Believe Specialist Finance Apprentice Handicap – Doncaster

Doncaster

13:57

Believe Specialist Finance Apprentice Handicap

Date 2024-08-17

Distance 1m2f43y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,397

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (4)	Persian Phoenix Grey Roan J:Archie Young(5) T:Charlie Johnston	J:Archie Young(5) T:Charlie Johnston	128	—	365222	63	81	71	2d	—	—	-6	23.1	0.47/1	15/8 35%
No win since June last year; 2nd on last three starts, latest on Thursday (1m); contender
2 (7)	Liberty Coach Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:John & Sean Quinn	137	p	33344	72	80	71	14d	—	—	-16	19.9	0.41/1	13/8 38%
In the frame all starts so far; first run on fast ground and first in cheekpieces
6 (3)	Roman Secret Bay J:Ethan Tindall(7) T:Richard Fahey	J:Ethan Tindall(7) T:Richard Fahey	128	—	1-7776	63	77	51	28d	—	—	0	14.3	1.50/1	6/1 14%
AW nursery winner; modest in turf handicaps this term; well treated; needs to bounce back
4 (5)	Epidavros Bay J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Katie Scott	J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Katie Scott	133	—	46237	68	79	57	17d	—	—	+4	11.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Ex-David Loughnane; 11,000gns buy in July; likely to improve on stable debut run; player
3 (6)	Kaaress Bay J:Shay Farmer(7) T:Ollie Pears	J:Shay Farmer(7) T:Ollie Pears	136	h	1-6177	71	73	35	39d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+8	13.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
3 AW wins last autumn; won 3-runner turf h'cap in May; has not run as well since; hood now
7 (1)	Spring Festival Bay J:Mark Winn T:David O'Meara	J:Mark Winn T:David O'Meara	127	—	0968	62	78	47	19d	—	—	0	4.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Modest efforts in three 7f novices; well beaten on h'cap debut (1m); may do better at 1m2f
1 (2)	Keady Town Bay J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Barry Murtagh	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Barry Murtagh	137	—	4-2544	72	77	62	65d	—	—	+3	6.4	7.00/1	28/1 3%
20,000gns buy from Richard Hughes; 0-7; some fair runs, including last two; stable debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Persian Phoenix	15/8	15/8	7/4	7/4	7/4
Liberty Coach	11/8	5/4	11/8	6/4	13/8
Roman Secret	11/2	5/1	6/1	11/2	5/1
Epidavros	12/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	10/1
Kaaress	18/1	14/1	16/1	14/1	14/1
Spring Festival	28/1	22/1	28/1	28/1	22/1
Keady Town	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Persian Phoenix

23.1

OR: 3.3 Form: 11 Odds: 8.9

15/8

2nd

Liberty Coach

19.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 3 Odds: 11.4

13/8

3rd

Roman Secret

14.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 7 Odds: 4

6/1

Kaaress

13.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Epidavros

11.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 4.6 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Keady Town

6.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Spring Festival

4.1

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Liberty Coach	72	80	71
Keady Town	72	77	62
Kaaress	71	73	35
Epidavros	68	79	57
Persian Phoenix	63	81	71
Roman Secret	63	77	51
Spring Festival	62	78	47

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Persian Phoenix	2d ago	Quick return
Liberty Coach	14d ago	Fit
Epidavros	17d ago	Fit
Spring Festival	19d ago	Fit
Roman Secret	28d ago	Fit
Kaaress	39d ago	Fit
Keady Town	65d ago	Fresh