Theakston's Beer Festival Saturday 28th September Handicap

Ripon

16:20

Date 2024-08-26

Distance 5f

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,711

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (11)	Strong Johnson Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Paul Midgley	J:Joe Fanning T:Paul Midgley	138	—	455022	72	85	62	13d	—	—	-5	22.4	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Yet to win this year but he retains ability, ran well latest & is a well-drawn C&D winner
5 (5)	High Opinion Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	135	—	321144	69	83	67	37d	—	—	+3	18.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Two Class 6 wins in June; solid runs in defeat twice since; career best required to win
7 (8)	Woobay Bay J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Danny Brooke	J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Danny Brooke	133	—	762147	67	84	75	21d	—	—	+2	14.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
C&D win last month; fluffed the start when a hot fav here latest; can bounce back quickly
9 (7)	Leodis Dream Bay J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	132	—	129706	66	82	74	19d	—	—	-1	7.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Bright start to the season but he's gone cold since; dangerous mark as a result
10 (6)	Brian The Snail Grey J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:Patrick Morris	J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:Patrick Morris	128	p	542195	62	83	67	9d	—	—	+4	11.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
This is much stronger than the Thirsk handicap he won last month; others appeal more
6 (1)	Keldeo Grey J:Harry Russell T:Ollie Pears	J:Harry Russell T:Ollie Pears	134	p	213542	70	82	71	31d	—	—	+7	15.3	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Running well this summer but she will need the new cheekpieces to prompt improvement
3 (9)	Ingleby Archie Bay J:Connor Murtagh T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Connor Murtagh T:Adrian Nicholls	137	—	237115	73	79	59	23d	—	—	+13	20.5	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Failed in hat-trick bid last time but that race set up for the closers; big run likely
2 (4)	Our Absent Friends Chestnut J:Rowan Scott T:Tristan Davidson	J:Rowan Scott T:Tristan Davidson	138	p	600292	72	80	68	17d	—	0W/1P 1 run	+8	14.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Runner-up in his last two starts over 5f, including here; respected
11 (2)	Hoof It Hoof It Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	123	t	003039	57	83	66	7d	—	—	-1	6.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Course winner; good run over C&D three weeks ago but less good last time
8 (3)	Restless Prince Bay J:Sam Feilden(7) T:K R Burke	J:Sam Feilden(7) T:K R Burke	132	—	510498	68	82	60	12d	—	—	+5	7	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Not kicked on from his soft-ground maiden win in April; others look safer
NR (10)	Scoops Ahoy Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	136	tp	320420	72	80	56	1d	—	—	—	10	—	—
Won at Redcar in May and continued in good form, but down the field at Beverley yesterday

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Strong Johnson	2/1	9/4	2/1	2/1	2/1
High Opinion	11/2	5/1	5/1	11/2	5/1
Woobay	6/1	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2
Leodis Dream	9/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Brian The Snail	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Keldeo	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Ingleby Archie	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Our Absent Friends	10/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Hoof It Hoof It	11/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1
Restless Prince	66/1	40/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Strong Johnson

22.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 8.4

9/4

2nd

Ingleby Archie

20.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 12.6 Odds: 2.1

11/1

3rd

High Opinion

18.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 9 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Keldeo

15.3

OR: 5 Form: 7.9 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Our Absent Friends

14.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Woobay

14.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Brian The Snail

11.6

OR: 3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Scoops Ahoy

OR: 5.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 0

—

Leodis Dream

7.1

OR: 4 Form: 1 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Restless Prince

OR: 4.5 Form: 2 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Hoof It Hoof It

6.9

OR: 1.8 Form: 3 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ingleby Archie	73	79	59
Strong Johnson	72	85	62
Our Absent Friends	72	80	68
Scoops Ahoy	72	80	56
Keldeo	70	82	71
High Opinion	69	83	67
Restless Prince	68	82	60
Woobay	67	84	75
Leodis Dream	66	82	74
Brian The Snail	62	83	67
Hoof It Hoof It	57	83	66

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Scoops Ahoy	1d ago	Quick return
Hoof It Hoof It	7d ago	Quick return
Brian The Snail	9d ago	Quick return
Restless Prince	12d ago	Quick return
Strong Johnson	13d ago	Quick return
Our Absent Friends	17d ago	Fit
Leodis Dream	19d ago	Fit
Woobay	21d ago	Fit
Ingleby Archie	23d ago	Fit
Keldeo	31d ago	Fit
High Opinion	37d ago	Fit