Junction Gastro Bar & Guesthouse Handicap – Tipperary

Tipperary

17:15

Junction Gastro Bar & Guesthouse Handicap

Date 2024-08-09

Distance 5f

Class

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €6,785

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (7)	Nouvel Espoir Bay J:Ben Coen T:James M Barcoe	J:Ben Coen T:James M Barcoe	130	—	-01903	65	82	64	19d	—	—	-1	14.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Good Curragh run; probably best over a stiffer five but certainly not one to discount
11 (8)	I'm Spartacus Chestnut J:Adam Caffrey(3) T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Adam Caffrey(3) T:Adrian McGuinness	123	—	798882	61	78	60	14d	—	—	-2	11.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Runs off the same mark here as at Cork and will be thereabouts with a reproduction
2 (3)	Reinforce Chestnut J:Ronan Whelan T:Miss Katy Brown	J:Ronan Whelan T:Miss Katy Brown	140	—	427011	75	77	66	21d	—	—	+14	28.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Up 18lb for those two wins but trip and ground are in his favour and should go close
12 (11)	Realtin Fantasy Bay J:Wayne Hassett(5) T:W P Browne	J:Wayne Hassett(5) T:W P Browne	122	p	-83327	57	80	73	21d	—	—	-2	11.3	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Cheekpieces tried here and she seems to have her ideal conditions; one for the shortlist
3 (1)	Maggie McGrath Chestnut J:Colin Keane T:Daniel James Murphy	J:Colin Keane T:Daniel James Murphy	137	b	7-2679	72	81	46	19d	—	—	-2	8.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Well beaten in a Curragh handicap on her return to turf last month; others preferred
1 (14)	Sporting Hero Bay J:James Ryan(5) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J:James Ryan(5) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	142	p	-04027	77	81	62	56d	—	—	+4	12.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Second in a soft ground C&D handicap in late May; handles a sound surface; each-way chance
10 (10)	Sam's Xpress Brown J:Gavin Ryan T:Kieran P Cotter	J:Gavin Ryan T:Kieran P Cotter	124	b	-55784	59	81	56	35d	—	—	-3	4.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Okay run at Bellewstown; back to below his last winning mark now and blinkers are tried
6 (5)	Movento Bay J:Luke McAteer T:David Marnane	J:Luke McAteer T:David Marnane	129	b	075	67	78	44	73d	—	—	0	5.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Blinkers tried for his handicap debut and no surprise should he be capable of much better
7 (12)	She's Smart Bay J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:Adrian McGuinness	128	h	104605	66	81	73	19d	—	—	0	5.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Coming slowly back to her last winning mark and not much of a surprise should she run well
8 (2)	Gobi Star Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:James M Barcoe	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:James M Barcoe	127	—	447060	62	80	41	19d	—	—	0	4.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Not a factor over this trip at the Curragh last month; others preferred
4 (6)	Magic Force Bay J:Cristiano Martins T:Michael J Browne	J:Cristiano Martins T:Michael J Browne	133	—	22-0	71	78	55	14d	—	—	+3	6.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Soundly beaten on his stable debut in a Cork maiden last month; best watched
9 (13)	Your Day To Shine Bay J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Michael Mulvany	J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Michael Mulvany	125	—	888	63	75	45	14d	—	—	+1	4.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Not beaten that far in a 6f maiden at Cork latest; handicapper has not taken many chances
14 (9)	Florence Thompson Bay J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:J G Murray	J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:J G Murray	119	ht	068000	54	79	24	56d	—	—	0	1.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
53-race maiden and no encouragement from her recent form; 7lb wrong; new headgear tried
NR (4)	Art Of Unity Chestnut J:Rory Cleary T:Muredach Kelly	J:Rory Cleary T:Muredach Kelly	119	v	320-95	54	80	60	35d	—	—	—	1	—	—
No win for three years but some encouragement from his latest Bellewstown fifth; 3lb wrong

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Nouvel Espoir	9/2	4/1	9/2	9/2	9/2
I'm Spartacus	11/2	11/2	5/1	11/2	11/2
Reinforce	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Realtin Fantasy	6/1	6/1	11/2	6/1	6/1
Maggie McGrath	15/2	7/1	7/1	15/2	7/1
Sporting Hero	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Sam's Xpress	10/1	11/1	10/1	9/1	11/1
Movento	18/1	16/1	14/1	16/1	16/1
She's Smart	14/1	14/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Gobi Star	20/1	18/1	18/1	20/1	18/1
Magic Force	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Your Day To Shine	28/1	28/1	22/1	28/1	28/1
Florence Thompson	100/1	80/1	66/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Reinforce

28.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 18 Odds: 4

9/2

2nd

Nouvel Espoir

14.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 6 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Sporting Hero

12.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.4

8/1

I'm Spartacus

11.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 5 Odds: 4

11/2

Realtin Fantasy

11.3

OR: 1.8 Form: 5.9 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Maggie McGrath

8.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Magic Force

6.1

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Movento

5.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

She's Smart

5.4

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Sam's Xpress

4.4

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Gobi Star

4.2

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Your Day To Shine

4.1

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Florence Thompson

1.4

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Art Of Unity

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sporting Hero	77	81	62
Reinforce	75	77	66
Maggie McGrath	72	81	46
Magic Force	71	78	55
Movento	67	78	44
She's Smart	66	81	73
Nouvel Espoir	65	82	64
Your Day To Shine	63	75	45
Gobi Star	62	80	41
I'm Spartacus	61	78	60
Sam's Xpress	59	81	56
Realtin Fantasy	57	80	73
Florence Thompson	54	79	24
Art Of Unity	54	80	60

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
I'm Spartacus	14d ago	Fit
Magic Force	14d ago	Fit
Your Day To Shine	14d ago	Fit
Nouvel Espoir	19d ago	Fit
Maggie McGrath	19d ago	Fit
She's Smart	19d ago	Fit
Gobi Star	19d ago	Fit
Reinforce	21d ago	Fit
Realtin Fantasy	21d ago	Fit
Sam's Xpress	35d ago	Fit
Art Of Unity	35d ago	Fit
Sporting Hero	56d ago	Fresh
Florence Thompson	56d ago	Fresh
Movento	73d ago	Fresh