Thames Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div II) – Windsor

Windsor

18:50

Thames Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div II)

Date 2024-07-15

Distance 1m31y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,320

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (2)	Roi De France Brown J:Oisin Murphy T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Oisin Murphy T:John & Thady Gosden	133	—	2-2	-	98	84	21d	—	—	-22	23.5	0.25/1	Evens 50%
Pipped by a stablemate when 2-5 over C&D but the form makes him one of two leading players
1 (7)	Amphius Bay J:William Buick T:Harry Charlton	J:William Buick T:Harry Charlton	133	—	42	-	97	72	45d	—	—	-18	15.6	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Brings high standard for novice races but he meets one with similar form in Roi De France
5 (3)	Northern Ruler Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.3	2.00/1	8/1 11%
500,000gns yearling by Kingman; first foal; dam unraced from a superb Juddmonte family
9 (1)	Raheena Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon & Ed Crisford	128	—	5-5	-	87	35	56d	—	—	-8	3.3	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Sole 2yo run was much better than reappearance; stiff task against two of today's rivals
2 (4)	Anhydrous Bay J:David Probert T:Hugo Palmer	J:David Probert T:Hugo Palmer	133	t	76	-	70	45	49d	—	—	-1	0.2	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Weakened right out of it in novice events at Windsor (1m) and Leicester (1m2f)
7 (5)	Bayadere Bay J:Jay Mackay(7) T:Michael Bell	J:Jay Mackay(7) T:Michael Bell	128	—	47	-	70	64	23d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Major work to do, for all that this shorter trip could suit judged on pedigree
4 (8)	Endeavours Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Tom Ward	J:Hector Crouch T:Tom Ward	133	t	—	-	26	14	59d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
100-1, no show in maiden at Newbury (1m2f, good) in May; wind op since and tongue tied now
8 (9)	Drusilla Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Callum Shepherd T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	128	—	00	-	56	45	21d	—	—	0	0.1	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Big odds when last at Haydock (1m2f, good) and second last over C&D (good to firm)
NR (6)	Edwardtheninth Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Marcus Tregoning	J:NON-RUNNER T:Marcus Tregoning	133	—	09	-	63	53	15d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Always behind after a slow start on both outings, despite a big market move on latest

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Roi De France	5/6	10/11	10/11	Evens	10/11
Amphius	13/8	6/4	6/4	13/8	13/8
Northern Ruler	8/1	15/2	8/1	8/1	15/2
Raheena	8/1	7/1	7/1	11/2	7/1
Anhydrous	100/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	100/1
Bayadere	125/1	150/1	125/1	80/1	125/1
Endeavours	250/1	125/1	125/1	150/1	125/1
Drusilla	250/1	200/1	150/1	150/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Roi De France

23.5

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 15

Evens

2nd

Amphius

15.6

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 10.6

13/8

3rd

Northern Ruler

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

8/1

Raheena

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

8/1

Anhydrous

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Bayadere

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Endeavours

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Drusilla

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250/1

Edwardtheninth

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Roi De France	—	98	84
Amphius	—	97	72
Northern Ruler	—	—	—
Raheena	—	87	35
Anhydrous	—	70	45
Bayadere	—	70	64
Endeavours	—	26	14
Drusilla	—	56	45
Edwardtheninth	—	63	53

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Edwardtheninth	15d ago	Fit
Roi De France	21d ago	Fit
Drusilla	21d ago	Fit
Bayadere	23d ago	Fit
Amphius	45d ago	Fit
Anhydrous	49d ago	Fresh
Raheena	56d ago	Fresh
Endeavours	59d ago	Fresh
Northern Ruler	—	—