Unibet Support Safe Gambling Handicap (Div II) – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

20:25

Unibet Support Safe Gambling Handicap (Div II)

Date 2024-08-07

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,187

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (7)	Heathcliff Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	137	—	82-413	72	87	76	34d	—	—	-22	18.8	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Sound form here since handicapping, winning over 7f then strong-finishing third over 6f
8 (3)	Imola Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Darryll Holland	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Darryll Holland	126	—	2-4743	61	77	68	28d	—	—	-4	10.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Six-race maiden who has largely consistent form; placed at this course last time
7 (5)	Waistcoat Chestnut J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	128	t	5-503	63	76	31	93d	—	—	-5	6.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Absent since an encouraging effort at Windsor (handicap debut) three months ago
3 (9)	Super Hit Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Marco Botti	J:Tom Marquand T:Marco Botti	135	—	3-1435	70	80	74	41d	—	—	0	9.8	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Disappointing on turf last time; has form figures of 313 in 7f contests on AW
10 (1)	Grecian God Bay J:George Bass(3) T:Mark Usher	J:George Bass(3) T:Mark Usher	122	—	66533	57	83	73	22d	—	—	+1	9.2	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Placed in two 6f events here since handicapping, shaping as if 7f will suit
2 (8)	Ten Commitments Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	136	h	522155	71	82	53	14d	—	—	+8	14.5	4.50/1	18/1 5%
May rebound with usual hood reapplied; won over this trip on turf in June
6 (4)	God Bless America Bay J:George Downing T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:George Downing T:Eve Johnson Houghton	131	t	227684	66	81	40	18d	—	—	+1	6.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Maiden who has failed to progress; application of tongue-tie needs to help
4 (10)	Hurricane Power Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Richard Kingscote T:Paul & Oliver Cole	133	b	78-378	68	81	-	20d	—	—	+1	5.7	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Exposed maiden whose chance depends on how well he takes to blinkers
5 (2)	Rock Armour Bay J:Morgan Cole(5) T:John Butler	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:John Butler	132	—	356	67	74	-	19d	—	—	+4	6.3	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Looks far from solid on form; something to prove off this opening mark
9 (6)	Sarakana Brown J:George Rooke T:Ed de Giles	J:George Rooke T:Ed de Giles	125	b	7-6057	60	75	63	19d	—	—	+1	3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Has totally failed to build on debut win; headgear enlisted

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Heathcliff	evn	11/10	evn	11/10	11/10
Imola	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Waistcoat	7/1	13/2	13/2	7/1	7/1
Super Hit	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Grecian God	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Ten Commitments	18/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
God Bless America	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Hurricane Power	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	20/1
Rock Armour	66/1	50/1	40/1	50/1	50/1
Sarakana	100/1	66/1	66/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Heathcliff

18.8

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 13.3

11/10

2nd

Ten Commitments

14.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 7.5 Odds: 1.7

18/1

3rd

Imola

10.3

OR: 2.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4

11/2

Super Hit

9.8

OR: 5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Grecian God

9.2

OR: 1.8 Form: 5.1 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Waistcoat

6.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

God Bless America

6.6

OR: 4 Form: 1 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Rock Armour

6.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Hurricane Power

5.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Sarakana

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Heathcliff	72	87	76
Ten Commitments	71	82	53
Super Hit	70	80	74
Hurricane Power	68	81	—
Rock Armour	67	74	—
God Bless America	66	81	40
Waistcoat	63	76	31
Imola	61	77	68
Sarakana	60	75	63
Grecian God	57	83	73

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ten Commitments	14d ago	Fit
God Bless America	18d ago	Fit
Rock Armour	19d ago	Fit
Sarakana	19d ago	Fit
Hurricane Power	20d ago	Fit
Grecian God	22d ago	Fit
Imola	28d ago	Fit
Heathcliff	34d ago	Fit
Super Hit	41d ago	Fit
Waistcoat	93d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.