At The Races 1M Social Followers "Confined" Novice Stakes (No More Than 2 Runs) (GBB Race)

Wolverhampton (AW)

17:00

Date 2024-09-23

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,402

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (9)	Good Banter Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Clive Cox	J:Rossa Ryan T:Clive Cox	133	—	2	-	88	-	24d	—	—	-37	25	0.09/1	4/11 73%
Just missed out behind a well-touted newcomer at Salisbury last month; strong claims
4 (8)	Peter The Wolf Chestnut J:Edward Greatrex T:Warren Greatrex	J:Edward Greatrex T:Warren Greatrex	133	—	83	-	82	-	17d	—	—	-7	7	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Big step forward from his debut 8th when 3rd at Ascot 17 days ago; more to come; contender
5 (1)	Target Man Chestnut J:David Egan T:George Boughey	J:David Egan T:George Boughey	133	t	22	-	89	59	14d	—	—	-4	13.7	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Good 2nd over C&D two weeks ago but that form not the easiest to assess; may do better
8 (4)	Oceans Charm b/br J:Billy Loughnane T:James Ferguson	J:Billy Loughnane T:James Ferguson	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Half-sister to a 1m-1m2f winner in Italy; may need further but worth a market check
9 (3)	Rogue Dancer Bay J:David Probert T:Jack Jones	J:David Probert T:Jack Jones	128	—	07	-	77	51	18d	—	—	-2	0.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Minor promise in her two runs but nurseries will provide easier opportunities
6 (5)	Fiery Angel Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:David Evans	J:Callum Shepherd T:David Evans	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Half-sister to two 6f winners; should have a future but she has a fair standard to aim at
3 (2)	King's Hand Bay J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	133	—	65	-	66	32	9d	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Two recent runs haven't been without hope but not sure to appreciate the drop to 6f
NR (7)	Backer Bilk Chestnut J:TBC T:Derek Shaw	J: T:Derek Shaw	133	v	90	-	-	-	109d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Tailed off in two 6f maidens on turf; now visored but impossible to recommend
NR (6)	Havana's Dream Grey J:TBC T:Ronald Harris	J: T:Ronald Harris	128	—	6	-	-	-	20d	—	—	—	0	—	—
40-1, green and tailed off on her Chepstow debut three weeks ago (5f, good); no appeal

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Good Banter	4/11	3/10	4/11	3/10	1/3
Peter The Wolf	13/2	6/1	13/2	13/2	13/2
Target Man	6/1	11/2	6/1	6/1	11/2
Oceans Charm	20/1	20/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Rogue Dancer	33/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	28/1
Fiery Angel	100/1	100/1	100/1	80/1	100/1
King's Hand	100/1	66/1	80/1	50/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Good Banter

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 20

4/11

2nd

Target Man

13.7

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5.2

6/1

3rd

Peter The Wolf

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 4

13/2

Oceans Charm

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Rogue Dancer

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

King's Hand

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Fiery Angel

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Backer Bilk

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Havana's Dream

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Good Banter	—	88	—
Peter The Wolf	—	82	—
Target Man	—	89	59
Oceans Charm	—	—	—
Rogue Dancer	—	77	51
Fiery Angel	—	—	—
King's Hand	—	66	32
Backer Bilk	—	—	—
Havana's Dream	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
King's Hand	9d ago	Quick return
Target Man	14d ago	Fit
Peter The Wolf	17d ago	Fit
Rogue Dancer	18d ago	Fit
Havana's Dream	20d ago	Fit
Good Banter	24d ago	Fit
Backer Bilk	109d ago	Long break
Oceans Charm	—	—
Fiery Angel	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.