Eco Scheme Chepstow Mile Series Final Handicap – Chepstow

Chepstow

15:35

Eco Scheme Chepstow Mile Series Final Handicap

Date 2024-08-26

Distance 1m14y

Class Class 2

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £15,462

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (5)	Lady Flora Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Andrew Balding	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Andrew Balding	129	—	343412	78	91	79	18d	—	—	+7	25.1	0.88/1	7/2 22%
C&D win in July; good 2nd here latest; up further 4lb; likely to go well again
6 (2)	Kalama Sunrise Bay J:David Probert T:Jack Channon	J:David Probert T:Jack Channon	129	p	111221	72	90	84	11d	—	—	+14	31.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Five wins since cheekpieces fitted, 3 over C&D; up 4lb for latest but still improving
2 (8)	Valkyrian Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	138	—	621122	81	89	66	12d	—	—	+15	29.3	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Remained in form since C&D win in July (good; has won on good to soft); not far away
1 (10)	Stockpyle Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	138	—	421175	81	89	77	25d	—	—	+8	20.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Won 2 from 3 course starts (7f and 1m); back up 7lb and held at Ascot on latest turf run
9 (9)	Soi Dao Bay J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Adrian Wintle	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Adrian Wintle	121	—	144433	64	89	83	11d	—	—	+2	11.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Won at about 1m in May; rather becalmed at the trip since; fared better back at 7f latest
4 (7)	Believe You Me Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Heather Main	J:Trevor Whelan T:Heather Main	129	—	242118	72	88	72	18d	—	—	+13	21.2	2.50/1	10/1 9%
All 3 wins at 7f here; up 10lb for July win; held latest; trip query returned to 1m
8 (4)	Racing Demon Bay J:George Rooke T:Ed de Giles	J:George Rooke T:Ed de Giles	123	h	911020	66	87	65	53d	—	—	+6	14.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Two wins in May, including C&D (soft); off day latest but return to 1m will suit
3 (11)	Magical Merlin Grey J:Finley Marsh T:Harry Charlton	J:Finley Marsh T:Harry Charlton	132	p	-03520	75	87	69	18d	—	—	+6	12.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Both wins at 6f; seems to stay 1m; probably needs a weak handicap to win off current mark
7 (6)	Macs Dilemma Bay J:Millie Wonnacott(5) T:John O'Shea	J:Millie Wonnacott(5) T:John O'Shea	127	p	-54652	70	88	75	18d	—	—	+7	11	6.25/1	25/1 4%
4lb lower than latest win; back to form latest; weak finisher over 1m more often than not
10 (3)	Fact Or Fable Grey J:Morgan Cole(5) T:J S Moore	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:J S Moore	114	p	241251	57	87	78	9d	—	—	+15	18.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Multiple wins on good or quicker, four here; in form but 3lb out of the weights
11 (1)	Letter Of The Law Bay J:Mia Nicholls(5) T:John O'Shea	J:Mia Nicholls(5) T:John O'Shea	114	b	174214	57	84	76	6d	—	—	+9	12	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Often leads; has won over C&D and 1m2f this year but had an off day last week; 4lb wrong
12 (12)	Bantry Bay J:Connor Planas(3) T:John O'Shea	J:Connor Planas(3) T:John O'Shea	114	—	515665	57	86	80	31d	—	—	+2	4.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Soft-ground winner over 7f in April but weak finisher at 1m and 4lb wrong

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Lady Flora	10/3	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Kalama Sunrise	7/2	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1
Valkyrian	6/1	11/2	5/1	9/2	5/1
Stockpyle	7/1	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1
Soi Dao	8/1	17/2	8/1	8/1	17/2
Believe You Me	9/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Racing Demon	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Magical Merlin	11/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Macs Dilemma	22/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Fact Or Fable	28/1	28/1	25/1	22/1	28/1
Letter Of The Law	33/1	33/1	33/1	25/1	33/1
Bantry	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kalama Sunrise

31.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 21 Odds: 5

4/1

2nd

Valkyrian

29.3

OR: 7.8 Form: 17.5 Odds: 4

6/1

3rd

Lady Flora

25.1

OR: 7 Form: 12.9 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Believe You Me

21.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Stockpyle

20.1

OR: 7.8 Form: 9 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Fact Or Fable

18.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 15.5 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Racing Demon

14.9

OR: 4 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Magical Merlin

12.4

OR: 6.3 Form: 4.4 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Letter Of The Law

OR: 1.8 Form: 9.5 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Soi Dao

11.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 5.1 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Macs Dilemma

OR: 5 Form: 5 Odds: 1

25/1

Bantry

4.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 2 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Valkyrian	81	89	66
Stockpyle	81	89	77
Lady Flora	78	91	79
Magical Merlin	75	87	69
Kalama Sunrise	72	90	84
Believe You Me	72	88	72
Macs Dilemma	70	88	75
Racing Demon	66	87	65
Soi Dao	64	89	83
Fact Or Fable	57	87	78
Letter Of The Law	57	84	76
Bantry	57	86	80

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Letter Of The Law	6d ago	Quick return
Fact Or Fable	9d ago	Quick return
Kalama Sunrise	11d ago	Quick return
Soi Dao	11d ago	Quick return
Valkyrian	12d ago	Quick return
Lady Flora	18d ago	Fit
Believe You Me	18d ago	Fit
Magical Merlin	18d ago	Fit
Macs Dilemma	18d ago	Fit
Stockpyle	25d ago	Fit
Bantry	31d ago	Fit
Racing Demon	53d ago	Fresh