Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

19:00

Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Handicap

Date 2024-09-21

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,711

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (7)	South Dakota Sioux Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(5) T:John Butler	J:Kaiya Fraser(5) T:John Butler	132	—	766945	52	72	46	75d	—	—	-16	7.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
0-8 for current yard but ran encouragingly when favourite the last twice; on a handy mark
12 (12)	Cobh Harbour Bay J:Edward Greatrex T:Mark Loughnane	J:Edward Greatrex T:Mark Loughnane	129	—	804345	49	71	54	19d	—	—	-13	7.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Still a maiden but produced best effort over C&D last winter; well treated on that form
8 (8)	Mintana Grey J:Joe Leavy(3) T:James Evans	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:James Evans	131	—	862321	51	68	55	42d	—	—	+7	20.8	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Won classified event on turf last time; placed over C&D in last two AW attempts; solid
9 (4)	Hawajes Bay J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	130	—	237613	50	66	35	7d	—	—	+1	14.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Scored at Chepstow this month; placed at Bath last Saturday, showing he remains in form
3 (5)	Coconut Bay Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Tristan Davidson	J:Marco Ghiani T:Tristan Davidson	134	—	339310	54	67	23	33d	—	—	+3	12.8	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Scored over C&D in May but she is now 6lb higher; doesn't look favourably treated
11 (3)	Port Noir Black J:Adam Farragher T:Robert Stephens	J:Adam Farragher T:Robert Stephens	129	t	725434	49	67	41	16d	0W/0P 1 run	—	-2	5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Four-time winner at Wolverhampton, most recently off this mark in April; fighting chance
1 (10)	Under Curfew Chestnut J:Gina Mangan T:Tony Carroll	J:Gina Mangan T:Tony Carroll	135	—	641230	55	70	27	6d	—	—	+5	10.5	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Competitively handicapped off his lower AW mark but has something to prove back at 7f
10 (1)	Revolucion Chestnut J:Ross Coakley T:Grace Harris	J:Ross Coakley T:Grace Harris	130	p	768566	50	66	50	22d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
0-5 for current stable, all in sprint races; overall record is just 1-32
6 (9)	Dawn Success Bay J:Grace McEntee(3) T:George Boughey	J:Grace McEntee(3) T:George Boughey	132	—	5-58	55	64	9	34d	—	—	-2	2.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Boughey runner who looks the type to improve now handicapping at a modest level
7 (6)	Evasive Power Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Thomas Faulkner	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Thomas Faulkner	132	p	-54309	52	67	60	22d	—	—	+1	2.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Failed to beat a rival at Ffos Las last month on debut for new stable; best watched
NR (2)	Orient Express Bay J:TBC T:Ian McInnes	J: T:Ian McInnes	135	—	3/5/0/	55	-	-	1953d	—	—	—	2.8	—	—
Raced four times for Richard Fahey, best effort when third over C&D; absent since May 2019
NR (11)	Glory Call Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Ollie Pears	J:NON-RUNNER T:Ollie Pears	133	—	090126	53	-	-	16d	—	—	—	9.3	—	—

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
South Dakota Sioux	5/2	5/2	5/2	9/4	9/4
Cobh Harbour	10/3	3/1	10/3	10/3	10/3
Mintana	6/1	11/2	11/2	6/1	5/1
Hawajes	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	6/1
Coconut Bay	15/2	8/1	8/1	8/1	7/1
Port Noir	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	10/1
Under Curfew	16/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	12/1
Revolucion	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	14/1
Dawn Success	22/1	22/1	22/1	25/1	22/1
Evasive Power	100/1	80/1	100/1	66/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mintana

20.8

OR: 0.3 Form: 16.5 Odds: 4

6/1

2nd

Hawajes

14.6

OR: 0 Form: 10.6 Odds: 4

6/1

3rd

Coconut Bay

12.8

OR: 1 Form: 9.1 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Under Curfew

10.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 7.6 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Glory Call

9.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0

—

South Dakota Sioux

7.8

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Cobh Harbour

7.7

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Port Noir

OR: 0 Form: 3.1 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Orient Express

2.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0

—

Dawn Success

2.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Evasive Power

2.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Revolucion

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Under Curfew	55	70	27
Dawn Success	55	64	9
Orient Express	55	—	—
Coconut Bay	54	67	23
Glory Call	53	—	—
South Dakota Sioux	52	72	46
Evasive Power	52	67	60
Mintana	51	68	55
Hawajes	50	66	35
Revolucion	50	66	50
Cobh Harbour	49	71	54
Port Noir	49	67	41

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Under Curfew	6d ago	Quick return
Hawajes	7d ago	Quick return
Port Noir	16d ago	Fit
Glory Call	16d ago	Fit
Cobh Harbour	19d ago	Fit
Revolucion	22d ago	Fit
Evasive Power	22d ago	Fit
Coconut Bay	33d ago	Fit
Dawn Success	34d ago	Fit
Mintana	42d ago	Fit
South Dakota Sioux	75d ago	Fresh
Orient Express	1953d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.