Jaeger-Lecoultre Molecomb Stakes (Group 3) – Goodwood

Goodwood

15:00

Jaeger-Lecoultre Molecomb Stakes (Group 3)

Date 2024-07-31

Distance 5f

Class Class 1

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £56,710

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (10)	Aesterius Bay J:James Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:James Doyle T:Archie Watson	129	—	151	101	114	103	26d	—	—	+6	37.8	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Impressed in a Listed race latest; he's all speed and looks tailor-made for this test
11 (13)	Soldier's Heart Grey J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	129	t	21	-	101	91	40d	—	—	+1	18.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Easy C&D winner last month; unexposed for powerful yard and very much respected
15 (1)	Celandine Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	126	—	7113	101	113	104	17d	—	—	+18	31.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Listed win is strong form; good to soft ground perhaps blunted her speed in France
13 (16)	Vingegaard Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	129	—	152	94	108	102	11d	—	—	+13	24.3	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Windsor Castle fifth who only just missed out in the Super Sprint; has a good draw
16 (6)	Usdi Atohi Bay J:Ryan Moore T:Donnacha Aidan O'Brien	J:Ryan Moore T:Donnacha Aidan O'Brien	126	—	161	96	108	88	28d	—	—	+19	29.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Had excuses for her sole defeat; front two were clear in a Listed event last time
8 (3)	Mr Lightside Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	129	—	011	96	105	87	25d	—	—	+22	30.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Pinged the gates and was never headed when defying a penalty at Nottingham
14 (15)	Amestris Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Michael Bell	J:Hector Crouch T:Michael Bell	126	—	219	87	99	92	42d	—	—	+13	21.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Impressed second time out and not a lot went her way when beaten 6l in the Queen Mary
5 (11)	Francisco's Piece Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Oisin Murphy T:Adrian Paul Keatley	129	—	1210	99	107	94	43d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+21	26.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Best run came in the mud and he was well held in the Coventry on fast ground
7 (4)	King's Call Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Kevin Ryan	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Kevin Ryan	129	—	1	-	93	73	16d	—	—	+7	11.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Gimcrack entry who posted a professional debut performance to make all at Ayr (6f)
3 (7)	Big Mojo Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Michael Appleby	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Michael Appleby	129	—	2	-	88	70	25d	—	—	+2	6	7.00/1	28/1 3%
This looks a big ask after coming up short on his debut at Beverley
12 (2)	The Man Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:Richard Spencer	J:Jamie Spencer T:Richard Spencer	129	—	10	86	91	71	41d	—	—	+14	16.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Bright speed before dropping away in the Norfolk; could go well, though stall 2 a worry
2 (14)	Arran Chestnut J:David Probert T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:David Probert T:Paul & Oliver Cole	129	t	10	90	98	66	43d	—	—	+15	17.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Debut win reads well and he did not give his true running in the Coventry; tongue-tie new
4 (12)	Binadham Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Jim Crowley T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	129	—	163	95	104	90	25d	—	—	+18	19.8	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Has performed well since debut win without suggesting he's a Group winner in waiting
6 (8)	Fuji Mountain Grey J:Jason Hart T:Declan Carroll	J:Jason Hart T:Declan Carroll	129	—	7201	82	96	81	18d	—	—	+19	20.9	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Chester novice winner; his Royal Ascot run hints at limitations this afternoon
10 (5)	Sands Of Marra Bay J:J F Egan T:Ollie Sangster	J:J F Egan T:Ollie Sangster	129	—	41	-	92	73	32d	—	—	+9	10.3	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Won narrowly at Windsor and that form is well short of the required standard here
NR (9)	Rock N Roll Rocket Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:David Loughnane	J:Richard Kingscote T:David Loughnane	129	—	150	78	90	65	42d	—	—	—	12	—	—
Twice below par since his debut win and others have more pressing claims

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Aesterius	2/1	2/1	9/4
Soldier's Heart	11/2	5/1	5/1
Celandine	13/2	6/1	6/1
Vingegaard	8/1	15/2	8/1
Usdi Atohi	10/1	17/2	9/1
Mr Lightside	12/1	12/1	12/1
Amestris	11/1	12/1	12/1
Francisco's Piece	18/1	18/1	18/1
King's Call	20/1	18/1	20/1
Big Mojo	28/1	25/1	28/1
The Man	33/1	28/1	33/1
Arran	33/1	33/1	33/1
Binadham	50/1	40/1	50/1
Fuji Mountain	80/1	66/1	80/1
Sands Of Marra	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Aesterius

37.8

OR: 12.8 Form: 15 Odds: 10

9/4

2nd

Celandine

31.8

OR: 12.8 Form: 15 Odds: 4

13/2

3rd

Mr Lightside

30.9

OR: 11.5 Form: 17 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Usdi Atohi

29.6

OR: 11.5 Form: 15 Odds: 3.1

10/1

Francisco's Piece

26.1

OR: 12.3 Form: 12.5 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Vingegaard

24.3

OR: 11 Form: 10 Odds: 3.3

8/1

Amestris

21.1

OR: 9.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Fuji Mountain

20.9

OR: 8 Form: 12.5 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Binadham

19.8

OR: 11.3 Form: 8 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Soldier's Heart

18.5

OR: 0 Form: 13.5 Odds: 5

11/2

Arran

17.8

OR: 10 Form: 7 Odds: 0.8

33/1

The Man

16.8

OR: 9 Form: 7 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Rock N Roll Rocket

OR: 7 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

King's Call

11.2

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Sands Of Marra

10.3

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Big Mojo

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Aesterius	101	114	103
Celandine	101	113	104
Francisco's Piece	99	107	94
Usdi Atohi	96	108	88
Mr Lightside	96	105	87
Binadham	95	104	90
Vingegaard	94	108	102
Arran	90	98	66
Amestris	87	99	92
The Man	86	91	71
Fuji Mountain	82	96	81
Rock N Roll Rocket	78	90	65
Soldier's Heart	—	101	91
King's Call	—	93	73
Big Mojo	—	88	70
Sands Of Marra	—	92	73

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Vingegaard	11d ago	Quick return
King's Call	16d ago	Fit
Celandine	17d ago	Fit
Fuji Mountain	18d ago	Fit
Mr Lightside	25d ago	Fit
Big Mojo	25d ago	Fit
Binadham	25d ago	Fit
Aesterius	26d ago	Fit
Usdi Atohi	28d ago	Fit
Sands Of Marra	32d ago	Fit
Soldier's Heart	40d ago	Fit
The Man	41d ago	Fit
Amestris	42d ago	Fit
Rock N Roll Rocket	42d ago	Fit
Francisco's Piece	43d ago	Fit
Arran	43d ago	Fit

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Aesterius	Prominent
Arran	Prominent
Fuji Mountain	Mid-Pack

Inferred from horse comments. 3 of 16 runners classified.