighty Power	46d ago	Fresh
Groove Inn	57d ago	Fresh
Water Of Leith	112d ago	Long break