Rudding Park Handicap – Thirsk

Thirsk

15:50

Rudding Park Handicap

Date 2024-09-07

Distance 6f

Class Class 3

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £10,308

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (9)	Mukaafah Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Oisin Orr T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	138	h	41-610	92	103	76	78d	—	—	-4	16.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Gelded since low-key Royal Ascot run (5f); earlier form makes him of serious interest
4 (5)	Mythical Phoenix Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	136	p	222223	88	100	81	15d	—	—	+10	25.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Hard to fault his consistency for new yard but keeps edging up the weights in defeat
8 (8)	Kings Merchant Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	128	—	151312	82	99	81	33d	—	—	+12	29.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Progressive sprinter; solid 2nd at Ripon last month and likely to be involved again
5 (2)	Grant Wood Grey J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	135	—	901371	87	100	87	21d	—	—	+15	27.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Having fine year and impressed at Ripon last month; not been missed with a 7lb rise though
3 (1)	Hiya Maite Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Roy Bowring	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Roy Bowring	136	—	501026	88	101	94	21d	—	—	+11	18.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Has form over C&D but 5f looks his best trip; latest run excusable; others are stronger
9 (10)	Midnight Affair Bay J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Richard Fahey	127	v	785727	81	99	87	17d	—	—	+5	13.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Caught out by the return to 5f last time; on a fair mark back at 6f; each-way shout
7 (6)	Lir Speciale Bay J:Jason Watson T:Stuart Williams	J:Jason Watson T:Stuart Williams	131	—	-40647	83	99	85	24d	—	—	+2	10.5	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Retains ability and dropping down the weights; needs to up his game to take this though
1 (4)	Dakota Gold Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	138	—	082127	90	99	79	50d	—	—	+15	21.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Classy in his pomp; retains ability but likely vulnerable off top weight in this field
10 (3)	Batal Zabeel Bay J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	127	b	2-7170	81	99	95	37d	—	—	+8	12.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
6f win at Ripon in June but unable to build on it twice since; others safer
NR (7)	Tough Enough Brown J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	133	—	9065-0	85	98	81	91d	—	—	—	8.8	—	—
Sold for 18,000gns and gelded after low-key return in June; usual hood left off; opposable

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Mukaafah	3/1	3/1	3/1	7/2	3/1
Mythical Phoenix	9/2	9/2	4/1	4/1	9/2
Kings Merchant	4/1	9/2	9/2	4/1	9/2
Grant Wood	15/2	7/1	7/1	15/2	7/1
Hiya Maite	12/1	11/1	10/1	10/1	11/1
Midnight Affair	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Lir Speciale	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Dakota Gold	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Batal Zabeel	20/1	18/1	20/1	18/1	18/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kings Merchant

29.5

OR: 8 Form: 16.5 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Grant Wood

27.1

OR: 9.3 Form: 14.5 Odds: 3.3

15/2

3rd

Mythical Phoenix

25.4

OR: 9.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Dakota Gold

21.9

OR: 10 Form: 10 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Hiya Maite

18.1

OR: 9.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Mukaafah

16.7

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Midnight Affair

13.5

OR: 7.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.2

9/1

Batal Zabeel

12.6

OR: 7.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Lir Speciale

10.5

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Tough Enough

8.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mukaafah	92	103	76
Dakota Gold	90	99	79
Mythical Phoenix	88	100	81
Hiya Maite	88	101	94
Grant Wood	87	100	87
Tough Enough	85	98	81
Lir Speciale	83	99	85
Kings Merchant	82	99	81
Midnight Affair	81	99	87
Batal Zabeel	81	99	95

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mythical Phoenix	15d ago	Fit
Midnight Affair	17d ago	Fit
Grant Wood	21d ago	Fit
Hiya Maite	21d ago	Fit
Lir Speciale	24d ago	Fit
Kings Merchant	33d ago	Fit
Batal Zabeel	37d ago	Fit
Dakota Gold	50d ago	Fresh
Mukaafah	78d ago	Fresh
Tough Enough	91d ago	Long break