Slater Menswear Handicap – Ayr

Ayr

5:20

Slater Menswear Handicap

Date 2024-09-20

Distance 1m5f26y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,711

Runners (15)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
12 (10)	Annandale ch J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	129	—	9-7474	57	72	69	6d	—	—	-13	7.9	4/1 20%
Won the 0-95 handicap over this trip on the Saturday of this meeting in 2021; interesting
13 (12)	Caballo De Mar b J:Callum Shepherd T:George Scott	J:Callum Shepherd T:George Scott	129	p	603342	64	75	67	10d	—	—	-4	17.1	7/2 22%
Looked unlucky not to get off the mark at Lingfield ten days ago; 2lb well in
9 (5)	L'Eagle Aid b J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	132	—	328451	67	75	62	32d	—	—	+3	20.5	9/2 18%
Didn't achieve much when easily winning a Catterick novice last time; this will be tougher
3 (1)	Southern Voyage b J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	141	p	107734	69	73	69	22d	—	—	-2	10.2	8/1 11%
1lb above his last winning mark; each-way claims if seeing out the longer trip
5 (15)	Love Safari b J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	137	v	-24295	72	78	70	52d	—	—	+3	11.5	12/1 8%
0-7; makes his stable debut in a first-time visor; something to prove
11 (4)	Belle Of Annandale ch J:P J McDonald T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:P J McDonald T:Adrian Paul Keatley	130	v	379-77	58	72	55	—	—	—	-2	3.6	16/1 6%
Both wins have come over hurdles; 0-21 on the Flat and makes little appeal
2 (7)	Ravenscraig Castle gr J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	142	tp	640545	70	75	58	—	—	—	0	6.7	18/1 5%
C&D winner but losing run up to 27; others seem more likely
7 (11)	Tilsitt b J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:R Mike Smith	J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:R Mike Smith	133	tp	353834	61	72	69	24d	—	—	+1	7.5	14/1 7%
Losing run up to 25 and gives the impression this trip stretches him
14 (8)	Thomas G b/ro J:David Nolan T:David & Nicola Barron	J:David Nolan T:David & Nicola Barron	129	—	725	64	67	38	38d	—	—	+3	8.6	20/1 5%
Improvement needed up half a mile in trip on handicap debut
10 (6)	Lindwall ch J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	131	t	/32655	59	75	64	10d	—	—	+1	5.4	28/1 3%
0-15 since completing an AW hat-trick in the autumn of 2021
8 (14)	Glasses Up ch J:David Allan T:R Mike Smith	J:David Allan T:R Mike Smith	132	p	654198	60	74	63	14d	—	—	+5	8.5	28/1 3%
Eight of his nine wins have come at this track; can never be completely dismissed here
4 (3)	Galahad Threepwood b J:Dougie Costello T:Ewan Whillans	J:Dougie Costello T:Ewan Whillans	139	h	4/7059	67	72	15	14d	—	—	+3	4.7	80/1 1%
No impact under either code since falling heavily over hurdles in March last year
15 (13)	Well Planted b J:Jason Hart T:R Mike Smith	J:Jason Hart T:R Mike Smith	129	p	7/26-5	57	70	-	—	—	—	0	2.5	66/1 1%
Last three wins have come over hurdles, but he hasn't been in much form over them lately
NR (2)	Billy No Mates b J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	144	—	265095	72	78	44	14d	—	—	—	5.5	—
3lb below last winning mark and drops into a 0-70 for the first time; interesting
6 (9)	Elemental Eye b J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Iain Jardine	J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Iain Jardine	136	—	225366	71	73	61	14d	—	—	—	7.8	—
0-12 and has a bit to prove, not least stamina

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Annandale	7/2	7/2	7/2	4/1	4/1
Caballo De Mar	3/1	10/3	16/5	7/2	10/3
L'Eagle Aid	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2	4/1
Southern Voyage	7/1	8/1	15/2	7/1	15/2
Love Safari	11/1	8/1	9/1	12/1	12/1
Belle Of Annandale	14/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	16/1
Ravenscraig Castle	14/1	16/1	16/1	18/1	18/1
Tilsitt	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Thomas G	18/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Lindwall	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1
Glasses Up	28/1	28/1	25/1	28/1	28/1
Galahad Threepwood	66/1	66/1	66/1	80/1	80/1
Well Planted	66/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

L'Eagle Aid

20.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 11 Odds: 5.2

9/2

2nd

Caballo De Mar

17.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 7.4 Odds: 6.2

7/2

3rd

Love Safari

11.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.5

12/1

Southern Voyage

10.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.3

8/1

Thomas G

8.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Glasses Up

8.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1

28/1

Annandale

7.9

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

4/1

Elemental Eye

7.8

OR: 5.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0

—

Tilsitt

7.5

OR: 2.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Ravenscraig Castle

6.7

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

18/1

Billy No Mates

5.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Lindwall

5.4

OR: 2.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Galahad Threepwood

4.7

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Belle Of Annandale

3.6

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Well Planted

2.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Love Safari Top Rated	72	78	70
Billy No Mates	72	78	44
Elemental Eye	71	73	61
Ravenscraig Castle	70	75	58
Southern Voyage	69	73	69
L'Eagle Aid	67	75	62
Galahad Threepwood	67	72	15
Caballo De Mar	64	75	67
Thomas G	64	67	38
Tilsitt	61	72	69
Glasses Up	60	74	63
Lindwall	59	75	64
Belle Of Annandale	58	72	55
Annandale	57	72	69
Well Planted	57	70	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Annandale	6d ago	Quick return
Caballo De Mar	10d ago	Quick return
Lindwall	10d ago	Quick return
Glasses Up	14d ago	Fit
Galahad Threepwood	14d ago	Fit
Billy No Mates	14d ago	Fit
Elemental Eye	14d ago	Fit
Southern Voyage	22d ago	Fit
Tilsitt	24d ago	Fit
L'Eagle Aid	32d ago	Fit
Thomas G	38d ago	Fit
Love Safari	52d ago	Fresh
Belle Of Annandale	—	—
Ravenscraig Castle	—	—
Well Planted	—	—