British Stallion Studs & Tony Morris EBF Fillies' Nursery Handicap

Newmarket (July)

14:05

Date 2024-08-03

Distance 6f

Class Class 2

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £20,616

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (1)	Miss Fascinator Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Roger Varian	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Roger Varian	130	—	251	85	97	73	8d	—	—	+8	27	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Rain-hit ground an excuse for second run; comfortable novice winner last week at Ascot
2 (7)	Magic Mild Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Clive Cox	J:Saffie Osborne T:Clive Cox	131	—	301	86	99	88	23d	—	—	+7	25.9	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Had subsequent winners behind when taking a C&D maiden three weeks ago
1 (9)	It Ain't Two Bay J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Hugo Palmer	J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Hugo Palmer	135	—	181429	90	97	87	14d	—	—	+7	20.5	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Beaten favourite in the Super Sprint; if back to her best then this mark is manageable
5 (3)	Griselda Bay J:Liam Wright(5) T:George Scott	J:Liam Wright(5) T:George Scott	128	—	487111	83	98	79	8d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+22	33.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Unbeaten in nurseries but 14lb higher than last time and that was a Class 6
12 (10)	Art Design Bay J:Adam Farragher T:William Haggas	J:Adam Farragher T:William Haggas	116	—	362	71	98	89	17d	—	—	+4	14.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Second last time out and goes handicapping off a realistic mark for her top yard
6 (4)	Ghost Run Bay J:Harry Davies T:Andrew Balding	J:Harry Davies T:Andrew Balding	126	—	561	81	96	89	15d	—	—	+13	19.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Made all at Newbury (6f) and she has scope for further improvement on nursery debut
8 (6)	Dolce Vitta Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	123	—	3151	78	96	76	24d	—	—	+20	24.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
The form of her two wins is far superior to the form of her two defeats; fair enough mark
11 (2)	Patsy Snugfit Grey J:Georgia Dobie T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Georgia Dobie T:Eve Johnson Houghton	117	b	3542	72	97	78	22d	—	—	+8	12.8	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Improved again to go down narrowly on last month's nursery debut at Ascot (6f)
7 (12)	Miss Collada Bay J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Richard Hannon	J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Richard Hannon	124	—	43110	79	91	78	14d	—	—	+17	21.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Won two weak races before failing to make much of an impression in the Super Sprint
9 (11)	Countess Ciara Chestnut J:Laura Coughlan(3) T:Archie Watson	J:Laura Coughlan(3) T:Archie Watson	122	—	912	77	97	86	12d	—	—	+16	19.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Better again to beat all bar one of her rivals on nursery debut at Windsor
NR (5)	Ardeur Brown J:NON-RUNNER T:Ralph Beckett	J:NON-RUNNER T:Ralph Beckett	128	—	414	83	93	-	33d	—	—	—	15.3	—	—
Non-runner
NR (8)	Naina Bay J:Laura Pearson T:John Ryan	J:Laura Pearson T:John Ryan	118	—	9301	73	91	77	25d	—	—	—	17.3	—	—
Won a weak maiden last time and she's back in trip here under livelier conditions

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Miss Fascinator	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1	10/3
Magic Mild	7/2	7/2	7/2	4/1	7/2
It Ain't Two	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Griselda	13/2	6/1	6/1	11/2	13/2
Art Design	8/1	13/2	7/1	7/1	15/2
Ghost Run	12/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Dolce Vitta	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Patsy Snugfit	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	18/1
Miss Collada	20/1	20/1	18/1	18/1	20/1
Countess Ciara	25/1	25/1	22/1	22/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Griselda

33.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 22 Odds: 3.3

13/2

2nd

Miss Fascinator

OR: 8.8 Form: 12.5 Odds: 5.7

10/3

3rd

Magic Mild

25.9

OR: 9 Form: 11.5 Odds: 5.4

4/1

Dolce Vitta

24.1

OR: 7 Form: 15.9 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Miss Collada

21.2

OR: 7.3 Form: 12.9 Odds: 1.1

20/1

It Ain't Two

20.5

OR: 10 Form: 6.5 Odds: 4

6/1

Ghost Run

19.7

OR: 7.8 Form: 10 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Countess Ciara

19.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 12 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Naina

17.3

OR: 5.8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 0

—

Ardeur

15.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

Art Design

14.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Patsy Snugfit

12.8

OR: 5.5 Form: 5.9 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
It Ain't Two	90	97	87
Magic Mild	86	99	88
Miss Fascinator	85	97	73
Griselda	83	98	79
Ardeur	83	93	—
Ghost Run	81	96	89
Miss Collada	79	91	78
Dolce Vitta	78	96	76
Countess Ciara	77	97	86
Naina	73	91	77
Patsy Snugfit	72	97	78
Art Design	71	98	89

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Miss Fascinator	8d ago	Quick return
Griselda	8d ago	Quick return
Countess Ciara	12d ago	Quick return
It Ain't Two	14d ago	Fit
Miss Collada	14d ago	Fit
Ghost Run	15d ago	Fit
Art Design	17d ago	Fit
Patsy Snugfit	22d ago	Fit
Magic Mild	23d ago	Fit
Dolce Vitta	24d ago	Fit
Naina	25d ago	Fit
Ardeur	33d ago	Fit

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Magic Mild	Prominent
It Ain't Two	Mid-Pack

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 12 runners classified.