National Racehorse Week 7th-15th September Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

18:08

National Racehorse Week 7th-15th September Handicap

Date 2024-08-27

Distance 1m1y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £2,983

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (6)	Time Tested Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Michael Bell	J:Hector Crouch T:Michael Bell	132	—	87012	57	70	-	18d	—	—	-6	22.6	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Won a classified at Yarmouth last month; second in a similar race at Brighton 18 days ago.
1 (5)	Come On You Spurs Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Richard Spencer	J:Oisin Murphy T:Richard Spencer	137	h	3-2135	62	73	27	10d	—	—	-13	13.1	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Won at this track's turf course last month but raced too freely on her last two starts.
2 (10)	Forever Noah Bay J:Ray Dawson T:Roger Varian	J:Ray Dawson T:Roger Varian	136	—	53443	61	71	48	18d	—	—	-9	13.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Hasn't been beaten far in his last two runs and this step up in trip will suit.
3 (2)	Snooker McCrew Chestnut J:Liam Keniry T:J S Moore	J:Liam Keniry T:J S Moore	135	—	5-0591	60	67	61	5d	—	—	-8	6.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Got off the mark on the return to this C&D last Thursday when making all.
10 (3)	Lightning Bay Bay J:Luke Morris T:John Butler	J:Luke Morris T:John Butler	122	tp	205723	47	70	52	12d	—	—	+2	8.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Good second at Wolverhampton last month and respectable third at Chelmsford 12 days ago.
6 (1)	Asian Tide Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	130	—	8459-7	55	71	-	52d	—	—	-2	2.3	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Made an inauspicious return when seventh of eight at Leicester last month.
8 (11)	Explosively Bay J:Neil Callan T:William Knight	J:Neil Callan T:William Knight	127	p	8-47	52	65	-	61d	—	—	-2	1.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
May show improvement now she steps up in trip on her handicap debut.
9 (12)	Run Joy Run Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Adam West	J:Josephine Gordon T:Adam West	122	p	336946	47	69	46	24d	—	—	-1	1.1	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Creditable fourth at Chepstow last month but last of six at Windsor 24 days ago.
7 (7)	Northstead Gardens Chestnut J:Joey Haynes T:David Simcock	J:Joey Haynes T:David Simcock	129	—	49766	54	67	20	28d	—	—	0	1.5	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Unplaced from her five starts this year; needs to show improvement.
12 (4)	Little White Dove Chestnut J:Tyler Heard T:Mark Usher	J:Tyler Heard T:Mark Usher	121	—	674587	46	70	26	8d	—	—	-2	0.6	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Modest maiden; hasn't offered enough in handicaps to think she is the answer today.
11 (8)	Sheila Tequila Bay J:William Cox T:Adam West	J:William Cox T:Adam West	121	h	580-00	46	66	45	21d	—	—	-1	0.3	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Fared no better on stable debut when tenth of 13 at Chelmsford three weeks ago.
NR (9)	Loose Tongue b/br J:Finley Marsh T:David Evans	J:Finley Marsh T:David Evans	133	h	833168	58	70	22	15d	—	—	—	8.5	—	—
Got off the mark at Chepstow in May but below that form in her two starts since.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Time Tested	15/8	2/1	15/8	2/1	2/1
Come On You Spurs	5/2	5/2	5/2	85/40	5/2
Forever Noah	10/3	5/2	7/2	10/3	7/2
Snooker McCrew	11/2	11/2	5/1	9/2	5/1
Lightning Bay	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Asian Tide	25/1	28/1	25/1	18/1	25/1
Explosively	33/1	33/1	28/1	25/1	33/1
Run Joy Run	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	66/1
Northstead Gardens	100/1	80/1	66/1	40/1	66/1
Little White Dove	150/1	66/1	66/1	40/1	66/1
Sheila Tequila	250/1	125/1	100/1	80/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Time Tested

22.6

OR: 1.8 Form: 12 Odds: 8.9

2/1

2nd

Forever Noah

13.3

OR: 2.8 Form: 3.9 Odds: 6.7

7/2

3rd

Come On You Spurs

13.1

OR: 3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 8

5/2

Loose Tongue

8.5

OR: 2 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0

—

Lightning Bay

8.2

OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Snooker McCrew

6.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Asian Tide

2.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Northstead Gardens

1.5

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100/1

Explosively

1.3

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Run Joy Run

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Little White Dove

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

150/1

Sheila Tequila

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Come On You Spurs	62	73	27
Forever Noah	61	71	48
Snooker McCrew	60	67	61
Loose Tongue	58	70	22
Time Tested	57	70	—
Asian Tide	55	71	—
Northstead Gardens	54	67	20
Explosively	52	65	—
Lightning Bay	47	70	52
Run Joy Run	47	69	46
Little White Dove	46	70	26
Sheila Tequila	46	66	45

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Snooker McCrew	5d ago	Quick return
Little White Dove	8d ago	Quick return
Come On You Spurs	10d ago	Quick return
Lightning Bay	12d ago	Quick return
Loose Tongue	15d ago	Fit
Time Tested	18d ago	Fit
Forever Noah	18d ago	Fit
Sheila Tequila	21d ago	Fit
Run Joy Run	24d ago	Fit
Northstead Gardens	28d ago	Fit
Asian Tide	52d ago	Fresh
Explosively	61d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.