Forge Cattery, Fernhill Heath, Worcester Handicap Chase

Worcester

16:40

Date 2024-08-28

Distance 2m4f

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,248

Runners (14)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
9	She Has Notions Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Martin Keighley	J:Sean Bowen T:Martin Keighley	147	p	P55P-1	79	106	96	58d	—	—	-2	25.7	5/2 29%
Off the mark over C&D last month on just his third try over fences; up 5lb but respected.
2	Lost Connections Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Katy Price	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Katy Price	168	t	U-5644	100	110	83	41d	—	—	-2	18.7	7/2 22%
Sole win came off this mark last year; a couple of respectable efforts in July
7	Henry Box Brown Chestnut J:Ellis Collier(7) T:Evan Williams	J:Ellis Collier(7) T:Evan Williams	150	—	8-F257	82	111	90	39d	—	—	-1	11.6	6/1 14%
Down another 3lb but comes with risks and has yet to prove he stays this far.
1	Walkingoneggshells Bay J:Ben Poste T:Archie Watson	J:Ben Poste T:Archie Watson	168	t	08-67P	100	102	75	9d	—	—	+7	14.7	10/1 9%
Has made little impact in three starts over fences; others have stronger claims.
3	Politicianspromise Bay J:Liam Harrison T:Robbie Llewellyn	J:Liam Harrison T:Robbie Llewellyn	153	tp	55-068	85	101	42	71d	—	—	+5	10.4	14/1 7%
Modest form on handicap/chase debut (2m1f); should be suited by step back up in trip
8	Miss Marette Bay J:Bryan Carver T:Chris Down	J:Bryan Carver T:Chris Down	147	—	34-P50	79	-	-	38d	—	—	+3	8.9	16/1 6%
Out of form so far this year and needs to lift her game on chase debut.
5	Famous Last Word b/br J:Charlie Todd T:Ian Williams	J:Charlie Todd T:Ian Williams	151	—	3/5P6/	83	106	-	566d	—	—	+6	12	16/1 6%
Returns from a second long absence and probably best watched unless strong in the market.
6	Sinister Minister Grey J:Sean Houlihan T:Sheila Lewis	J:Sean Houlihan T:Sheila Lewis	150	tb	16-F0P	82	110	30	33d	—	—	+3	9.7	16/1 6%
Won at Bangor off 3lb higher in October but he's hard to recommend on recent form.
10	Invincible Wish Bay J:James Best T:Sarah-Jayne Davies	J:James Best T:Sarah-Jayne Davies	145	—	654261	77	101	83	45d	—	—	+16	20.6	18/1 5%
Gained a hard-fought win at Stratford latest; leading player back up 3lb
11	School For Scandal Grey J:David Noonan T:Joe Tickle	J:David Noonan T:Joe Tickle	143	—	24-58P	75	107	41	54d	—	—	+4	7.2	28/1 3%
Has regressed and bled from the nose latest; has something to prove.
13	Beannaigh Do Bay J:Brendan Powell T:Sheila Lewis	J:Brendan Powell T:Sheila Lewis	142	—	P-4680	74	97	72	38d	—	—	+4	6.9	25/1 4%
19-race maiden; out of the weights but not entirely ruled out on peak efforts
14	Kayf Baha Bay J:Kevin Brogan T:Alexandra Dunn	J:Kevin Brogan T:Alexandra Dunn	142	t	9/P/0-	74	-	-	415d	—	—	+4	6.7	33/1 3%
Hard to make a case for reverting to fences from out of the weights.
12	Mr Sociable Bay J:Philip Armson(3) T:Chris Down	J:Philip Armson(3) T:Chris Down	142	b	07P0-P	74	74	50	91d	—	—	+5	6.5	50/1 2%
Has shown little over fences and needs the new headgear to bring about big improvement.
NR	Harry's Hope Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Ben Pauling	J:NON-RUNNER T:Ben Pauling	151	—	04P34-	83	-	-	131d	—	—	—	9.6	—
Has come down in the weights and could do better as a chaser; considered.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
She Has Notions	5/2	5/2	9/4	9/4	2/1
Lost Connections	3/1	7/2	3/1	10/3	10/3
Henry Box Brown	6/1	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2
Walkingoneggshells	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1
Politicianspromise	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Miss Marette	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Famous Last Word	16/1	14/1	16/1	12/1	14/1
Sinister Minister	16/1	12/1	16/1	12/1	14/1
Invincible Wish	18/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
School For Scandal	28/1	22/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Beannaigh Do	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Kayf Baha	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1	33/1
Mr Sociable	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

She Has Notions

25.7

OR: 7.3 Form: 10 Odds: 8.4

5/2

2nd

Invincible Wish

20.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 12.5 Odds: 1.4

18/1

3rd

Lost Connections

18.7

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Walkingoneggshells

14.7

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Famous Last Word

OR: 8.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Henry Box Brown

11.6

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Politicianspromise

10.4

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Sinister Minister

9.7

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Harry's Hope

9.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 1.4 Odds: 0

—

Miss Marette

8.9

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

School For Scandal

7.2

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Beannaigh Do

6.9

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Kayf Baha

6.7

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Mr Sociable

6.5

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lost Connections	100	110	83
Walkingoneggshells	100	102	75
Politicianspromise	85	101	42
Famous Last Word	83	106	—
Harry's Hope	83	—	—
Henry Box Brown	82	111	90
Sinister Minister	82	110	30
She Has Notions	79	106	96
Miss Marette	79	—	—
Invincible Wish	77	101	83
School For Scandal	75	107	41
Beannaigh Do	74	97	72
Kayf Baha	74	—	—
Mr Sociable	74	74	50

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Walkingoneggshells	9d ago	Quick return
Sinister Minister	33d ago	Fit
Miss Marette	38d ago	Fit
Beannaigh Do	38d ago	Fit
Henry Box Brown	39d ago	Fit
Lost Connections	41d ago	Fit
Invincible Wish	45d ago	Fit
School For Scandal	54d ago	Fresh
She Has Notions	58d ago	Fresh
Politicianspromise	71d ago	Fresh
Mr Sociable	91d ago	Long break
Harry's Hope	131d ago	Long break
Kayf Baha	415d ago	Long break
Famous Last Word	566d ago	Long break