Livescore Bet Kilkerran Handicap – Ayr

Ayr

15:42

Livescore Bet Kilkerran Handicap

Date 2024-09-19

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 2

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £15,462

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (12)	Have Secret Chestnut J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	129	v	-23362	89	107	90	5d	—	—	+2	24.8	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Had three of these behind at York last month and second at Chester last Saturday; visor on
3 (6)	Bennetot Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	131	—	349153	91	106	96	13d	—	—	+8	22.3	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Has twice run well off this mark since winning at Windsor; interesting back up in trip
8 (7)	Aviemore Bay J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	125	—	251421	90	107	90	6d	—	—	+17	30.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
8lb higher than when bolting up at Chester last time but he is open to more improvement
1 (5)	Oviedo Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	140	tv	24-600	100	111	69	26d	—	—	+5	15.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Fourth in last year's Cambridgeshire but below form this year; new headgear tried
7 (10)	Dark Moon Rising Bay J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	127	b	001923	87	105	87	27d	—	—	+13	21	3.00/1	12/1 8%
7lb above last winning mark and unraced over a trip this short since July of last year
10 (3)	Pol Roger Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	121	p	122223	81	108	94	12d	—	—	+13	21.8	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Consistent since May (1122223) and record over C&D reads 11222; major player
2 (2)	Marhaba The Champ Chestnut J:James Doyle T:Kevin Ryan	J:James Doyle T:Kevin Ryan	132	—	19-000	92	110	64	26d	—	—	+6	12.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Ran better than it looked at York last time; 1lb above last winning mark; could go well
11 (9)	Bust A Move Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	116	—	431-29	81	105	74	155d	—	—	+3	9.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Not seen since tailed off at Newmarket in April; will do well to win this on his return
4 (11)	Arthur's Realm Bay J:Jason Hart T:Ed Dunlop	J:Jason Hart T:Ed Dunlop	131	p	151954	91	107	94	25d	—	—	+10	14.5	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Handicapper has been in charge lately and drying ground would pose another question
9 (8)	Barley Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	122	p	124272	82	105	92	24d	—	—	+12	18.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
9lb above last winning mark; stays this far but does need to find a bit more
12 (4)	Financer Bay J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Tim Easterby	J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Tim Easterby	116	—	112580	81	106	77	11d	—	—	+9	12	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Form has regressed since winning twice in the summer; comes with risk attached
NR (1)	Bystander Bay J:TBC T:K R Burke	J: T:K R Burke	130	—	748169	90	106	85	26d	—	—	—	15	—	—
3-5 on the AW but has finished unplaced in five outings on turf; others preferred

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Have Secret	11/4	3/1	11/4	3/1	3/1
Bennetot	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Aviemore	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2	5/1
Oviedo	13/2	6/1	13/2	6/1	13/2
Dark Moon Rising	11/1	17/2	12/1	12/1	12/1
Pol Roger	10/1	9/1	10/1	9/1	17/2
Marhaba The Champ	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Bust A Move	14/1	14/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Arthur's Realm	22/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Barley	18/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	14/1
Financer	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Aviemore

30.1

OR: 10 Form: 16.5 Odds: 3.6

6/1

2nd

Have Secret

24.8

OR: 9.8 Form: 8.4 Odds: 6.7

3/1

3rd

Bennetot

22.3

OR: 10.3 Form: 8 Odds: 4

5/1

Pol Roger

21.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Dark Moon Rising

OR: 9.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Barley

18.1

OR: 8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Oviedo

15.6

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Bystander

OR: 10 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Arthur's Realm

14.5

OR: 10.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Marhaba The Champ

12.4

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Financer

OR: 7.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Bust A Move

9.7

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Oviedo	100	111	69
Marhaba The Champ	92	110	64
Bennetot	91	106	96
Arthur's Realm	91	107	94
Aviemore	90	107	90
Bystander	90	106	85
Have Secret	89	107	90
Dark Moon Rising	87	105	87
Barley	82	105	92
Pol Roger	81	108	94
Bust A Move	81	105	74
Financer	81	106	77

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Have Secret	5d ago	Quick return
Aviemore	6d ago	Quick return
Financer	11d ago	Quick return
Pol Roger	12d ago	Quick return
Bennetot	13d ago	Quick return
Barley	24d ago	Fit
Arthur's Realm	25d ago	Fit
Oviedo	26d ago	Fit
Marhaba The Champ	26d ago	Fit
Bystander	26d ago	Fit
Dark Moon Rising	27d ago	Fit
Bust A Move	155d ago	Long break