New Footy Season Specials At Rhino.Bet EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B, C And D) (GBB)

Nottingham

15:10

Date 2024-08-01

Distance 1m75y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3-5yo

Prize £3,780

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (4)	Shamrock Bay Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Ross Coakley T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	137	—	1	-	85	71	15d	—	—	-18	23.3	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Winning debut at Yarmouth last month (7f); 1m should suit and improvement likely
8 (9)	Kokinelli Grey J:Kevin Stott T:Hugo Palmer	J:Kevin Stott T:Hugo Palmer	125	h	83	-	81	77	13d	—	—	-8	7.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Slowly away both starts; best run when 3rd Haydock last time; 1m should suit; a possible
2 (5)	Currumbin Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	J:Cieren Fallon T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	128	p	345258	74	88	85	26d	—	—	-2	12.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Ex-Irish; below form last time but has a chance on his best form; first run on fast ground
6 (8)	Bayadere Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Michael Bell	J:Hayley Turner T:Michael Bell	125	—	475	75	91	75	17d	—	—	-4	10.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Best form dropped back to 1m when fifth at Windsor last time; should go well
4 (6)	Skinny Malinka Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Edward Bethell	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Edward Bethell	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
By Eqtidaar; dam half-sister to a 1m2f Listed winner; worth a market check on debut
5 (2)	Hunters Run Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Richard Hughes	J:Rob Hornby T:Richard Hughes	126	—	07	-	69	-	24d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Two modest efforts over 7f and 8.5f on Tapeta; needs to improve for the switch to turf.
3 (7)	Forglen Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:William Stone	J:Marco Ghiani T:William Stone	128	—	8	-	61	22	13d	—	—	-1	0.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Well beaten eighth of nine on Newmarket debut (80-1); improvement needed
9 (3)	Qatar Wave Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Hilal Kobeissi	J:Dylan Hogan T:Hilal Kobeissi	123	ht	06	-	31	-	54d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Well beaten on both starts so far; new headgear; others stronger
7 (1)	Empress Lulu Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	125	—	9-7	-	45	-	15d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Well beaten at triple-figure odds on her two starts to date; hard to fancy

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Shamrock Bay	11/10	11/10	11/10	11/10	11/10
Kokinelli	9/2	9/2	9/2	5/1	9/2
Currumbin	5/1	5/1	5/1	11/2	5/1
Bayadere	5/1	5/1	5/1	11/2	5/1
Skinny Malinka	13/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Hunters Run	40/1	50/1	40/1	33/1	50/1
Forglen	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Qatar Wave	200/1	150/1	125/1	100/1	150/1
Empress Lulu	200/1	125/1	100/1	100/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Shamrock Bay

23.3

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 13.3

11/10

2nd

Currumbin

12.5

OR: 6 Form: 2.5 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Bayadere

10.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Kokinelli

7.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Skinny Malinka

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Hunters Run

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Forglen

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Qatar Wave

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Empress Lulu

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bayadere	75	91	75
Currumbin	74	88	85
Shamrock Bay	—	85	71
Kokinelli	—	81	77
Skinny Malinka	—	—	—
Hunters Run	—	69	—
Forglen	—	61	22
Qatar Wave	—	31	—
Empress Lulu	—	45	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Kokinelli	13d ago	Quick return
Forglen	13d ago	Quick return
Shamrock Bay	15d ago	Fit
Empress Lulu	15d ago	Fit
Bayadere	17d ago	Fit
Hunters Run	24d ago	Fit
Currumbin	26d ago	Fit
Qatar Wave	54d ago	Fresh
Skinny Malinka	—	—