Coolmore Stud Churchill Stakes (Listed Race) – Tipperary

Tipperary

18:25

Coolmore Stud Churchill Stakes (Listed Race)

Date 2024-08-09

Distance 7f100y

Class Class 1

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize €26,550

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (4)	January Bay J:Ryan Moore T:A P O'Brien	J:Ryan Moore T:A P O'Brien	126	—	213	95	102	89	41d	—	—	-8	40	0.20/1	4/5 56%
Group 2 third for whom return to longer trip should suit and definite player
3 (2)	Green Triangle Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	131	t	231O	89	104	85	23d	—	—	+3	27	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Ran out close home when surefire winner at Killarney; major player barring mishaps
1 (3)	Beckman Bay J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	131	—	14	-	99	94	15d	—	—	-1	10.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Tyros fourth should stay but probably needs to improve to play a major role
6 (1)	Dahlia Noir Brown J:Gavin Ryan T:Donnacha Aidan O'Brien	J:Gavin Ryan T:Donnacha Aidan O'Brien	126	p	283	80	94	64	15d	—	—	+5	16.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Barely got home over this trip at Leopardstown; cheekpieces need to bring improvement
8 (6)	Senna's Girl Chestnut J:Danny Sheehy T:Diego Dias	J:Danny Sheehy T:Diego Dias	126	—	34	-	98	75	15d	—	—	-2	3.5	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Definite ability at long odds on both starts; has races in her when sights are lowered
5 (8)	Bay Colony Chestnut J:Seamie Heffernan T:J A Stack	J:Seamie Heffernan T:J A Stack	126	—	—	-	85	57	42d	—	—	-4	1.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Never counted on debut in hot Curragh maiden; apparently highly-regarded though
NR (7)	Grand Dante Chestnut J:Shane Foley T:Diego Dias	J:Shane Foley T:Diego Dias	131	—	48	-	75	64	42d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Upped in trip here and plenty to find with Beckman on Curragh running
NR (5)	No Return Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Ronan Whelan T:Adrian McGuinness	131	—	38	-	93	76	19d	—	—	—	2.1	—	—
Promise both starts; good bit to find but longer trip could bring improvement

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
January	8/11	8/11	4/5
Green Triangle	11/4	9/4	5/2
Beckman	15/2	15/2	15/2
Dahlia Noir	14/1	14/1	14/1
Senna's Girl	16/1	18/1	16/1
Bay Colony	33/1	28/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

January

OR: 11.3 Form: 12.5 Odds: 16.3

4/5

2nd

Green Triangle

OR: 9.8 Form: 10 Odds: 7.3

11/4

3rd

Dahlia Noir

16.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 5.5 Odds: 3.1

14/1

Beckman

10.2

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 3.2

15/2

Senna's Girl

3.5

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.4

18/1

No Return

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

Bay Colony

1.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.5

33/1

Grand Dante

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
January	95	102	89
Green Triangle	89	104	85
Dahlia Noir	80	94	64
Beckman	—	99	94
Senna's Girl	—	98	75
Bay Colony	—	85	57
Grand Dante	—	75	64
No Return	—	93	76

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Beckman	15d ago	Fit
Dahlia Noir	15d ago	Fit
Senna's Girl	15d ago	Fit
No Return	19d ago	Fit
Green Triangle	23d ago	Fit
January	41d ago	Fit
Bay Colony	42d ago	Fit
Grand Dante	42d ago	Fit