Irish Stallion Farms EBF Dick Hern Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares)

Haydock

16:45

Date 2024-08-10

Distance 1m37y

Class Class 1

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £31,191

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (1)	Indelible Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	123	—	21-142	104	115	80	35d	—	—	-11	24.9	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Has produced big efforts the last twice; this daughter of Midday could have more to offer
7 (8)	American Arrow Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	123	—	1	-	95	89	22d	—	—	+2	13.3	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Easy win on debut here three weeks ago; remains to be seen where her limitations lie
9 (5)	Strutting Chestnut J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	123	—	-45423	90	103	77	11d	—	—	+10	18.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Something to find now back up in grade but in good form and may have a tactical advantage
6 (6)	Orchid Bloom Grey J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	130	—	32-649	102	114	76	52d	—	—	+6	15.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Third in this last year; ran well when fourth in Irish Group 2 in May; not ruled out
5 (4)	Naomi Lapaglia Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Spencer	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Spencer	130	—	753-43	100	113	87	14d	—	—	+6	15.2	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Improved form this year with Listed fourth and Group 3 third; in with a chance
2 (9)	Choisya Chestnut J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	130	—	621-24	100	113	49	98d	—	—	+8	14.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Went close in Listed race on AW in April; soft ground perhaps not ideal at Goodwood since
1 (2)	Caernarfon Bay J:David Probert T:Jack Channon	J:David Probert T:Jack Channon	133	—	-35013	101	112	79	20d	—	—	+18	25.5	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Listed win at Pontefract last month; carries 3lb penalty today but could be thereabouts
4 (3)	Julia Augusta Bay J:Jason Watson T:David O'Meara	J:Jason Watson T:David O'Meara	130	—	544685	99	113	94	14d	—	—	+9	13.3	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Running pretty well in Group races this term; might not be far away now back down in grade
3 (7)	Dora Milaje Bay J:P J McDonald T:David O'Meara	J:P J McDonald T:David O'Meara	130	—	-52146	88	105	93	15d	—	—	+14	16.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Made it 3-6 with handicap win here in June but soundly beaten in two Listed races since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Indelible	11/8	5/4	5/4	6/4	11/8
American Arrow	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2	6/1
Strutting	10/1	17/2	9/1	9/1	9/1
Orchid Bloom	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1	8/1
Naomi Lapaglia	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Choisya	12/1	11/1	11/1	12/1	11/1
Caernarfon	9/1	10/1	11/1	10/1	10/1
Julia Augusta	20/1	18/1	18/1	20/1	20/1
Dora Milaje	28/1	25/1	28/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Caernarfon

25.5

OR: 12.8 Form: 10.6 Odds: 2.1

11/1

2nd

Indelible

24.9

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 11.4

6/4

3rd

Strutting

18.9

OR: 10 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Dora Milaje

16.9

OR: 9.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Orchid Bloom

15.9

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Naomi Lapaglia

15.2

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Choisya

14.4

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

American Arrow

13.3

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Julia Augusta

13.3

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Indelible	104	115	80
Orchid Bloom	102	114	76
Caernarfon	101	112	79
Naomi Lapaglia	100	113	87
Choisya	100	113	49
Julia Augusta	99	113	94
Strutting	90	103	77
Dora Milaje	88	105	93
American Arrow	—	95	89

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Strutting	11d ago	Quick return
Naomi Lapaglia	14d ago	Fit
Julia Augusta	14d ago	Fit
Dora Milaje	15d ago	Fit
Caernarfon	20d ago	Fit
American Arrow	22d ago	Fit
Indelible	35d ago	Fit
Orchid Bloom	52d ago	Fresh
Choisya	98d ago	Long break