Seagreen Is Done, Canter Believe It Handicap – Musselburgh

Musselburgh

15:35

Seagreen Is Done, Canter Believe It Handicap

Date 2024-08-28

Distance 1m208y

Class Class 6

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,664

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (11)	Evelyn's Phoenix Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	137	p	421441	67	75	68	17d	—	—	+4	24.4	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Reliable sort who has won three of his nine handicaps, including at Ripon (1m2f) last time
3 (1)	Gone Rogue Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	136	—	-58576	66	77	63	27d	—	—	-10	9.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Often front-runs; two wins over 7f last season but has been rather disappointing this term
4 (4)	More Than A Feelin Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	133	h	530122	63	70	59	16d	—	—	+5	22.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Won at Wolverhampton (8.6f, AW) in July and second on both starts since
6 (9)	Miners Gamble Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	129	p	352574	59	78	68	30d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-5	7.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Back near his best when fourth at Southwell (1m, AW) latest, running on from the back
2 (8)	Epidavros Bay J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Katie Scott	J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Katie Scott	137	—	462373	67	75	53	11d	—	—	+3	12.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Needs a bit of overall improvement to register her first win at this seventh attempt
5 (7)	Triple Force Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Craig Lidster	J:Harrison Shaw T:Craig Lidster	130	—	965-06	60	71	57	44d	—	—	-2	4.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Finished a good deal closer for new yard but that was in only sixth of seven (7f, good)
9 (3)	Scarfo Chestnut J:James Sullivan T:John & Sean Quinn	J:James Sullivan T:John & Sean Quinn	124	—	-99148	54	73	39	30d	—	—	+2	7.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
7f AW winner three starts back; more to prove over this new trip and particularly on turf
10 (2)	Likleman Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Simon West	J:Andrew Mullen T:Simon West	117	—	656305	47	75	69	16d	—	—	-1	2.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
0-16 with bits of form at up to 1m which give him a shout; two lesser shows beyond that
8 (10)	The Bobster Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	125	—	40-850	55	76	54	18d	—	—	-2	2.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Two bits of modest form on soft; tailed off when trying 1m on good to firm at Redcar
11 (6)	Showmethewayhome Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Ewan Whillans	J:Rowan Scott T:Ewan Whillans	116	—	0-4042	46	76	63	16d	—	—	-2	0.8	7.00/1	28/1 3%
2nd in a 1m classified at Ayr latest, having run respectably over 1m2f the time before
7 (5)	Colour Code Brown J:Paul Mulrennan T:Linda Perratt	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Linda Perratt	127	h	570408	57	73	44	11d	—	—	0	2.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Well held for this yard since despite big fall in the weights; failed to show she stays 1m

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Evelyn's Phoenix	3/1	11/4	11/4	10/3	3/1
Gone Rogue	10/3	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2
More Than A Feelin	9/2	4/1	7/2	4/1	4/1
Miners Gamble	6/1	11/2	6/1	6/1	6/1
Epidavros	9/1	8/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Triple Force	14/1	14/1	16/1	14/1	14/1
Scarfo	20/1	20/1	18/1	18/1	20/1
Likleman	25/1	22/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
The Bobster	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Showmethewayhome	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Colour Code	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Evelyn's Phoenix

24.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 14 Odds: 6.2

10/3

2nd

More Than A Feelin

22.4

OR: 3.3 Form: 14.1 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Epidavros

12.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 6 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Gone Rogue

9.7

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Miners Gamble

7.4

OR: 2.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Scarfo

7.4

OR: 1 Form: 5 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Triple Force

4.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Likleman

2.6

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.1

25/1

The Bobster

2.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Colour Code

2.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Showmethewayhome

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Evelyn's Phoenix	67	75	68
Epidavros	67	75	53
Gone Rogue	66	77	63
More Than A Feelin	63	70	59
Triple Force	60	71	57
Miners Gamble	59	78	68
Colour Code	57	73	44
The Bobster	55	76	54
Scarfo	54	73	39
Likleman	47	75	69
Showmethewayhome	46	76	63

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Epidavros	11d ago	Quick return
Colour Code	11d ago	Quick return
More Than A Feelin	16d ago	Fit
Likleman	16d ago	Fit
Showmethewayhome	16d ago	Fit
Evelyn's Phoenix	17d ago	Fit
The Bobster	18d ago	Fit
Gone Rogue	27d ago	Fit
Miners Gamble	30d ago	Fit
Scarfo	30d ago	Fit
Triple Force	44d ago	Fit