Visit Perth Museum Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div II)

Perth

16:30

Date 2024-08-17

Distance 2m47y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,357

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7	United Front Bay J:Jonathan Burke T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Jonathan Burke T:Fergal O'Brien	158	—	52	-	109	64	27d	—	—	-9	10.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
1m2f Flat winner; improved despite again racing freely latest; contender if settling.
9	Southey Chestnut J:Mr S Connor(7) T:S R B Crawford	J:Mr S Connor(7) T:S R B Crawford	155	t	6-8U32	-	111	92	33d	—	—	-11	4.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Improved when second latest; prominent style could suit this further drop in trip; player.
10	Cabra Lady Chestnut J:Mr N McParlan(3) T:S McParlan	J:Mr N McParlan(3) T:S McParlan	151	h	3P-231	-	-	-	22d	—	—	-11	4.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Bumper winner latest; half-sister to 2m4f hurdle winner; interesting newcomer to hurdles.
4	Kells And Connor Grey J:Alex Harvey(5) T:Gerald Stephen Quinn	J:Alex Harvey(5) T:Gerald Stephen Quinn	158	t	5-144	-	94	40	44d	—	—	-10	4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Likely to need significantly more than when fourth on hurdling debut; tongue-tie goes on.
2	Byron Hill Bay J:Henry Brooke T:Patrick Neville	J:Henry Brooke T:Patrick Neville	158	—	U33/28	102	110	86	63d	—	0W/1P 2 runs	+5	16.3	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Well below par on handicap debut latest and now tries again in this sphere; likely player.
1	Auld Toon Loon Bay J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	158	t	7	-	90	19	63d	—	—	-8	3.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Dual Flat winner at around 1m2f; had excuses when beaten 24l on hurdles debut; improve.
5	Polling Day Bay J:Nick Scholfield T:Archie Watson	J:Nick Scholfield T:Archie Watson	158	t	F25	102	106	82	27d	—	—	+8	18.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Jumping let him down late on latest; likely to be very competitive in this field.
8	Kentucky Bluegrass Bay J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Nigel Hawke	J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Nigel Hawke	155	t	85-378	96	103	72	23d	—	—	+8	12.9	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Should get closer back in this sphere than he has in two recent handicaps; tongue tied.
3	Golden Swift Bay J:Ben Smith(7) T:R Mike Smith	J:Ben Smith(7) T:R Mike Smith	158	—	000U-P	72	80	48	55d	—	—	+4	6	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Well beaten or failed to complete at big prices in all six starts.
6	Sheriff Haskell Bay J:David Noonan T:R Mike Smith	J:David Noonan T:R Mike Smith	158	t	P/P-0	-	82	23	44d	—	—	-1	0.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
33-1 and beaten 27l on rules debut here (2m4f) last month; has since left Stuart Crawford.
11	Apples Destiny Bay J:Conor Rabbitt(5) T:R Mike Smith	J:Conor Rabbitt(5) T:R Mike Smith	148	—	7P-U0	-	60	-	34d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Big prices and no worthwhile form in four starts.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
United Front	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3
Southey	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Cabra Lady	9/2	5/1	9/2	4/1	9/2
Kells And Connor	5/1	5/1	9/2	5/1	5/1
Byron Hill	15/2	15/2	15/2	8/1	15/2
Auld Toon Loon	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Polling Day	13/2	13/2	13/2	7/1	13/2
Kentucky Bluegrass	20/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	18/1
Golden Swift	125/1	80/1	100/1	100/1	100/1
Sheriff Haskell	125/1	100/1	80/1	80/1	100/1
Apples Destiny	150/1	150/1	100/1	125/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Polling Day

18.8

OR: 13 Form: 2.8 Odds: 3.1

7/1

2nd

Byron Hill

16.3

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

8/1

3rd

Kentucky Bluegrass

12.9

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

United Front

10.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Golden Swift

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

125/1

Southey

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Cabra Lady

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Kells And Connor

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

Auld Toon Loon

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Sheriff Haskell

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Apples Destiny

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Byron Hill	102	110	86
Polling Day	102	106	82
Kentucky Bluegrass	96	103	72
Golden Swift	72	80	48
United Front	—	109	64
Southey	—	111	92
Cabra Lady	—	—	—
Kells And Connor	—	94	40
Auld Toon Loon	—	90	19
Sheriff Haskell	—	82	23
Apples Destiny	—	60	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Cabra Lady	22d ago	Fit
Kentucky Bluegrass	23d ago	Fit
United Front	27d ago	Fit
Polling Day	27d ago	Fit
Southey	33d ago	Fit
Apples Destiny	34d ago	Fit
Kells And Connor	44d ago	Fit
Sheriff Haskell	44d ago	Fit
Golden Swift	55d ago	Fresh
Byron Hill	63d ago	Fresh
Auld Toon Loon	63d ago	Fresh