British EBF Future Stayers' Novice Stakes (Sire And Dam Restricted Race) (GBB Race)

Bath

15:15

Date 2024-10-01

Distance 1m

Class Class 4

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £10,800

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (2)	Hopewell Rock Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	136	—	1	-	91	78	46d	—	—	-25	28.7	0.17/1	4/6 60%
Held a Royal Lodge entry at the time of his Newbury win; the form pick and looks promising
2 (10)	Castle Gates Bay J:Charlie Bennett T:Saeed bin Suroor	J:Charlie Bennett T:Saeed bin Suroor	130	—	5	-	84	-	25d	—	—	-16	6.7	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Eyecatching fifth in 7f AW event at Kempton, making late progress from rear; interesting
9 (3)	Sourdough Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Hughie Morrison	J:Rob Hornby T:Hughie Morrison	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.3	2.50/1	10/1 9%
From a family that has served his connections well; heed the market signals
4 (8)	Distant Memory Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Richard Hannon	J:Tom Marquand T:Richard Hannon	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
52,000gns yearling; Sottsass half-brother to four winners; major stable; one to consider
6 (11)	Gaelic Heart Chestnut J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
80,000euros yearling; by Masar; stable first string on jockey arrangements; interesting
5 (7)	Fantasy World Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	130	h	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
70,000euros yearling; wears hood on debut; the stable second string on jockey bookings
11 (1)	Pure Theory Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
25,000gns yearling; Ulysses half-sister to five winners; market informative
7 (4)	Scarlet Moon Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	130	—	97	-	76	70	13d	—	—	-1	0.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Has failed to land a blow in two 1m maidens on good ground
3 (6)	Chambers Bay J:J F Egan T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:J F Egan T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
16,000euros yearling; by Inns Of Court; gelded newcomer; others preferred
8 (9)	Sir Kenny Chestnut J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
1,000gns yearling; by Kendargent; gelded debutant; others are more appealing
10 (12)	Sydney Whistler Bay J:Georgia Dobie T:J S Moore	J:Georgia Dobie T:J S Moore	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	0	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
2,500gns 2yo; by Havana Gold; gelded newcomer; best watched
12 (5)	Sharma d'Amour Bay J:George Bass(3) T:Denis Coakley	J:George Bass(3) T:Denis Coakley	125	—	9	-	42	-	35d	—	—	0	0.2	75.00/1	300/1 0%
Always behind in 7f AW maiden, having been friendless in the betting

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Hopewell Rock	8/13	4/6	8/13	8/13	8/13
Castle Gates	11/4	11/4	11/4	5/2	11/4
Sourdough	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Distant Memory	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Gaelic Heart	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Fantasy World	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Pure Theory	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Scarlet Moon	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Chambers	100/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Sir Kenny	150/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Sydney Whistler	250/1	125/1	150/1	125/1	150/1
Sharma d'Amour	300/1	125/1	150/1	125/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hopewell Rock

28.7

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 18.7

4/6

2nd

Castle Gates

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

11/4

3rd

Sourdough

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

10/1

Distant Memory

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Gaelic Heart

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Pure Theory

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Fantasy World

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Scarlet Moon

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Chambers

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Sir Kenny

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Sydney Whistler

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Sharma d'Amour

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

300/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hopewell Rock	—	91	78
Castle Gates	—	84	—
Sourdough	—	—	—
Distant Memory	—	—	—
Gaelic Heart	—	—	—
Fantasy World	—	—	—
Pure Theory	—	—	—
Scarlet Moon	—	76	70
Chambers	—	—	—
Sir Kenny	—	—	—
Sydney Whistler	—	—	—
Sharma d'Amour	—	42	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Scarlet Moon	13d ago	Quick return
Castle Gates	25d ago	Fit
Sharma d'Amour	35d ago	Fit
Hopewell Rock	46d ago	Fresh
Sourdough	—	—
Distant Memory	—	—
Gaelic Heart	—	—
Fantasy World	—	—
Pure Theory	—	—
Chambers	—	—
Sir Kenny	—	—
Sydney Whistler	—	—