Weatherbys Stallion Book Nursery Handicap – Redcar

Redcar

14:10

Weatherbys Stallion Book Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-09-25

Distance 5f217y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,664

Runners (14)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
12 (1)	Herecomesthebear Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Hugo Palmer	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Hugo Palmer	129	—	767516	62	75	61	21d	—	—	-5	16.2	3/1 25%
Acted well on heavy when nabbing Saytarr late at Ffos Las; well held six days later
5 (7)	Brandywine Falls Bay J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	135	—	6574	68	69	43	29d	—	—	-8	9.5	4/1 20%
Open to improvement despite being beaten favourite on handicap debut latest
3 (6)	Bella Love Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Craig Lidster	J:Tom Eaves T:Craig Lidster	136	—	23227	69	76	63	18d	—	—	+5	15.7	15/2 12%
Fair efforts in defeat at 6f/5f in the summer; found little on handicap debut latest
6 (4)	I Need Your Love Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	134	v	8834	67	71	54	14d	—	—	0	8.7	9/1 10%
Not seen the best of him yet but this sharper 6f could see him in a better light
14 (14)	Perfidia Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	124	tp	630683	57	76	59	9d	—	—	-1	7.7	9/1 10%
Slow burner in handicaps but better at Thirsk last week when cheekpieces were fitted
1 (10)	Fear And Fast Bay J:Raul Da Silva T:Ismail Mohammed	J:Raul Da Silva T:Ismail Mohammed	137	—	7040	70	76	61	34d	—	—	-1	7.2	10/1 9%
Big improvement on 3rd start; sales race since asked too much; handicap debut
4 (9)	Forteleza Bay J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	135	—	543	68	73	53	20d	—	—	+1	10.2	17/2 11%
Improving; good 3rd on Wolverhampton AW recently; can progress again on handicap debut
13 (13)	Novamay Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	126	—	399	59	71	57	18d	—	—	-1	5.5	14/1 7%
Significant promise on debut; not progressed since but this should be more her level
10 (12)	Rex Carver Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	130	—	440523	63	74	65	28d	—	—	+6	11.1	16/1 6%
Maiden with 3 defeats in handicaps and beginning to look exposed now
8 (3)	Final Angel Grey J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	132	—	3948	65	70	45	17d	—	—	+1	6	18/1 5%
All races on good to soft or slower; well adrift on handicap debut but sights lowered here
11 (8)	Lady Lightning Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Ed Dunlop	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Ed Dunlop	130	—	135904	63	75	54	30d	—	—	+1	4.7	25/1 4%
Winning 5f debut on AW but had some quiet days since and not obviously ahead of her mark
NR (11)	Eighteen Fourteen Bay J:TBC T:Ollie Pears	J: T:Ollie Pears	137	—	3019	70	75	69	74d	—	—	—	12.9	—
Won C&D novice on 3rd start; feeling the pinch when hampered on handicap debut
NR (5)	Fallen Soldier Bay J:TBC T:John & Sean Quinn	J: T:John & Sean Quinn	133	p	85842	66	77	54	9d	—	—	—	9	—
Two good runs in 6f handicaps, on AW and turf; on the premises again if cheekpieces help
NR (2)	Saytarr Bay J:TBC T:Charlie Fellowes	J: T:Charlie Fellowes	132	p	57332	65	75	61	27d	—	—	—	12.4	—
Two willing efforts in 6f handicaps on AW and heavy turf; looks sure to give good account

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Herecomesthebear	3/1	3/1	3/1	11/4	11/4
Brandywine Falls	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2
Bella Love	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1	15/2
I Need Your Love	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Perfidia	9/1	9/1	9/1	17/2	9/1
Fear And Fast	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	9/1
Forteleza	8/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	7/1
Novamay	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
Rex Carver	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	14/1
Final Angel	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	14/1
Lady Lightning	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Herecomesthebear

16.2

OR: 3 Form: 7 Odds: 6.2

3/1

2nd

Bella Love

15.7

OR: 4.8 Form: 7.9 Odds: 3.1

15/2

3rd

Eighteen Fourteen

12.9

OR: 5 Form: 7.9 Odds: 0

—

Saytarr

12.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 8.6 Odds: 0

—

Rex Carver

11.1

OR: 3.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Forteleza

10.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Brandywine Falls

9.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Fallen Soldier

OR: 4 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

I Need Your Love

8.7

OR: 4.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Perfidia

7.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Fear And Fast

7.2

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Final Angel

OR: 3.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Novamay

5.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Lady Lightning

4.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Fear And Fast	70	76	61
Eighteen Fourteen	70	75	69
Bella Love	69	76	63
Brandywine Falls	68	69	43
Forteleza	68	73	53
I Need Your Love	67	71	54
Fallen Soldier	66	77	54
Final Angel	65	70	45
Saytarr	65	75	61
Rex Carver	63	74	65
Lady Lightning	63	75	54
Herecomesthebear	62	75	61
Novamay	59	71	57
Perfidia	57	76	59

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Perfidia	9d ago	Quick return
Fallen Soldier	9d ago	Quick return
I Need Your Love	14d ago	Fit
Final Angel	17d ago	Fit
Bella Love	18d ago	Fit
Novamay	18d ago	Fit
Forteleza	20d ago	Fit
Herecomesthebear	21d ago	Fit
Saytarr	27d ago	Fit
Rex Carver	28d ago	Fit
Brandywine Falls	29d ago	Fit
Lady Lightning	30d ago	Fit
Fear And Fast	34d ago	Fit
Eighteen Fourteen	74d ago	Fresh