Frank Murphy Carom Ltd Memorial Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

15:10

Frank Murphy Carom Ltd Memorial Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2024-08-02

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,942

Runners (14)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
11 (13)	Skipper Bay J:Neil Callan T:Tom Clover	J:Neil Callan T:Tom Clover	133	—	54	-	94	-	41d	—	—	-22	10	15/8 35%
Plenty of promise in two starts at Newmarket and latest effort has been well advertised
12 (8)	Victorious Street Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Ross Coakley T:Simon & Ed Crisford	133	—	42-	-	92	-	306d	—	—	-13	13	5/2 29%
Showed ability in two starts on turf last autumn; could play a part if ready to go
10 (2)	Shamran Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Harry Charlton	J:Hollie Doyle T:Harry Charlton	133	—	42	-	87	38	18d	—	—	-8	10.4	4/1 20%
Promising debut at Chelmsford and improved when runner-up at Windsor; shortlisted
3 (10)	Baraq Grey J:Shane Kelly T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Shane Kelly T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	133	—	63-2	85	87	64	35d	—	—	+4	17.8	6/1 14%
Progressive in three starts, finishing second at Newcastle five weeks ago; major player
5 (9)	Breathless Spirit Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Harry Eustace	J:Hayley Turner T:Harry Eustace	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	18/1 5%
Some appeal on pedigree, but already gelded and only of interest if backed
1 (7)	Al Deebil Chestnut J:Ray Dawson T:Roger Varian	J:Ray Dawson T:Roger Varian	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	25/1 4%
Enough to like on pedigree and market support on debut should be noted
4 (4)	Boss Dog Bay J:George Wood T:Harry Eustace	J:George Wood T:Harry Eustace	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	66/1 1%
Some appeal on breeding, but stable doesn't have many winning newcomers
9 (12)	Sense Of Reason Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Charlie Fellowes	133	—	—	-	47	-	104d	—	—	-1	0.5	80/1 1%
Well beaten on his Newbury debut in April; much more required
7 (11)	Lzaz Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Andrew Balding	J:Rob Hornby T:Andrew Balding	133	—	9	-	23	-	20d	—	—	-1	0.3	66/1 1%
Well beaten on his Salisbury debut last month; needs a major step forward
2 (14)	Apache Canyon Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Michael Wigham	J:Dylan Hogan T:Michael Wigham	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	100/1 1%
Already gelded and drawn widest on debut; best watched
6 (5)	Grey Moon Grey J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Harry Charlton	J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Harry Charlton	133	—	—	-	40	10	58d	—	—	-1	0.2	150/1 1%
Last of 13 on his Kempton debut in June; stable holds stronger claims elsewhere
13 (6)	Ephyra Bay J:Kyle Strydom T:David Menuisier	J:Kyle Strydom T:David Menuisier	128	t	5-0	-	74	-	23d	—	—	-1	0.2	150/1 1%
Some ability in one start at two, but well beaten on her return last month; best watched
8 (3)	Run Of Luck Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Ed de Giles	J:Ben Robinson T:Ed de Giles	133	—	00	-	49	-	23d	—	—	0	0.2	250/1 0%
Well beaten in first two starts; handicaps an option after this
14 (1)	Reaching The Moon Grey J:Joey Haynes T:Stuart Kittow	J:Joey Haynes T:Stuart Kittow	128	—	09	-	63	-	23d	—	—	0	0.2	250/1 0%
Well beaten in two starts on Polytrack/turf this summer; no appeal

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Skipper	13/8	13/8	7/4	15/8	13/8
Victorious Street	9/4	9/4	9/4	5/2	9/4
Shamran	4/1	4/1	7/2	7/2	4/1
Baraq	11/2	11/2	6/1	11/2	11/2
Breathless Spirit	18/1	18/1	14/1	14/1	18/1
Al Deebil	22/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Boss Dog	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Sense Of Reason	80/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Lzaz	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Apache Canyon	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1
Grey Moon	150/1	150/1	100/1	100/1	150/1
Ephyra	150/1	150/1	100/1	125/1	150/1
Run Of Luck	250/1	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1
Reaching The Moon	250/1	200/1	200/1	150/1	250/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Baraq

17.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 5 Odds: 4

6/1

2nd

Victorious Street

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 8

5/2

3rd

Shamran

10.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 5.4

4/1

Skipper

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 10

15/8

Breathless Spirit

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Al Deebil

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Boss Dog

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Sense Of Reason

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Lzaz

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

66/1

Apache Canyon

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Grey Moon

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ephyra

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Run Of Luck

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Reaching The Moon

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Baraq	85	87	64
Skipper	—	94	—
Victorious Street	—	92	—
Shamran	—	87	38
Breathless Spirit	—	—	—
Al Deebil	—	—	—
Boss Dog	—	—	—
Sense Of Reason	—	47	—
Lzaz	—	23	—
Apache Canyon	—	—	—
Grey Moon	—	40	10
Ephyra	—	74	—
Run Of Luck	—	49	—
Reaching The Moon	—	63	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Shamran	18d ago	Fit
Lzaz	20d ago	Fit
Ephyra	23d ago	Fit
Run Of Luck	23d ago	Fit
Reaching The Moon	23d ago	Fit
Baraq	35d ago	Fit
Skipper	41d ago	Fit
Grey Moon	58d ago	Fresh
Sense Of Reason	104d ago	Long break
Victorious Street	306d ago	Long break
Breathless Spirit	—	—
Al Deebil	—	—
Boss Dog	—	—
Apache Canyon	—	—