Sorvio Insurance Brokers Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Salisbury

Salisbury

15:00

Sorvio Insurance Brokers Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2024-08-15

Distance 6f213y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,860

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (4)	Triumph Of Peace Brown J:Jim Crowley T:William Haggas	J:Jim Crowley T:William Haggas	128	—	73	-	84	18	23d	—	—	-17	11.9	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Excuse on debut and then placed at Lingfield when finding 6f on the sharp side
9 (3)	Upscale Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	128	h	2-023	82	94	76	47d	—	—	-7	19.5	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Big shout on her second at Haydock (7f, good) and the hood tried there now returns
4 (2)	Twisting Physics Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Rossa Ryan T:Paul & Oliver Cole	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-19	8.4	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Made 1,000,000gns as a yearling and 100,000gns when changing hands again as a 3yo
1 (7)	Bamburgh Bay J:Ryan Moore T:Charlie Johnston	J:Ryan Moore T:Charlie Johnston	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
80,000euros yearling and brother to 1,000 Guineas winner Mother Earth
2 (10)	I Can't Believe Bay J:Ray Dawson T:David Evans	J:Ray Dawson T:David Evans	133	—	8	-	70	44	101d	—	—	-4	1.4	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Down the field in one run for the Gosdens and sold on for 18,000gns; now gelded
10 (9)	Zambezi Diamond Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Henry Candy	J:Trevor Whelan T:Henry Candy	128	—	8	-	57	39	31d	—	—	-3	1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
40-1 and managed to beat only one home over a mile at Windsor last month (good to firm)
3 (5)	Treasure Bay Bay J:J F Egan T:Mark Gillard	J:J F Egan T:Mark Gillard	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Already gelded and the yard isn't renowned for winning races of this nature
6 (6)	Desert Footsteps Bay J:Charlie Bennett T:Marcus Tregoning	J:Charlie Bennett T:Marcus Tregoning	128	—	69	-	65	33	69d	—	—	-1	0.3	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Beaten double-digit lengths in 1m races at Goodwood on soft and good ground
5 (1)	Ultimate Sapphire Bay J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Joe Tickle	J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Joe Tickle	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Sixth foal; closely related to German 1m1f winner Saphirrouge; gelded ahead of debut
7 (8)	Rising From Embers Chestnut J:Rob Hornby T:Joe Tickle	J:Rob Hornby T:Joe Tickle	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Seventh foal; half-sister to 7f-1m4f winner Dr Rio (RPR 80); dam 7f/1m winner (83)

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Triumph Of Peace	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1
Upscale	9/4	5/2	5/2	11/4	5/2
Twisting Physics	15/8	9/4	2/1	15/8	9/4
Bamburgh	11/1	9/1	17/2	7/1	9/1
I Can't Believe	22/1	18/1	16/1	14/1	18/1
Zambezi Diamond	50/1	28/1	25/1	25/1	28/1
Treasure Bay	125/1	100/1	100/1	80/1	100/1
Desert Footsteps	80/1	66/1	66/1	80/1	66/1
Ultimate Sapphire	150/1	125/1	125/1	150/1	125/1
Rising From Embers	150/1	125/1	125/1	150/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Upscale

19.5

OR: 8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 8

11/4

2nd

Triumph Of Peace

11.9

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 8.9

2/1

3rd

Twisting Physics

8.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

9/4

Bamburgh

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

11/1

I Can't Believe

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Zambezi Diamond

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

50/1

Desert Footsteps

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Treasure Bay

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Ultimate Sapphire

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Rising From Embers

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Upscale	82	94	76
Triumph Of Peace	—	84	18
Twisting Physics	—	—	—
Bamburgh	—	—	—
I Can't Believe	—	70	44
Zambezi Diamond	—	57	39
Treasure Bay	—	—	—
Desert Footsteps	—	65	33
Ultimate Sapphire	—	—	—
Rising From Embers	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Triumph Of Peace	23d ago	Fit
Zambezi Diamond	31d ago	Fit
Upscale	47d ago	Fresh
Desert Footsteps	69d ago	Fresh
I Can't Believe	101d ago	Long break
Twisting Physics	—	—
Bamburgh	—	—
Treasure Bay	—	—
Ultimate Sapphire	—	—
Rising From Embers	—	—