Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Lingfield (AW)

18:20

Date 2024-07-30

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3-5yo

Prize £3,942

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (4)	Hampden Bay J:David Probert T:Tom Ward	J:David Probert T:Tom Ward	133	—	-32720	83	93	67	24d	—	—	-18	30.1	0.21/1	5/6 55%
Placed in five of his eight starts; back in much quiter waters here; looks the one to beat
2 (6)	Prophet's Path Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Owen Burrows	J:Finley Marsh T:Owen Burrows	133	—	93	-	82	-	20d	—	—	-10	8.4	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Improved from his debut when third last month; bred to handle the AW; could make an impact
3 (5)	Surrey Fire Chestnut J:Harry Davies T:Hughie Morrison	J:Harry Davies T:Hughie Morrison	133	—	2-9	-	82	55	20d	—	—	-5	6.8	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Second at Nottingham last autumn, but held on Kempton return; left-handed track may help
5 (3)	Thorntonledale Max Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:David Simcock	J:Cieren Fallon T:David Simcock	129	—	352	70	80	40	22d	—	—	+4	14.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Placed in two of his three starts, but probably needs a bit more in order to win this
4 (1)	Arazzo Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry Charlton	J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry Charlton	131	—	66	-	70	-	22d	—	—	-3	1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Sixth in both starts; bred to stay on the dam's side but still looks one for handicaps
6 (2)	Chola Rani Bay J:Joey Haynes T:David Simcock	J:Joey Haynes T:David Simcock	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Nicely bred and interesting to see how she fares in the betting

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Hampden	5/6	5/6	8/11	5/6	5/6
Prophet's Path	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	10/3
Surrey Fire	11/2	11/2	6/1	11/2	11/2
Thorntonledale Max	15/2	7/1	7/1	15/2	7/1
Arazzo	22/1	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Chola Rani	50/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hampden

30.1

OR: 8.3 Form: 5.6 Odds: 16.3

5/6

2nd

Thorntonledale Max

14.6

OR: 5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

3rd

Prophet's Path

8.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 5.4

7/2

Surrey Fire

6.8

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Arazzo

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Chola Rani

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hampden	83	93	67
Thorntonledale Max	70	80	40
Prophet's Path	—	82	—
Surrey Fire	—	82	55
Arazzo	—	70	—
Chola Rani	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Prophet's Path	20d ago	Fit
Surrey Fire	20d ago	Fit
Thorntonledale Max	22d ago	Fit
Arazzo	22d ago	Fit
Hampden	24d ago	Fit
Chola Rani	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m2f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.