AK Bets Big Prices Big Limits Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

Fontwell

15:05

Date 2024-09-24

Distance 3m1f166y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,248

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5	Propelled Bay J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	155	p	586-52	86	105	97	65d	—	—	-6	15.2	0.75/1	3/1 25%
0-12 but shaped with plenty of promise upped in trip when second at Stratford in July.
2	Bahtiyar Bay J:Mr Ben Sutton(5) T:Dan Skelton	J:Mr Ben Sutton(5) T:Dan Skelton	163	t	P5-553	94	102	99	28d	—	—	-3	16.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
0-19 under all codes but stayed on well when third at Stratford last month.
3	Lucky Rose Bay J:James Davies T:Noel Williams	J:James Davies T:Noel Williams	161	—	/54-32	92	101	89	25d	—	—	-1	15.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Second on her handicap debut (2m6f) at this track last month and a stiffer test can suit
8	Redbridge Rosie Bay J:Jamie Gambin(10) T:Sarah Humphrey	J:Jamie Gambin(10) T:Sarah Humphrey	146	—	/3232-	77	102	93	308d	—	—	+10	19.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Placed on all four starts last term but returns from 308-day absence.
12	Baby Sham Bay J:Oscar Palmer(7) T:Seamus Mullins	J:Oscar Palmer(7) T:Seamus Mullins	142	—	9-5670	73	99	80	17d	—	—	0	7.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Scored over C&D in June 2023 but has lost her way over hurdles since.
4	Farceur De Maulne Bay J:Harry Reed T:Richard Hawker	J:Harry Reed T:Richard Hawker	157	tb	3950/4	88	102	20	68d	—	—	+5	11.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Made an encouraging return from a lengthy absence when fourth at Worcester in July.
10	Wearapinkribbon Chestnut J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Helen Nelmes	J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Helen Nelmes	143	p	0PP-75	74	97	81	33d	—	—	+1	7.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Well beaten on his two runs in the summer and difficult to make a case for.
7	Hurley Girly Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Neil Mulholland	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Neil Mulholland	147	—	3-0976	78	81	69	27d	—	—	+5	10.7	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Well held at massive prices in 3 hurdle starts but of more interest now handicapping.
6	Groom De Cotte Bay J:Isabelle Ryder(10) T:Gary Brown	J:Isabelle Ryder(10) T:Gary Brown	154	t	-307P0	85	103	97	13d	—	—	+6	9.8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
18-race maiden who has struggled in his four runs over fences for current stable.
1	Confidential Gosip Chestnut J:Fern O'Brien(7) T:Laura Horsfall	J:Fern O'Brien(7) T:Laura Horsfall	168	—	-03556	99	98	85	13d	—	—	+11	14.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Well held when sixth of 12 on stable debut at Worcester but now goes handicapping
9	Stripe Of Honour Bay J:Harriet Tucker(7) T:Anthony Day	J:Harriet Tucker(7) T:Anthony Day	144	tv	7-2506	75	102	72	65d	—	—	+4	7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Back on his last winning mark but well beaten on his last three starts and hard to fancy.
11	Nan Brady Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Barry Brennan	J:Sean Bowen T:Barry Brennan	142	p	788-44	73	93	-	—	—	—	+4	6.2	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Yet to be placed from five runs over hurdles and is best watched.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Propelled	3/1	11/4	3/1	11/4	3/1
Bahtiyar	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Lucky Rose	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Redbridge Rosie	8/1	17/2	8/1	8/1	17/2
Baby Sham	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	11/1
Farceur De Maulne	11/1	11/1	11/1	12/1	11/1
Wearapinkribbon	14/1	12/1	14/1	14/1	16/1
Hurley Girly	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Groom De Cotte	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Confidential Gosip	22/1	22/1	22/1	25/1	22/1
Stripe Of Honour	40/1	33/1	40/1	33/1	33/1
Nan Brady	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Redbridge Rosie

19.9

OR: 6.8 Form: 10.5 Odds: 2.7

17/2

2nd

Bahtiyar

16.7

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

3rd

Propelled

15.2

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

3/1

Lucky Rose

15.2

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.7

4/1

Confidential Gosip

14.1

OR: 12.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1

25/1

Farceur De Maulne

11.2

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Hurley Girly

10.7

OR: 7 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Groom De Cotte

9.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Baby Sham

7.9

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Wearapinkribbon

7.7

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Stripe Of Honour

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Nan Brady

6.2

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Confidential Gosip	99	98	85
Bahtiyar	94	102	99
Lucky Rose	92	101	89
Farceur De Maulne	88	102	20
Propelled	86	105	97
Groom De Cotte	85	103	97
Hurley Girly	78	81	69
Redbridge Rosie	77	102	93
Stripe Of Honour	75	102	72
Wearapinkribbon	74	97	81
Baby Sham	73	99	80
Nan Brady	73	93	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Groom De Cotte	13d ago	Quick return
Confidential Gosip	13d ago	Quick return
Baby Sham	17d ago	Fit
Lucky Rose	25d ago	Fit
Hurley Girly	27d ago	Fit
Bahtiyar	28d ago	Fit
Wearapinkribbon	33d ago	Fit
Propelled	65d ago	Fresh
Stripe Of Honour	65d ago	Fresh
Farceur De Maulne	68d ago	Fresh
Redbridge Rosie	308d ago	Long break
Nan Brady	—	—