Kelly Chapman, Platinum Air Cargo UK Handicap – Windsor

Windsor

19:15

Kelly Chapman, Platinum Air Cargo UK Handicap

Date 2024-08-24

Distance 1m31y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,653

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (5)	Arkhalia Flynn Bay J:George Bass(3) T:Jack Channon	J:George Bass(3) T:Jack Channon	134	h	-52131	78	85	74	18d	—	—	+10	32.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Looked happy on soft at Ffos Las and has a big shout should conditions ease
4 (2)	Intercessor Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Saffie Osborne T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	139	tb	241362	77	84	79	82d	—	—	+4	21.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
No luck two runs ago but in good form otherwise and went down narrowly over C&D last time
5 (10)	Pitney Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Hugo Palmer	J:Hayley Turner T:Hugo Palmer	136	v	1-0257	80	86	52	23d	—	—	+4	18.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Not seen to best effect the last twice on either side of being gelded
3 (3)	Repertoire Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:David Simcock	J:Jamie Spencer T:David Simcock	141	—	-44537	79	87	74	44d	—	—	-1	13.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Wouldn't want the ground to turn too soft and an infrequent winner at the best of times
8 (7)	Law Supreme Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Ian Williams	J:Cieren Fallon T:Ian Williams	134	—	912390	72	86	64	16d	—	—	+3	13.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Competitive mark and good chance if conditions go his way (likes give underfoot)
9 (8)	Achillea Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dean Ivory	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dean Ivory	133	—	14-009	71	83	42	10d	—	—	-1	7.8	2.00/1	8/1 11%
3lb beneath the mark of her two wins but this season's disappointments need forgiving
10 (9)	Dembe Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:Simon Pearce	J:Paddy Bradley T:Simon Pearce	133	—	292750	71	86	60	28d	—	—	+2	8.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Unlikely that he took to Chester last time and wasn't running badly before then
11 (1)	Green Power Bay J:Finley Marsh T:John Gallagher	J:Finley Marsh T:John Gallagher	130	—	110050	68	82	23	42d	—	—	+4	7.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Should be on a good mark but hasn't been firing as he can of late
NR (6)	Lyndon B Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:John & Rhys Flint	J:Kieran O'Neill T:John & Rhys Flint	142	p	605452	80	86	73	8d	—	—	—	12.5	—	—
Good second at Newbury last week but may struggle to repeat that on wet ground
NR (11)	Youarenotforgiven Bay J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	142	—	468316	80	82	64	16d	—	1W/1P 1 run	—	16	—	—
Opposable on balance of this year's form and could do with the rain staying away
NR (12)	Bourgeoisie Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Richard Hannon	J:NON-RUNNER T:Richard Hannon	135	—	5222-5	79	-	-	82d	—	—	—	7.3	—	—
Three seconds last season; encouraging return and now goes handicapping; non-runner
NR (4)	Midnight Drive Bay J:John Fahy T:Clive Cox	J:John Fahy T:Clive Cox	126	—	6-5411	70	87	-	108d	—	—	—	5	—	—
Raised her profile since handicapping, landing back-to-back 1m races on the Kempton AW

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Arkhalia Flynn	11/4	11/4	11/4
Intercessor	9/2	4/1	4/1
Pitney	9/2	9/2	9/2
Repertoire	11/2	5/1	5/1
Law Supreme	7/1	7/1	7/1
Achillea	8/1	8/1	8/1
Dembe	14/1	12/1	14/1
Green Power	33/1	33/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Arkhalia Flynn

32.3

OR: 7 Form: 18.6 Odds: 6.7

11/4

2nd

Intercessor

21.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 9.5 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Pitney

18.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 7 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Youarenotforgiven

OR: 7.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0

—

Law Supreme

13.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Repertoire

13.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4

11/2

Lyndon B

12.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Dembe

8.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Achillea

7.8

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

8/1

Green Power

7.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 2 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Bourgeoisie

7.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Midnight Drive

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Pitney	80	86	52
Lyndon B	80	86	73
Youarenotforgiven	80	82	64
Repertoire	79	87	74
Bourgeoisie	79	—	—
Arkhalia Flynn	78	85	74
Intercessor	77	84	79
Law Supreme	72	86	64
Achillea	71	83	42
Dembe	71	86	60
Midnight Drive	70	87	—
Green Power	68	82	23

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lyndon B	8d ago	Quick return
Achillea	10d ago	Quick return
Law Supreme	16d ago	Fit
Youarenotforgiven	16d ago	Fit
Arkhalia Flynn	18d ago	Fit
Pitney	23d ago	Fit
Dembe	28d ago	Fit
Green Power	42d ago	Fit
Repertoire	44d ago	Fit
Intercessor	82d ago	Fresh
Bourgeoisie	82d ago	Fresh
Midnight Drive	108d ago	Long break