Kilminfoyle House Stud Fillies' Maiden – Fairyhouse

Fairyhouse

16:00

Kilminfoyle House Stud Fillies' Maiden

Date 2024-09-23

Distance 7f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €7,375

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (2)	Declaree Bay J:Colin Keane T:J P Murtagh	J:Colin Keane T:J P Murtagh	129	b	323333	78	94	70	32d	—	—	-24	35.5	0.13/1	1/2 67%
Placed all six starts, good run over 1m last time, leading claims down in trip, blinkered
10 (7)	Supreme Success Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	129	—	0-02	68	82	45	20d	—	—	-7	8.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Best run to date when second at Gowran (had a couple of these behind), obvious chance
8 (5)	Rodeeve Bay J:Hugh Horgan(5) T:Michael J Browne	J:Hugh Horgan(5) T:Michael J Browne	129	—	0035	65	79	27	20d	—	—	-1	8.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Best effort yet at Gowran last time, could improve plenty for that run, shortlisted
9 (10)	Storm Averted Bay J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Michael Mulvany	J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Michael Mulvany	129	—	7	-	79	65	6d	—	—	-6	2.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Promise on debut, drop back to 7f an unknown, could go well if run doesn't come too soon
12 (13)	Una Matata Bay J:W J Lee T:Chris Timmons	J:W J Lee T:Chris Timmons	129	t	0-4	-	77	59	34d	—	—	-5	1.7	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Improved on second start at Roscommon, faster ground here, others preferred, tongue-tied
1 (9)	Aoife's Territory Chestnut J:Danny Sheehy T:Patrick T Foley	J:Danny Sheehy T:Patrick T Foley	129	ht	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Territories filly related to winners, check market; wears hood and tongue-tie for debut
11 (4)	Tiffany Twisted Bay J:Leigh Roche T:M D O'Callaghan	J:Leigh Roche T:M D O'Callaghan	129	—	0-	-	52	21	376d	—	—	-4	1.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Well-beaten at 25-1 on debut over a year ago, watch on return unless strong in market
7 (12)	Profit Surge Bay J:Wayne Lordan T:John Geoghegan	J:Wayne Lordan T:John Geoghegan	129	h	06	-	79	29	20d	—	—	-4	1.6	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Much improved in first-time hood at Gowran (retained), place chance if repeating that
6 (6)	Overdue Revival Brown J:James Ryan(3) T:Patrick Martin	J:James Ryan(3) T:Patrick Martin	129	—	8	-	65	51	30d	—	—	-3	1.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Pleasing debut over 6f at the Curragh, step up in trip not sure to suit, others preferred
13 (11)	Winged Victory Bay J:Donagh O'Connor T:E Sheehy	J:Donagh O'Connor T:E Sheehy	129	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Magna Grecia filly, from a good family but is probably best watched on debut
5 (8)	Gray's Wishe's Chestnut J:Robert Whearty(3) T:E Sheehy	J:Robert Whearty(3) T:E Sheehy	129	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Portage filly is related to winners, probably best watched on debut unless money comes
NR (3)	Carried With Love Grey J:Mikey Sheehy T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Mikey Sheehy T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	129	—	00	-	57	55	30d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Well-beaten both starts at Cork and the Curragh, drops in trip, probably one for handicaps
NR (1)	Dc Diva Bay J:Shane Foley T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	J:Shane Foley T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	129	—	6	-	64	-	206d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Not a bad debut effort over 6f at Dundalk, not bred for this trip, probably best watched

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Declaree	4/9	2/5	4/9	4/9	1/2
Supreme Success	11/2	6/1	6/1	13/2	6/1
Rodeeve	10/1	10/1	10/1	12/1	10/1
Storm Averted	14/1	9/1	14/1	8/1	15/2
Una Matata	16/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Aoife's Territory	20/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1
Tiffany Twisted	33/1	28/1	25/1	33/1	33/1
Profit Surge	25/1	28/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Overdue Revival	50/1	50/1	50/1	28/1	40/1
Winged Victory	125/1	80/1	100/1	40/1	100/1
Gray's Wishe's	200/1	150/1	150/1	100/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Declaree

35.5

OR: 7 Form: 8.5 Odds: 20

1/2

2nd

Supreme Success

8.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

13/2

3rd

Rodeeve

8.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.5

12/1

Storm Averted

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

14/1

Una Matata

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

18/1

Profit Surge

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

28/1

Aoife's Territory

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Tiffany Twisted

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

33/1

Overdue Revival

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

50/1

Winged Victory

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

125/1

Gray's Wishe's

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Carried With Love

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Dc Diva

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Declaree	78	94	70
Supreme Success	68	82	45
Rodeeve	65	79	27
Storm Averted	—	79	65
Una Matata	—	77	59
Aoife's Territory	—	—	—
Tiffany Twisted	—	52	21
Profit Surge	—	79	29
Overdue Revival	—	65	51
Winged Victory	—	—	—
Gray's Wishe's	—	—	—
Carried With Love	—	57	55
Dc Diva	—	64	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Storm Averted	6d ago	Quick return
Supreme Success	20d ago	Fit
Rodeeve	20d ago	Fit
Profit Surge	20d ago	Fit
Overdue Revival	30d ago	Fit
Carried With Love	30d ago	Fit
Declaree	32d ago	Fit
Una Matata	34d ago	Fit
Dc Diva	206d ago	Long break
Tiffany Twisted	376d ago	Long break
Aoife's Territory	—	—
Winged Victory	—	—
Gray's Wishe's	—	—