Perko's 50th Birthday Celebration Nursery Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

16:19

Perko's 50th Birthday Celebration Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-09-21

Distance 5f21y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £2,983

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (9)	Miakoda Bay J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Richard Hannon	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Richard Hannon	137	—	0934	57	58	55	17d	—	—	-12	10.5	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Only fourth when favourite for nursery debut (7f) but didn't run badly; drops in trip here
2 (3)	Top Star Chestnut J:George Rooke T:Richard Hughes	J:George Rooke T:Richard Hughes	137	—	06856	57	54	44	26d	—	—	-12	7.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Beaten favourite in first two nurseries (both 5f) and arrives here with something to prove
3 (1)	Smallbrook Lane Chestnut J:John Fahy T:Clive Cox	J:John Fahy T:Clive Cox	134	—	760	54	55	-	39d	—	—	-12	6.4	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Showed only minor promise in three turf maidens but may fare better at this level
7 (4)	Startling Bay J:Edward Greatrex T:David O'Meara	J:Edward Greatrex T:David O'Meara	132	h	709	52	60	55	26d	—	—	-9	4.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Well down the field on all three runs, not living up to her speedy pedigree; nursery debut
6 (7)	Prada On Parole Bay J:Jonny Peate T:Amy Murphy	J:Jonny Peate T:Amy Murphy	133	—	798492	53	60	46	12d	—	—	0	8.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Good second at Brighton (6f, soft) this month; player if also suited by this C&D
9 (10)	Pure Liberty Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	128	ht	609024	48	61	-	19d	—	—	-2	5.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Went close at Brighton last month; not in same form there recently; AW debut today
4 (2)	Fly Liberty Fly Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Marco Botti	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Marco Botti	133	—	35476	53	62	39	32d	—	—	-3	3	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Safely held in first two nurseries, and her tendency to race too freely is a concern
8 (6)	Kameko Spirit b/br J:Adam Farragher T:Darryll Holland	J:Adam Farragher T:Darryll Holland	129	p	006	49	57	24	21d	—	—	-5	1.7	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Showed some speed on debut; well held twice since but has lowly opening handicap mark
5 (5)	Rosy Hope Brown J:Frederick Larson(3) T:John O'Shea	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:John O'Shea	133	p	603635	53	60	41	20d	—	—	+1	4.8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Placed at Brighton last month; recently changed hands for 1,500gns after lesser run there
NR (11)	East Lea Bay J:TBC T:Phillip Makin	J: T:Phillip Makin	125	b	09077	45	58	-	24d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Managed only seventh off today's basement mark in his first two nurseries; AW debut today
NR (8)	Forget The Past Bay J:TBC T:Bill Turner	J: T:Bill Turner	125	—	707	45	47	-	131d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Well beaten in three 5f maiden/novice races in the spring; 10lb wrong for nursery debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Miakoda	11/4	3/1	11/4	11/4	10/3
Top Star	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3
Smallbrook Lane	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2
Startling	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Prada On Parole	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	11/1
Pure Liberty	14/1	12/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
Fly Liberty Fly	20/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	18/1
Kameko Spirit	20/1	18/1	20/1	18/1	14/1
Rosy Hope	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Miakoda

10.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 6.7

10/3

2nd

Prada On Parole

8.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.4

11/1

3rd

Top Star

7.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Smallbrook Lane

6.4

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

7/2

Pure Liberty

5.6

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Rosy Hope

4.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Startling

4.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Fly Liberty Fly

OR: 0.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Kameko Spirit

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

20/1

East Lea

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Forget The Past

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Miakoda	57	58	55
Top Star	57	54	44
Smallbrook Lane	54	55	—
Prada On Parole	53	60	46
Fly Liberty Fly	53	62	39
Rosy Hope	53	60	41
Startling	52	60	55
Kameko Spirit	49	57	24
Pure Liberty	48	61	—
East Lea	45	58	—
Forget The Past	45	47	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Prada On Parole	12d ago	Quick return
Miakoda	17d ago	Fit
Pure Liberty	19d ago	Fit
Rosy Hope	20d ago	Fit
Kameko Spirit	21d ago	Fit
East Lea	24d ago	Fit
Top Star	26d ago	Fit
Startling	26d ago	Fit
Fly Liberty Fly	32d ago	Fit
Smallbrook Lane	39d ago	Fit
Forget The Past	131d ago	Long break