Portobello Cup Handicap – Musselburgh

Musselburgh

16:05

Portobello Cup Handicap

Date 2024-08-28

Distance 2m2f28y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £10,468

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (3)	Simple Star Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Dianne Sayer	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Dianne Sayer	134	—	-25003	73	84	61	19d	—	—	-9	17.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Sole go beyond 1m5f on Flat was in this last year, neck 2nd in slowly run five-runner race
2 (2)	Yorkindness Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	135	—	475543	74	85	70	21d	—	—	-2	13.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Five wins last term, the last over C&D; 7lb lower now, having gone the wrong way this year
4 (8)	Pons Aelius Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Charlie Johnston	J:Oisin Orr T:Charlie Johnston	130	—	364631	69	85	71	13d	—	—	+8	20.2	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Back up 3lb after Beverley win but had better form last year; no surprise if on premises
8 (4)	Zephlyn Bay J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Ewan Whillans	J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Ewan Whillans	120	t	217524	59	85	70	22d	—	—	0	10.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
0-12 on turf but went close when returning to form over C&D (good) on penultimate start
7 (6)	Rory The Cat Chestnut J:Andrew Mullen T:Lucinda Russell	J:Andrew Mullen T:Lucinda Russell	120	tb	3-3661	59	84	76	19d	—	—	-3	7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Co-favourite and back to form when winning six-runner race here (1m6f) latest; stays 2m1f
9 (1)	Trojan Sun Bay J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	116	p	477258	55	87	81	23d	—	—	-5	7.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Stayed on into second late in the day on handicap debut over C&D; some renewed hope latest
5 (7)	Show No Fear Bay J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Rebecca Menzies	128	v	261200	67	85	33	6d	—	—	+5	11.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Two good runs before twice finishing last; different headgear this time
1 (9)	Two Auld Pals Bay J:Archie Young(5) T:Lucinda Russell	J:Archie Young(5) T:Lucinda Russell	135	p	48-156	74	87	54	33d	—	—	+2	7.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Hamilton 1m5f win in May; backward steps on last two starts, trying cheekpieces on latest
NR (5)	Tailorman Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Ian Williams	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Ian Williams	128	—	428621	67	85	62	1d	—	—	—	18.8	—	—
Off the mark after prolonged tussle over 2m at Ripon yesterday; penalty today

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Simple Star	9/4	9/4	9/4	5/2	9/4
Yorkindness	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Pons Aelius	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Zephlyn	13/2	7/1	13/2	7/1	7/1
Rory The Cat	15/2	15/2	7/1	7/1	15/2
Trojan Sun	8/1	8/1	10/1	11/1	8/1
Show No Fear	11/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	10/1
Two Auld Pals	16/1	16/1	18/1	16/1	16/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Pons Aelius

20.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 12.1 Odds: 3.3

6/1

2nd

Tailorman

18.8

OR: 4.3 Form: 14.5 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Simple Star

17.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 4 Odds: 8

5/2

Yorkindness

13.4

OR: 6 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Show No Fear

11.7

OR: 4.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Zephlyn

10.8

OR: 2.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Two Auld Pals

7.4

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Trojan Sun

7.1

OR: 1.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 3.3

11/1

Rory The Cat

OR: 2.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Yorkindness	74	85	70
Two Auld Pals	74	87	54
Simple Star	73	84	61
Pons Aelius	69	85	71
Show No Fear	67	85	33
Tailorman	67	85	62
Zephlyn	59	85	70
Rory The Cat	59	84	76
Trojan Sun	55	87	81

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tailorman	1d ago	Quick return
Show No Fear	6d ago	Quick return
Pons Aelius	13d ago	Quick return
Simple Star	19d ago	Fit
Rory The Cat	19d ago	Fit
Yorkindness	21d ago	Fit
Zephlyn	22d ago	Fit
Trojan Sun	23d ago	Fit
Two Auld Pals	33d ago	Fit