At The Races 1M Social Followers Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:00

At The Races 1M Social Followers Handicap

Date 2024-09-23

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,768

Winning Time 1m 28.70s (slow by 2.70s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Pinball Wizard (IRE) Sean D Bowen · James Owen	5/2F	Won
2nd	Sonmarg (IRE) Robert Havlin · S Woods	4/1	2.25
3rd	Onthemoneyhoney (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Clive Cox	13/2	0.2
4th	Buttercross Flyer (IRE) Kieran O'Neill · Scott Dixon	33/1	.5
5th	Shaw Park (IRE) Dale Swift · Scott Dixon	9/1	.5
6th	Forever A Diamond (IRE) Billy Loughnane · William Muir & Chris Grassick	11/2	.5
7th	Surprise Picture (IRE) Harrison Shaw · Grant Tuer	7/1	0.1
8th	American Star (IRE) James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	25/1	1.5
9th	Bellagio Man (IRE) Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	40/1	0.3
10th	Touchwood (IRE) David Probert · Ruth Carr	12/1	.75
11th	Glen Esk (GB) Charlie Bennett · John O'Shea	200/1	3.5

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (1)	Pinball Wizard Bay J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:James Owen	J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:James Owen	134	—	145463	64	80	57	16d	—	—	-10	13.8	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Best run for new yard when third over 8.5f here 16 days ago; should go well back in trip
6 (6)	Sonmarg Bay J:Robert Havlin T:S Woods	J:Robert Havlin T:S Woods	135	t	292382	68	78	68	12d	—	—	0	17.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Threatening in handicaps of late; should remain competitive at this level
8 (3)	Onthemoneyhoney Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Clive Cox	J:Rossa Ryan T:Clive Cox	134	—	-78434	67	74	56	18d	—	—	-3	10	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Down in the weights but limitations seem established now; back against males today
10 (4)	Forever A Diamond Brown J:Billy Loughnane T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Billy Loughnane T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	130	b	754533	63	81	66	7d	—	—	-1	12	1.38/1	11/2 15%
C&D win in April; near miss in first-time blinkers last week; leading claims
1 (8)	Surprise Picture Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Grant Tuer	J:Harrison Shaw T:Grant Tuer	142	v	752812	72	79	62	14d	—	—	+11	22.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Conditions to suit and comes here in top form; set to be involved once again
2 (2)	Shaw Park Bay J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	142	—	263146	72	75	58	6d	—	—	+5	14.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
In good form at Brighton this year; effective over C&D; below best at Newcastle last week
3 (10)	Touchwood Bay J:David Probert T:Ruth Carr	J:David Probert T:Ruth Carr	140	p	183946	70	81	44	20d	—	—	+2	7.3	5.00/1	20/1 5%
On a winning mark but it's been a mixed bag since a Chester win in June; others safer
5 (9)	American Star Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	135	p	155704	65	81	38	14d	—	—	0	5.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
On a winning mark & this should be more suitable than a small-field 6f race latest; chance
4 (11)	Bellagio Man Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	137	p	777860	67	79	61	13d	—	—	+2	5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Down in the weights but doesn't look in the form required to capitalise; rare 7f run
11 (5)	Buttercross Flyer Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	128	—	-38537	61	79	48	98d	—	—	+4	6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Interesting back on AW if ready to roll on first start for Scott Dixon
9 (7)	Glen Esk Bay J:Charlie Bennett T:John O'Shea	J:Charlie Bennett T:John O'Shea	134	—	4383/0	64	-	-	16d	—	—	+3	3.7	75.00/1	300/1 0%
Low-key stable debut this month after mammoth absence; no appeal back at 7f

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Pinball Wizard	11/4	5/2	3/1	5/2	11/4
Sonmarg	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Onthemoneyhoney	7/1	13/2	13/2	13/2	7/1
Forever A Diamond	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	11/2
Surprise Picture	7/1	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Shaw Park	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1
Touchwood	18/1	18/1	18/1	20/1	18/1
American Star	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Bellagio Man	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Buttercross Flyer	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Glen Esk	300/1	150/1	150/1	125/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Surprise Picture

22.3

OR: 5.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 3.3

7/1

2nd

Sonmarg

17.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 8 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Shaw Park

14.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 5.9 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Pinball Wizard

13.8

OR: 3.5 Form: 3 Odds: 7.3

3/1

Forever A Diamond

OR: 3.3 Form: 5.1 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Onthemoneyhoney

OR: 4.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Touchwood

7.3

OR: 5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Buttercross Flyer

OR: 2.8 Form: 2.7 Odds: 0.6

40/1

American Star

5.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Bellagio Man

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Glen Esk

3.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

300/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Surprise Picture	72	79	62
Shaw Park	72	75	58
Touchwood	70	81	44
Sonmarg	68	78	68
Onthemoneyhoney	67	74	56
Bellagio Man	67	79	61
American Star	65	81	38
Pinball Wizard	64	80	57
Glen Esk	64	—	—
Forever A Diamond	63	81	66
Buttercross Flyer	61	79	48

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Shaw Park	6d ago	Quick return
Forever A Diamond	7d ago	Quick return
Sonmarg	12d ago	Quick return
Bellagio Man	13d ago	Quick return
Surprise Picture	14d ago	Fit
American Star	14d ago	Fit
Pinball Wizard	16d ago	Fit
Glen Esk	16d ago	Fit
Onthemoneyhoney	18d ago	Fit
Touchwood	20d ago	Fit
Buttercross Flyer	98d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.