Unibet Support Safe Gambling Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

16:27

Unibet Support Safe Gambling Handicap

Date 2024-09-25

Distance 7f

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (5)	God Bless America Bay J:George Downing T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:George Downing T:Eve Johnson Houghton	138	t	684254	66	73	66	30d	—	—	-6	11.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Reliable maiden who posted a solid fourth at Southwell 30 days ago; not ruled out
11 (4)	Help Me Rhonda Chestnut J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	128	—	643366	56	71	60	16d	—	—	-7	8.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Encouraging start for new yard with Wolverhampton sixth; merits serious consideration
2 (6)	Faster Bee Bay J:Taryn Langley(7) T:Richard Hughes	J:Taryn Langley(7) T:Richard Hughes	136	p	309593	64	70	50	14d	—	—	-4	10.5	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Yet to register a win but a good Lingfield third two weeks ago; one for the shortlist
4 (1)	Eight Mile Bay J:Liam Wright(5) T:George Scott	J:Liam Wright(5) T:George Scott	135	b	545532	60	74	63	15d	—	—	+1	12.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Knocking on the door, second at Lingfield 15 days ago; bold show is on the cards
6 (8)	Mizuumi Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Marco Botti	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Marco Botti	133	—	454653	61	70	67	21d	—	—	-2	8.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Comes here on the back of a good Lingfield third latest; can make her presence felt again
5 (9)	Zinchenko Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	134	—	75-845	62	69	61	21d	—	—	-2	4.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Arrives in decent nick without winning; possibilities off a 2lb lower mark now
8 (3)	Grecian God Bay J:George Bass(3) T:Mark Usher	J:George Bass(3) T:Mark Usher	130	—	533419	58	76	66	16d	—	—	+6	12.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Won at Wolverhampton and poorly drawn there next time; he's well worth another chance
3 (10)	Celtic John Chestnut J:Kieran O'Neill T:Pat Phelan	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Pat Phelan	135	—	8758	63	67	48	15d	—	—	0	4.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Not disgraced on handicap debut when eighth at Lingfield 15 days ago; needs to build on it
7 (11)	Katie G Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ed Dunlop	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ed Dunlop	131	p	485134	59	73	65	11d	—	—	+6	10.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Solid fourth at Lingfield 11 days ago; ought to be thereabouts despite her high draw
12 (12)	Portoro Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Martin Dunne	J:Dylan Hogan T:Martin Dunne	126	t	8-9682	51	72	17	121d	—	—	-2	1.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Best effort of 2024 when second at Leicester in May; has won off a break, so considered
13 (7)	Purple Poppy Bay J:Sam Hitchcott T:Jimmy Fox	J:Sam Hitchcott T:Jimmy Fox	121	—	508463	46	71	52	15d	—	—	+1	3.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
It's now 15 starts since her last win but a good Lingfield third latest; in the shake-up
10 (2)	Takeover Target Bay J:J F Egan T:Pat Phelan	J:J F Egan T:Pat Phelan	129	b	67-673	57	66	40	125d	—	—	0	2.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Solid Lingfield third in May for Tom Dascombe; no forlorn hope for his new yard
NR (13)	Bated Breeze Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:NON-RUNNER T:Gary & Josh Moore	130	p	368496	58	-	-	33d	—	—	—	2	—	—
Back on track with Goodwood sixth latest; not discounted off a 2lb lower mark

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
God Bless America	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2
Help Me Rhonda	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2
Faster Bee	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Eight Mile	6/1	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Mizuumi	13/2	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Zinchenko	12/1	11/1	12/1	10/1	11/1
Grecian God	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Celtic John	16/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	16/1
Katie G	18/1	20/1	20/1	18/1	18/1
Portoro	20/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	20/1
Purple Poppy	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Takeover Target	40/1	40/1	40/1	28/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Eight Mile

12.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 3.3

13/2

2nd

Grecian God

12.2

OR: 2 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.7

12/1

3rd

God Bless America

11.5

OR: 4 Form: 2.5 Odds: 5

9/2

Katie G

10.6

OR: 2.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Faster Bee

10.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 3 Odds: 4

5/1

Mizuumi

8.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 3 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Help Me Rhonda

8.3

OR: 1.5 Form: 2.4 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Zinchenko

4.9

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Celtic John

4.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Purple Poppy

3.9

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Takeover Target

2.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Bated Breeze

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Portoro

1.2

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
God Bless America	66	73	66
Faster Bee	64	70	50
Celtic John	63	67	48
Zinchenko	62	69	61
Mizuumi	61	70	67
Eight Mile	60	74	63
Katie G	59	73	65
Grecian God	58	76	66
Bated Breeze	58	—	—
Takeover Target	57	66	40
Help Me Rhonda	56	71	60
Portoro	51	72	17
Purple Poppy	46	71	52

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Katie G	11d ago	Quick return
Faster Bee	14d ago	Fit
Eight Mile	15d ago	Fit
Celtic John	15d ago	Fit
Purple Poppy	15d ago	Fit
Help Me Rhonda	16d ago	Fit
Grecian God	16d ago	Fit
Mizuumi	21d ago	Fit
Zinchenko	21d ago	Fit
God Bless America	30d ago	Fit
Bated Breeze	33d ago	Fit
Portoro	121d ago	Long break
Takeover Target	125d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.