Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle – Killarney

Killarney

18:02

Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle

Date 2024-07-18

Distance 2m4f85y

Class

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €7,670

Runners (19)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
15	La Hacienda Bay J:James Smith(4) T:Matthew J Smith	J:James Smith(4) T:Matthew J Smith	154	p	00P/31	102	121	85	11d	—	—	-2	19.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Up 12lb for recent Sligo but win but remains nicely handicapped compared to the Flat
3	Major Barry Bay J:Charlie O'Dwyer(2) T:John E & Thomas Kiely	J:Charlie O'Dwyer(2) T:John E & Thomas Kiely	163	—	P7-201	111	103	87	10d	—	—	+6	18.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Recent 2m5f Roscommon maiden; more needed here on handicap debut but possible
6	Bella Bliss Bay J:Alex Harvey(4) T:John C McConnell	J:Alex Harvey(4) T:John C McConnell	161	t	34-272	109	124	68	18d	—	—	+4	19.2	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Recent Cartmel chase second; trip/ground okay for hurdles return off 9lb lower mark
4	Optional Mix Bay J:Aidan Kelly(2) T:Eoin Doyle	J:Aidan Kelly(2) T:Eoin Doyle	163	t	0U-621	111	113	-	31d	—	—	+7	18.3	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Recent Kilbeggan chase win a career-best; back hurdling here off a 16lb lower mark
8	Teagarden Jazz Bay J:Danny Gilligan T:Gordon Elliott	J:Danny Gilligan T:Gordon Elliott	161	t	/F-082	109	118	110	13d	—	—	+8	17.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Recent Cork second a career-best; 3lb higher now and this a better race
11	Mercury Mission Bay J:Tiernan Power Roche(4) T:Michael John O'Connor	J:Tiernan Power Roche(4) T:Michael John O'Connor	157	—	350-48	105	119	61	47d	—	—	+9	15.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Penultimate C&D fourth gives him claims of sorts
12	One Night Standard Bay J:Jack Kearney(2) T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Jack Kearney(2) T:Gavin Cromwell	156	—	655-13	104	113	91	32d	—	—	+8	15.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Didn't count on quicker ground on handicap debut last month; may need easier ground
2	Wandering Rocks Chestnut J:Oakley Brown(2) T:William Durkan	J:Oakley Brown(2) T:William Durkan	168	t	387-14	116	120	88	40d	—	—	+12	18.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Upped in trip here for handicap debut and still potential for more
9	Navigator Jack Bay J:Ethan O'Sullivan(4) T:Eoin Griffin	J:Ethan O'Sullivan(4) T:Eoin Griffin	160	t	62517-	108	122	108	323d	—	—	+20	24.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Absent since end of August so probably best watched in the circumstances
16	Duncarrig Chestnut J:Shaun Greene(4) T:James M Barrett	J:Shaun Greene(4) T:James M Barrett	153	t	PP-903	101	114	76	12d	—	—	+10	14	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Encouraging yard debut at Bellewstown augurs well but this is a much better race
5	Phoenix Cowboy Bay J:Harry Sexton(4) T:John Joseph Hanlon	J:Harry Sexton(4) T:John Joseph Hanlon	163	p	705-23	111	115	85	32d	—	—	+13	16.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
More encouraging signs of late in handicaps but still needs more
14	Kells Priory Bay J:John Shinnick(4) T:Louise G Lyons	J:John Shinnick(4) T:Louise G Lyons	154	p	37323/	102	117	-	718d	—	—	+18	23	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Absent since good third at Galway festival two years ago so seems best watched
7	Pipers Meadow Grey J:Trevor Ryan(2) T:Stephen Ryan	J:Trevor Ryan(2) T:Stephen Ryan	161	—	/55/00	109	115	80	14d	—	—	+13	15.5	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Hard to fancy on two recent comeback runs over this trip
R18	Diamond Duke Chestnut J:Jake Coen T:M F Morris	J:Jake Coen T:M F Morris	147	tp	7-69	95	118	32	47d	—	—	+10	11.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Unexposed maiden entering handicaps, hard to be confident in on evidence so far; reserve
13	Glentruan Bay J:Liam Quinlan T:Michael Flannery	J:Liam Quinlan T:Michael Flannery	154	tb	6PPPU-	102	114	91	—	—	—	+11	13.7	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Winner over this trip at Cork/Ayr in 2021 but can't be entertained on recent points' form
NR	Henning Bay J:Philip Donovan(2) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J:Philip Donovan(2) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	168	—	-F2336	116	115	88	14d	—	—	—	21.3	—	—
Lost all chance when blundering at Tipperary latest; top-weight respected
NR	King Ferdinand Bay J:Philip Byrnes T:Eugene M O'Sullivan	J:Philip Byrnes T:Eugene M O'Sullivan	157	t	/112-0	105	120	88	14d	—	—	—	13.8	—	—
None too fluent when never counting on recent comeback run so lots of improvement needed
NR	Tipp For Mac Bay J:TBC T:Thomas Cooper	J: T:Thomas Cooper	148	—	5-4323	96	122	116	3d	—	—	—	11.5	—	—
On a competitive mark but will need to settle better to see this out; reserve
NR	That's About Right Brown J:TBC T:P J Rothwell	J: T:P J Rothwell	147	—	3047-1	95	116	62	55d	—	0W/0P 1 run	—	21.3	—	—
Downpatrick winner drops in trip but not one to rule out if getting a run; reserve

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
La Hacienda	3/1	10/3	3/1	3/1	3/1
Major Barry	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Bella Bliss	6/1	5/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Optional Mix	8/1	15/2	8/1	8/1	8/1
Teagarden Jazz	8/1	8/1	7/1	8/1	8/1
Mercury Mission	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
One Night Standard	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1	10/1
Wandering Rocks	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1	14/1
Navigator Jack	20/1	18/1	18/1	20/1	18/1
Duncarrig	20/1	20/1	18/1	16/1	20/1
Phoenix Cowboy	25/1	25/1	25/1	20/1	25/1
Kells Priory	18/1	18/1	18/1	14/1	18/1
Pipers Meadow	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Diamond Duke	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Glentruan	80/1	50/1	66/1	80/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Navigator Jack

24.2

OR: 14.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.2

20/1

2nd

Kells Priory

OR: 13 Form: 8.6 Odds: 1.4

18/1

3rd

Henning

21.3

OR: 16.5 Form: 4.8 Odds: 0

—

That's About Right

21.3

OR: 11.3 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

La Hacienda

19.2

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Bella Bliss

19.2

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

6/1

Major Barry

18.9

OR: 15.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Optional Mix

18.3

OR: 15.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Wandering Rocks

18.2

OR: 16.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Teagarden Jazz

17.4

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Phoenix Cowboy

16.2

OR: 15.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

One Night Standard

15.6

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Mercury Mission

15.5

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Pipers Meadow

15.5

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Duncarrig

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

King Ferdinand

13.8

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Glentruan

13.7

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

80/1

Diamond Duke

11.7

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Tipp For Mac

11.5

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Wandering Rocks	116	120	88
Henning	116	115	88
Major Barry	111	103	87
Optional Mix	111	113	—
Phoenix Cowboy	111	115	85
Bella Bliss	109	124	68
Teagarden Jazz	109	118	110
Pipers Meadow	109	115	80
Navigator Jack	108	122	108
Mercury Mission	105	119	61
King Ferdinand	105	120	88
One Night Standard	104	113	91
La Hacienda	102	121	85
Kells Priory	102	117	—
Glentruan	102	114	91
Duncarrig	101	114	76
Tipp For Mac	96	122	116
Diamond Duke	95	118	32
That's About Right	95	116	62

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tipp For Mac	3d ago	Quick return
Major Barry	10d ago	Quick return
La Hacienda	11d ago	Quick return
Duncarrig	12d ago	Quick return
Teagarden Jazz	13d ago	Quick return
Pipers Meadow	14d ago	Fit
Henning	14d ago	Fit
King Ferdinand	14d ago	Fit
Bella Bliss	18d ago	Fit
Optional Mix	31d ago	Fit
One Night Standard	32d ago	Fit
Phoenix Cowboy	32d ago	Fit
Wandering Rocks	40d ago	Fit
Mercury Mission	47d ago	Fresh
Diamond Duke	47d ago	Fresh
That's About Right	55d ago	Fresh
Navigator Jack	323d ago	Long break
Kells Priory	718d ago	Long break
Glentruan	—	—