National Racehorse Week 7th-15th September Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

16:32

National Racehorse Week 7th-15th September Handicap

Date 2024-09-05

Distance 1m4f

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,972

Runners (9)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
8 (9)	Surrey Fire Chestnut J:Charles Bishop T:Hughie Morrison	J:Charles Bishop T:Hughie Morrison	131	—	2-91	83	92	49	37d	—	—	-8	20.6	2/1 33%
Unexposed and the return to 1m4f should suit on pedigree, so he's high on the shortlist
7 (6)	Optician Bay J:Luke Morris T:Shaun Lycett	J:Luke Morris T:Shaun Lycett	132	t	124232	76	91	83	27d	—	—	+6	21.5	9/2 18%
Bumped into an improver last time and should go well once more
9 (5)	Aviemore Bay J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	130	—	022514	82	89	-	24d	—	—	+5	22.5	4/1 20%
Needs to improve for the longer trip, which is far from guaranteed on pedigree
3 (4)	Appier Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:S Woods	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:S Woods	138	—	412255	82	92	80	40d	—	—	+7	16.9	15/2 12%
3-5 over C&D; will always need luck given his style but he arrives still in form
5 (8)	Prince Maxi Chestnut J:David Egan T:David Loughnane	J:David Egan T:David Loughnane	135	—	124993	79	92	55	43d	—	—	+6	13.4	10/1 9%
Didn't progress for George Scott and still has something to prove back from six weeks off
4 (7)	Graignes Bay J:Pat Cosgrave T:George Baker	J:Pat Cosgrave T:George Baker	135	ht	-50068	79	98	14	21d	—	—	+3	8.9	12/1 8%
Won't mind the step back up to 1m4f and has won on Polytrack; reasons for optimism
2 (1)	Expert Witness Bay J:Mia Nicholls(5) T:Sir Mark Todd	J:Mia Nicholls(5) T:Sir Mark Todd	141	t	221216	85	95	-	22d	—	—	+19	23.5	18/1 5%
Will need another forward step going this far for the first time off her revised mark
6 (2)	God Of Thunder Bay J:Sam Hitchcott T:Richard Hannon	J:Sam Hitchcott T:Richard Hannon	134	—	160605	78	91	83	13d	—	—	+4	8.1	20/1 5%
Has lost his way in recent times but suited by this track and a revival wouldn't surprise
1 (3)	Youthful King Bay J:Jack Dace(7) T:Luke Dace	J:Jack Dace(7) T:Luke Dace	141	—	455P56	85	93	64	12d	—	—	+6	9.8	20/1 5%
Goes well here but the handicapper is proving slow to relent; will need a major revival

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Surrey Fire	2/1	15/8	7/4	7/4	15/8
Optician	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Aviemore	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Appier	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Prince Maxi	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Graignes	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Expert Witness	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
God Of Thunder	20/1	20/1	18/1	18/1	20/1
Youthful King	20/1	20/1	18/1	18/1	20/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Expert Witness

23.5

OR: 8.8 Form: 13.5 Odds: 1.2

18/1

2nd

Aviemore

22.5

OR: 8 Form: 9.5 Odds: 5

4/1

3rd

Optician

21.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 10.6 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Surrey Fire

20.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 8.9

2/1

Appier

16.9

OR: 8 Form: 6 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Prince Maxi

13.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 4 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Youthful King

9.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Graignes

8.9

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

God Of Thunder

8.1

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Ratings

TR Top Rated by OR

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Expert Witness TR	85	95	—
Youthful King	85	93	64
Surrey Fire	83	92	49
Aviemore	82	89	—
Appier	82	92	80
Prince Maxi	79	92	55
Graignes	79	98	14
God Of Thunder	78	91	83
Optician	76	91	83

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Youthful King	12d ago	Quick return
God Of Thunder	13d ago	Quick return
Graignes	21d ago	Fit
Expert Witness	22d ago	Fit
Aviemore	24d ago	Fit
Optician	27d ago	Fit
Surrey Fire	37d ago	Fit
Appier	40d ago	Fit
Prince Maxi	43d ago	Fit