Borders Ltd 2024 Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

15:45

Borders Ltd 2024 Handicap

Date 2024-08-02

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (3)	Dumfries Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Ruth Carr	J:Joanna Mason T:Ruth Carr	127	—	590685	67	90	46	17d	—	—	-8	9.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Course winner who has caught the eye a couple of times for this yard; worth a second look
1 (13)	Chola Empire Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:David Simcock	J:Daniel Muscutt T:David Simcock	137	—	216035	77	88	59	16d	—	—	0	15.3	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Record over C&D reads 131; has the outside stall, but plenty going for him otherwise
2 (1)	King's Vanity Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Andrew Balding	J:Rob Hornby T:Andrew Balding	137	h	120097	77	90	74	29d	—	—	-1	11.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Lingfield winner but hasn't made much impact since contesting handicaps; first-time hood
6 (2)	Shaw Park Bay J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Scott Dixon	J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Scott Dixon	130	—	421126	70	87	67	4d	—	—	+10	20.4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
0-12 on Tapeta, but not disgraced in a stronger race over C&D on Monday; could go well
11 (6)	King Of Ithaca Bay J:Hayley Turner T:James Tate	J:Hayley Turner T:James Tate	124	—	4-7964	64	89	78	23d	—	—	-2	5.6	2.75/1	11/1 8%
1lb below last winning mark, but well beaten in one go on Tapeta
3 (10)	Wildfell Chestnut J:J F Egan T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:J F Egan T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	135	t	496067	75	89	64	11d	—	—	+1	8.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
0-13 since completing a four-timer last year, despite a falling mark; tongue-tie on
8 (9)	Soames Forsyte Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Michael Herrington	J:Dylan Hogan T:Michael Herrington	128	p	490166	68	89	36	14d	—	—	+5	11.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Course winner who is 1lb higher than when successful on turf in June, but 1m suits ideally
4 (5)	Orbital Chime Bay J:George Wood T:James Horton	J:George Wood T:James Horton	135	—	/84-65	75	84	-	16d	—	—	+1	8.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Lightly raced since this time last year; not beaten far last time but a bit more is needed
7 (12)	Bicep Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Grant Tuer	J:Ben Robinson T:Grant Tuer	129	—	-20070	69	94	85	16d	—	—	+1	7.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Not much luck in most of his recent starts; has become well handicapped; worth chancing
5 (8)	Mr Squires Chestnut J:Ray Dawson T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Ray Dawson T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	134	—	631319	74	87	72	49d	—	—	+14	19.5	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Won over C&D and at Wolverhampton in recent months; dangerous if able to dominate
12 (11)	Buckshaw Village Chestnut J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Declan Carroll	J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Declan Carroll	123	—	242460	63	86	-	13d	—	—	+2	5.7	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Has regressed since finishing second at Leicester in May; record of 1-28 another concern
13 (7)	Reputation Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Ruth Carr	J:Hollie Doyle T:Ruth Carr	120	—	-47334	60	88	78	123d	—	—	+4	7	7.00/1	28/1 3%
2lb below last winning mark; will probably need this first start in four months
10 (4)	Broken Spear Bay J:Harry Russell T:Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	J:Harry Russell T:Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	127	p	58-844	67	92	14	97d	—	—	+2	5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
0-7 on the AW; record suggests he may need this after three months off

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Dumfries	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Chola Empire	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
King's Vanity	6/1	6/1	11/2	13/2	6/1
Shaw Park	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
King Of Ithaca	10/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	10/1
Wildfell	10/1	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Soames Forsyte	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Orbital Chime	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Bicep	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Mr Squires	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	18/1
Buckshaw Village	25/1	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1
Reputation	25/1	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1
Broken Spear	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Shaw Park

20.4

OR: 5 Form: 12.5 Odds: 2.9

7/1

2nd

Mr Squires

19.5

OR: 6 Form: 12.1 Odds: 1.4

18/1

3rd

Chola Empire

15.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 4.1 Odds: 4.4

5/1

King's Vanity

11.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 1 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Soames Forsyte

11.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Dumfries

9.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Wildfell

8.4

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Orbital Chime

8.4

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Bicep

7.7

OR: 4.8 Form: 1 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Reputation

OR: 2.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Buckshaw Village

5.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1

28/1

King Of Ithaca

5.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Broken Spear

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Chola Empire	77	88	59
King's Vanity	77	90	74
Wildfell	75	89	64
Orbital Chime	75	84	—
Mr Squires	74	87	72
Shaw Park	70	87	67
Bicep	69	94	85
Soames Forsyte	68	89	36
Dumfries	67	90	46
Broken Spear	67	92	14
King Of Ithaca	64	89	78
Buckshaw Village	63	86	—
Reputation	60	88	78

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Shaw Park	4d ago	Quick return
Wildfell	11d ago	Quick return
Buckshaw Village	13d ago	Quick return
Soames Forsyte	14d ago	Fit
Chola Empire	16d ago	Fit
Orbital Chime	16d ago	Fit
Bicep	16d ago	Fit
Dumfries	17d ago	Fit
King Of Ithaca	23d ago	Fit
King's Vanity	29d ago	Fit
Mr Squires	49d ago	Fresh
Broken Spear	97d ago	Long break
Reputation	123d ago	Long break