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Ballinrobe

18:40

Date 2024-07-22

Distance 1m1f126y

Class

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €6,785

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (1)	Bear Profit Bay J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Gerard O'Leary	J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Gerard O'Leary	137	—	-07514	72	82	60	20d	—	—	-4	19.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Won quite comfortably at Leopardstown, met some trouble in running at Roscommon, respected
2 (3)	Come On The Lads Bay J:Darragh O'Sullivan(10) T:Gerard O'Leary	J:Darragh O'Sullivan(10) T:Gerard O'Leary	142	b	545681	77	78	58	55d	—	—	+3	22.5	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Won a claimer in good style last time, fair form in handicaps but this a career-high mark
5 (6)	Brewel Hill Bay J:Shane Foley T:Peter McCreery	J:Shane Foley T:Peter McCreery	133	—	140-26	68	82	27	24d	—	—	-7	9.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Two encouraging runs so far this term, suited by a sound surface, needs rain to stay away
7 (8)	Sirjack Thomas Grey J:Adam Caffrey(3) T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Adam Caffrey(3) T:Adrian McGuinness	130	—	070881	65	92	53	10d	—	—	+4	17.8	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Ended a long losing run with Dundalk win, could feature now that he has shown a revival
4 (7)	Queenie St Clair Bay J:Colin Keane T:E D Delany	J:Colin Keane T:E D Delany	135	—	705405	70	87	48	18d	—	—	-5	9	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Uneven form, Colin Keane now back on board for the first time since her Navan maiden win
6 (5)	Simpson's Paradox Bay J:Conor Maxwell T:John Andrew Kinsella	J:Conor Maxwell T:John Andrew Kinsella	132	p	1-0756	67	90	44	17d	—	—	+8	12.3	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Struggled during a spell in Britain. well beaten in sixth on stable debut at Bellewstown
8 (4)	Nibras Rainbow Bay J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Paul W Flynn	J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Paul W Flynn	122	t	-02500	57	84	-	10d	—	—	+1	4.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Two wins in 2022, now on a long losing run, disappointing since Dundalk second in March
NR (2)	The Black Tiger Bay J:Cian Horgan(7) T:Ms F M Crowley	J:Cian Horgan(7) T:Ms F M Crowley	145	b	851-80	80	77	17	23d	—	—	—	7.5	—	—
Towards the rear in two outings for this stable, plenty to prove at this stage

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Bear Profit	5/2	9/4	5/2
Come On The Lads	10/3	10/3	10/3
Brewel Hill	9/2	9/2	9/2
Sirjack Thomas	5/1	5/1	5/1
Queenie St Clair	5/1	5/1	5/1
Simpson's Paradox	20/1	18/1	20/1
Nibras Rainbow	25/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Come On The Lads

22.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 10 Odds: 5.7

10/3

2nd

Bear Profit

19.8

OR: 5.5 Form: 7 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Sirjack Thomas

17.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 10 Odds: 4

5/1

Simpson's Paradox

12.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Brewel Hill

9.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.7

9/2

Queenie St Clair

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

The Black Tiger

7.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Nibras Rainbow

4.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
The Black Tiger	80	77	17
Come On The Lads	77	78	58
Bear Profit	72	82	60
Queenie St Clair	70	87	48
Brewel Hill	68	82	27
Simpson's Paradox	67	90	44
Sirjack Thomas	65	92	53
Nibras Rainbow	57	84	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sirjack Thomas	10d ago	Quick return
Nibras Rainbow	10d ago	Quick return
Simpson's Paradox	17d ago	Fit
Queenie St Clair	18d ago	Fit
Bear Profit	20d ago	Fit
The Black Tiger	23d ago	Fit
Brewel Hill	24d ago	Fit
Come On The Lads	55d ago	Fresh