John Guest Racing Handicap – Ascot

Ascot

15:35

John Guest Racing Handicap

Date 2024-07-26

Distance 1m3f211y

Class Class 2

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £23,193

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (3)	Mutaawid Bay J:Jim Crowley T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Jim Crowley T:John & Thady Gosden	124	b	5921	94	103	78	16d	—	—	+3	34.5	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Seen in a radically new light when shooting clear with blinkers in 1m4f Kempton AW novice
7 (4)	Hosaamm Bay J:William Buick T:Owen Burrows	J:William Buick T:Owen Burrows	123	—	3-12	93	102	84	40d	—	—	-1	18.6	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Still something to learn last time and brings plenty of potential to this handicap debut
8 (9)	Wonder Kid Bay J:Harry Davies T:Hugo Palmer	J:Harry Davies T:Hugo Palmer	117	—	55-112	87	107	88	13d	—	—	-2	14	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Two convincing 1m4f handicap wins before his narrow defeat at Newmarket; shortlisted
6 (6)	Tabletalk Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Tom Clover	J:Oisin Murphy T:Tom Clover	124	—	3-10	94	99	76	55d	—	—	+7	15.3	2.50/1	10/1 9%
19l tenth of 16 facing stiff task at 100-1 in the Derby at Epsom (1m4f, good to soft)
1 (7)	Burdett Road Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:James Owen	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:James Owen	142	h	51153-	101	104	95	—	—	—	+19	25.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
1m2f Royal Ascot win (good to firm) as 3yo; classy juvenile hurdler with hood for new yard
4 (5)	Insanity Bay J:Sean Levey T:Alan King	J:Sean Levey T:Alan King	129	—	2815-1	88	105	81	95d	—	—	+15	21.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Won two of five races on Flat, edging in front close home at Windsor (11.4f) in April
9 (8)	Mount Atlas Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	117	—	U813	87	101	55	16d	—	—	+15	20.2	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Hammered by Mutaawid at Kempton but has 13lb swing in weights; also these are early days
3 (2)	Chasing Aphrodite Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Harry Eustace	J:Tom Marquand T:Harry Eustace	135	—	00-871	94	106	86	42d	—	—	+8	12.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
1m4f does not seem ridiculous given the manner of his 1m2f win from the front at Sandown
NR (1)	Alfred Boucher Grey J:TBC T:Ian Williams	J: T:Ian Williams	140	—	2212P/	99	-	-	671d	—	—	—	21.8	—	—
Won this in 2021 and did very well for this yard in summer 2022; off since that September

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Mutaawid	13/8	7/4	6/4	6/4	13/8
Hosaamm	3/1	10/3	10/3	3/1	10/3
Wonder Kid	9/2	9/2	5/1	5/1	9/2
Tabletalk	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1
Burdett Road	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Insanity	16/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	14/1
Mount Atlas	18/1	16/1	14/1	16/1	16/1
Chasing Aphrodite	20/1	18/1	18/1	20/1	18/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mutaawid

34.5

OR: 11 Form: 13.5 Odds: 10

7/4

2nd

Burdett Road

25.5

OR: 12.8 Form: 11 Odds: 1.7

12/1

3rd

Alfred Boucher

21.8

OR: 12.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 0

—

Insanity

21.1

OR: 9.5 Form: 10 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Mount Atlas

20.2

OR: 9.3 Form: 9.6 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Hosaamm

18.6

OR: 10.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Tabletalk

15.3

OR: 11 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Wonder Kid

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.7

5/1

Chasing Aphrodite

12.2

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Burdett Road	101	104	95
Alfred Boucher	99	—	—
Mutaawid	94	103	78
Tabletalk	94	99	76
Chasing Aphrodite	94	106	86
Hosaamm	93	102	84
Insanity	88	105	81
Wonder Kid	87	107	88
Mount Atlas	87	101	55

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Wonder Kid	13d ago	Quick return
Mutaawid	16d ago	Fit
Mount Atlas	16d ago	Fit
Hosaamm	40d ago	Fit
Chasing Aphrodite	42d ago	Fit
Tabletalk	55d ago	Fresh
Insanity	95d ago	Long break
Alfred Boucher	671d ago	Long break
Burdett Road	—	—