Ire-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (Qualifier) (GBB/IRE Incentive)

York

18:40

Date 2024-07-26

Distance 7f

Class Class 3

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £10,800

Runners (20)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (6)	Praetorian Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	133	—	32	-	84	74	29d	—	—	-20	20.4	0.30/1	6/5 45%
Placed on both starts and form of last-time-out second has been strongly franked
12 (10)	Master Of Zest Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Patrick Owens	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Patrick Owens	131	—	5	-	82	45	34d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Encouraging 5th on debut at Haydock and one to be interested in if sharper for experience
5 (8)	Keats House Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
70,000euros 2yo breeze-ups; dam from talented family; no surprise to see good run on debut
4 (1)	Impartiality Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Phillip Makin	J:Rowan Scott T:Phillip Makin	133	—	3	-	83	15	18d	—	—	-2	4.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Close third on recent debut at Ayr and he's open to improvement; key player
6 (18)	King Casper Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Hugo Palmer	J:Robert Havlin T:Hugo Palmer	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Newcomer who has a useful pedigree and his trainer is having a good year with his 2yos
2 (17)	Far Ahead Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
48,000euros foal; newcomer who is one of three for the yard; betting could be informative
10 (7)	Flamborough Head Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	131	—	9	-	62	53	5d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Repeatedly denied clear run on debut at Redcar last Sunday and he might not be far away
19 (15)	Rainbow Rays Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Rossa Ryan T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
£25,000 2yo breeze-ups; yard's 2yos can run well first time but useful standard is needed
17 (9)	Elsie's Ruan Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Gemma Tutty	J:Joanna Mason T:Gemma Tutty	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
22,000gns 2yo; represents up-and-coming trainer and could give a good account on debut
9 (14)	Risk Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Tom Dascombe	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Tom Dascombe	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
25,000euros yearling; dam French 1m3f/1m5f winner; may need further than this debut trip
3 (12)	Groundhog Bay J:Sam James T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Sam James T:David & Nicola Barron	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
28,000gns yearling; dam unraced half-sister to 2 winners; may be one for further down line
11 (16)	Is I Right Bay J:Adam Farragher T:James Horton	J:Adam Farragher T:James Horton	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Half-brother to two winners; by Waldgeist and this newcomer may benefit from a longer trip
13 (4)	Seed Investor Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Craig Lidster	J:Tom Eaves T:Craig Lidster	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
40,000euros yearling; this Coulsty newcomer is likely to improve for today's debut outing
18 (13)	Lolapalooza Chestnut J:Paul Mulrennan T:Patrick Owens	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Patrick Owens	128	—	—	-	59	39	49d	—	—	-2	0.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Soundly beaten on debut at Bath but it wasn't without promise; this longer trip may help
20 (2)	Endeavouryourdream Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Richard Fahey	J:Ryan Sexton T:Richard Fahey	126	—	46	-	73	39	16d	—	—	-2	0.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Ability on both starts; improvement needed but this longer trip may well be a plus
14 (5)	Toby Two Scoops Bay J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Micky Hammond	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Micky Hammond	131	—	—	-	51	18	23d	—	—	-1	0.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
66-1, always in rear on this month's debut at Thirsk (6f, good to soft) & is hard to fancy
16 (19)	Dark Rainbow Bay J:Connor Murtagh T:Richard Fahey	J:Connor Murtagh T:Richard Fahey	128	—	—	-	34	16	18d	—	—	-1	0.3	31.25/1	125/1 1%
In good hands and has potential in pedigree, but well beaten at 25-1 on her recent debut
15 (20)	Vault Of Heaven Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Kevin Frost	J:Ben Robinson T:Kevin Frost	131	—	9	-	23	-	63d	—	—	-1	0.2	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Slowly away & well beaten at 125-1 on debut at Pontefract (6f, good) in May; gelded since
NR (3)	Barry's Boy Bay J:TBC T:Denis Coakley	J: T:Denis Coakley	133	—	04	-	72	42	15d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Displayed some ability when fourth on second start but needs another big step forward
NR (11)	One More Chrome Grey J:NON-RUNNER T:B F Brookhouse	J:NON-RUNNER T:B F Brookhouse	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
Non-runner

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Praetorian	11/10	6/5	11/10	Evens	6/5
Master Of Zest	13/2	13/2	7/1	7/1	7/1
Keats House	11/1	11/1	12/1	11/1	11/1
Impartiality	11/1	11/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
King Casper	14/1	12/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Far Ahead	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Flamborough Head	18/1	16/1	14/1	16/1	16/1
Rainbow Rays	18/1	18/1	20/1	18/1	18/1
Elsie's Ruan	20/1	20/1	20/1	16/1	20/1
Risk	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Groundhog	33/1	28/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Is I Right	22/1	22/1	20/1	22/1	22/1
Seed Investor	33/1	33/1	25/1	25/1	33/1
Lolapalooza	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Endeavouryourdream	40/1	40/1	33/1	33/1	40/1
Toby Two Scoops	50/1	50/1	40/1	40/1	50/1
Dark Rainbow	125/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Vault Of Heaven	100/1	100/1	80/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Praetorian

20.4

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 13.3

6/5

2nd

Impartiality

4.9

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.9

12/1

3rd

Master Of Zest

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Keats House

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

King Casper

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Far Ahead

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Elsie's Ruan

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Flamborough Head

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Rainbow Rays

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Is I Right

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

22/1

Risk

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Groundhog

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Seed Investor

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Endeavouryourdream

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Lolapalooza

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Toby Two Scoops

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Dark Rainbow

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125/1

Vault Of Heaven

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Barry's Boy

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

One More Chrome

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Praetorian	—	84	74
Master Of Zest	—	82	45
Keats House	—	—	—
Impartiality	—	83	15
King Casper	—	—	—
Far Ahead	—	—	—
Flamborough Head	—	62	53
Rainbow Rays	—	—	—
Elsie's Ruan	—	—	—
Risk	—	—	—
Groundhog	—	—	—
Is I Right	—	—	—
Seed Investor	—	—	—
Lolapalooza	—	59	39
Endeavouryourdream	—	73	39
Toby Two Scoops	—	51	18
Dark Rainbow	—	34	16
Vault Of Heaven	—	23	—
Barry's Boy	—	72	42
One More Chrome	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Flamborough Head	5d ago	Quick return
Barry's Boy	15d ago	Fit
Endeavouryourdream	16d ago	Fit
Impartiality	18d ago	Fit
Dark Rainbow	18d ago	Fit
Toby Two Scoops	23d ago	Fit
Praetorian	29d ago	Fit
Master Of Zest	34d ago	Fit
Lolapalooza	49d ago	Fresh
Vault Of Heaven	63d ago	Fresh
Keats House	—	—
King Casper	—	—
Far Ahead	—	—
Rainbow Rays	—	—
Elsie's Ruan	—	—
Risk	—	—
Groundhog	—	—
Is I Right	—	—
Seed Investor	—	—
One More Chrome	—	—