Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Chase – Ballinrobe

Ballinrobe

18:50

Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Chase

Date 2024-09-13

Distance 2m1f55y

Class

Going Good To Yielding

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize €7,670

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5	Tomas O Maille Bay J:Philip Donovan T:M Flannery	J:Philip Donovan T:M Flannery	158	t	509527	99	110	-	4d	—	—	0	22.4	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Good run in handicap at Galway four days ago but never landed a blow on sole chase start
7	Erigmoor Chestnut J:Jake Coen T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jake Coen T:Gordon Elliott	154	—	33-352	95	111	105	26d	—	—	-3	17.4	0.75/1	3/1 25%
2nd behind the reopposing Just Jacob last month; 7lb pull in the weights with that rival
2	Just Jacob Bay J:Jack Kearney T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Jack Kearney T:Gavin Cromwell	165	—	FP7/61	106	106	101	26d	—	—	+2	18.7	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Made all to win in style on handicap debut over fences at Tramore last month
8	The Eye Of Tulla Bay J:Cian Quirke(2) T:Brian M McMahon	J:Cian Quirke(2) T:Brian M McMahon	146	b	51-0PP	87	116	-	38d	—	—	+1	12.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Won this race last year; comes with risks attached but keep a close eye on the market
6	Cahirdown Boy b/br J:Calum Hogan(4) T:E McNamara	J:Calum Hogan(4) T:E McNamara	157	t	4/833-	98	119	107	357d	—	—	+4	15.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Well treated but has been off the track for the bones of a year; might need this run
4	Itsalonglongroad Bay J:Shane O'Callaghan(2) T:Charles Coakley	J:Shane O'Callaghan(2) T:Charles Coakley	160	v	7-2U3F	101	113	100	26d	—	—	+8	14.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
2nd to The Eye Of Tulla in this race last year but 7lb higher; the more rain the better
11	So Easy Way Brown J:Ethan O'Sullivan(4) T:I Madden	J:Ethan O'Sullivan(4) T:I Madden	140	—	-80630	81	89	-	32d	—	—	+5	11.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Winless since winning a chase in France in 2019 and looks difficult to fancy
10	Cottage Artist Bay J:Gavin Brouder T:V T O'Brien	J:Gavin Brouder T:V T O'Brien	140	—	-04853	81	-	-	16d	—	—	+8	12	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Trainer has an excellent record with older horses but it's late in the day to go chasing
3	Thunder Bay J:Tiernan Power Roche(4) T:John Patrick Ryan	J:Tiernan Power Roche(4) T:John Patrick Ryan	161	—	0-FF65	102	90	39	18d	—	—	+11	13.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Beaten out of sight over C&D latest; should find handicaps easier but has plenty to prove
9	Carslake Bay J:Charlie O'Dwyer(2) T:Aengus King	J:Charlie O'Dwyer(2) T:Aengus King	140	tp	9P0-08	81	87	-	51d	—	—	+6	8.2	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Well beaten all summer including when making no impression on chasing debut at Wexford
NR	Red Ball Of Fire Bay J:Gavin Brouder T:Mark Michael McNiff	J:Gavin Brouder T:Mark Michael McNiff	168	b	67-534	109	107	83	18d	—	—	—	14.8	—	—
Ran only okay over fences at Downpatrick when last seen and more is needed

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Tomas O Maille	3/1	10/3	3/1	11/4	3/1
Erigmoor	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Just Jacob	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
The Eye Of Tulla	11/2	13/2	6/1	13/2	13/2
Cahirdown Boy	7/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1
Itsalonglongroad	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
So Easy Way	14/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Cottage Artist	22/1	18/1	20/1	18/1	18/1
Thunder	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1
Carslake	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tomas O Maille

22.4

OR: 12.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 6.7

10/3

2nd

Just Jacob

18.7

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 4.7

5/1

3rd

Erigmoor

17.4

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

3/1

Cahirdown Boy

15.3

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Red Ball Of Fire

14.8

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Itsalonglongroad

14.7

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Thunder

13.9

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

The Eye Of Tulla

12.6

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Cottage Artist

OR: 7.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

22/1

So Easy Way

11.6

OR: 7.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Carslake

8.2

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Red Ball Of Fire	109	107	83
Just Jacob	106	106	101
Thunder	102	90	39
Itsalonglongroad	101	113	100
Tomas O Maille	99	110	—
Cahirdown Boy	98	119	107
Erigmoor	95	111	105
The Eye Of Tulla	87	116	—
So Easy Way	81	89	—
Cottage Artist	81	—	—
Carslake	81	87	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tomas O Maille	4d ago	Quick return
Cottage Artist	16d ago	Fit
Thunder	18d ago	Fit
Red Ball Of Fire	18d ago	Fit
Erigmoor	26d ago	Fit
Just Jacob	26d ago	Fit
Itsalonglongroad	26d ago	Fit
So Easy Way	32d ago	Fit
The Eye Of Tulla	38d ago	Fit
Carslake	51d ago	Fresh
Cahirdown Boy	357d ago	Long break