Oakmere Homes Handicap – Haydock

Haydock

16:20

Oakmere Homes Handicap

Date 2024-09-06

Distance 6f212y

Class Class 3

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £13,500

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (6)	Yorkshire Bay J:P J McDonald T:Edward Bethell	J:P J McDonald T:Edward Bethell	137	t	-12500	85	97	72	37d	—	—	0	17.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
No impact the last twice but progressive earlier in the season and not written off
2 (4)	Persuasion Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Callum Rodriguez T:David & Nicola Barron	139	—	206233	87	97	80	7d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+3	22.6	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Modest 3-38 strike-rate but went close in this last year and placed on last three starts
7 (3)	Mezzo Soprano Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Oisin Orr T:Simon & Ed Crisford	136	—	111-25	84	95	68	53d	—	—	-5	14.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Lightly raced 4yo who shaped at Windsor as though this return to 7f would be ideal
6 (2)	Tropez Power Bay J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	136	v	332240	84	95	81	8d	—	—	+7	15.3	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Just 1-21 on turf but he's run some good races on grass this season; each-way possible
9 (12)	Pumalin Park Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:Tom Marquand T:Sir Michael Stoute	133	t	571274	81	94	76	35d	—	—	+8	15.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Hasn't kicked on from June Salisbury win but may take sizeable step forward at some stage
11 (5)	Flaccianello Bay J:David Egan T:Richard Fahey	J:David Egan T:Richard Fahey	132	—	-42406	84	96	81	33d	—	—	+6	11.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
7f is worth persisting with and things could click if she gets her preferred slow surface
3 (9)	The Turpinator Bay J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	138	—	348106	86	97	82	20d	—	—	+10	15.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Kept on over 6f at Ripon last time and holds each-way claims for in-form yard
8 (8)	Abduction Bay J:Shane Gray T:Jim Goldie	J:Shane Gray T:Jim Goldie	135	—	039703	83	96	83	28d	—	—	+7	13.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
He's had a patchy campaign but is on a dangerous mark; no surprise if he features
1 (10)	Boardman Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	140	—	665200	88	95	76	6d	—	—	+9	13.2	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Went close over C&D three starts ago but down the field at Newcastle and Chester since
10 (11)	Tanmawwy Bay J:Jason Watson T:Heather Main	J:Jason Watson T:Heather Main	133	h	004041	81	94	86	11d	—	—	+14	19.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Exploited reduced mark at Epsom recently and may be able to build on that victory
4 (7)	Riot Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	137	tv	401500	85	96	81	15d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+9	12.8	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Two 7f wins this year and handicapped to be in the mix if back on song
NR (1)	Thapa Vc Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Mark Rimell	J:Rob Hornby T:Mark Rimell	128	tb	753122	76	95	87	20d	—	—	—	20.9	—	—
Won at Doncaster in July and has continued in fine form

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Yorkshire	9/2	4/1	9/2	7/2	9/2
Persuasion	3/1	10/3	3/1	4/1	3/1
Mezzo Soprano	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Tropez Power	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Pumalin Park	12/1	11/1	10/1	10/1	12/1
Flaccianello	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
The Turpinator	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Abduction	16/1	16/1	16/1	11/1	16/1
Boardman	16/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	18/1
Tanmawwy	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Riot	20/1	22/1	20/1	18/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Persuasion

22.6

OR: 9.3 Form: 7.6 Odds: 5.7

4/1

2nd

Thapa Vc

20.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 14.4 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Tanmawwy

19.4

OR: 7.8 Form: 10 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Yorkshire

17.3

OR: 8.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5

9/2

The Turpinator

15.6

OR: 9 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Tropez Power

15.3

OR: 8.5 Form: 4.6 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Pumalin Park

15.2

OR: 7.8 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Mezzo Soprano

14.2

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Abduction

13.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Boardman

13.2

OR: 9.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Riot

12.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Flaccianello

11.6

OR: 8.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Boardman	88	95	76
Persuasion	87	97	80
The Turpinator	86	97	82
Yorkshire	85	97	72
Riot	85	96	81
Mezzo Soprano	84	95	68
Tropez Power	84	95	81
Flaccianello	84	96	81
Abduction	83	96	83
Pumalin Park	81	94	76
Tanmawwy	81	94	86
Thapa Vc	76	95	87

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Boardman	6d ago	Quick return
Persuasion	7d ago	Quick return
Tropez Power	8d ago	Quick return
Tanmawwy	11d ago	Quick return
Riot	15d ago	Fit
The Turpinator	20d ago	Fit
Thapa Vc	20d ago	Fit
Abduction	28d ago	Fit
Flaccianello	33d ago	Fit
Pumalin Park	35d ago	Fit
Yorkshire	37d ago	Fit
Mezzo Soprano	53d ago	Fresh