weatherbysshop.co.uk Handicap Hurdle – Southwell

Southwell

16:40

weatherbysshop.co.uk Handicap Hurdle

Date 2024-10-03

Distance 1m7f182y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,066

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8	Obsessedwithyou Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jamie Snowden	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jamie Snowden	158	h	3-4642	99	110	91	42d	—	—	+1	20.1	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Consistent mare who's responded well for the fitting of a hood; each-way claims
6	Light Dragoon Bay J:Cameron Iles(7) T:Tom Lacey	J:Cameron Iles(7) T:Tom Lacey	165	t	0-31	106	112	89	17d	—	—	+1	19.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Progressing well over hurdles, winning on just his second try; big player on handicap bow
3	Dog Fox Chestnut J:Toby Wynne(3) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Toby Wynne(3) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	165	—	53-215	107	112	83	70d	—	—	+2	19.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Easy winner in June off 7lb lower but needs to resume progress to defy his revised mark
1	Forget The Way Bay J:Mr Alex Chadwick(5) T:James Owen	J:Mr Alex Chadwick(5) T:James Owen	168	t	3U2436	109	110	105	26d	—	—	+8	22.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Has to bounce back from a modest effort latest but capable of doing so; respected
10	Buxted Too Chestnut J:Charlie Todd T:Ian Williams	J:Charlie Todd T:Ian Williams	153	tp	9B55-3	94	111	97	37d	—	—	+6	17.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Worth considering off the same mark as when chasing home two subsequent winners in August
5	Diplomatie Chestnut J:Miss Victoria Malzard(5) T:Harry Derham	J:Miss Victoria Malzard(5) T:Harry Derham	165	—	-21113	106	108	-	25d	—	—	+27	35.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Three-time winner in Jersey this summer; makes stable debut but this is more competitive
9	Ikigai Star Brown J:David Bass T:Charlie Longsdon	J:David Bass T:Charlie Longsdon	158	—	4-6152	100	109	84	22d	—	—	+7	14.6	2.75/1	11/1 8%
1-5 over hurdles; back on track returning from a break this month and difficult to ignore
4	Ambassador Bay J:Joshua Thompson(7) T:Micky Hammond	J:Joshua Thompson(7) T:Micky Hammond	165	v	-14618	106	107	89	26d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+19	24.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Dual-hurdle winner this summer who has the form to figure if in the mood
NR	Wise Guy Bay J:TBC T:Stuart Edmunds	J: T:Stuart Edmunds	168	—	31213-	109	108	104	173d	—	—	—	30.9	—	—
2-6 over hurdles last season having had a wind op; can resume progress back from a break
NR	Ascension Day Bay J:TBC T:Shaun Lycett	J: T:Shaun Lycett	163	—	32-224	104	111	92	87d	—	—	—	13.5	—	—
Fair fourth latest but a close second in his first two handicaps; solid claims back at 2m

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Obsessedwithyou	3/1	3/1	3/1
Light Dragoon	7/2	4/1	4/1
Dog Fox	9/2	4/1	9/2
Forget The Way	7/1	6/1	6/1
Buxted Too	13/2	6/1	13/2
Diplomatie	10/1	11/1	10/1
Ikigai Star	10/1	11/1	11/1
Ambassador	14/1	16/1	16/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Diplomatie

35.2

OR: 14 Form: 19 Odds: 2.2

11/1

2nd

Wise Guy

30.9

OR: 14.8 Form: 16.1 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Ambassador

24.6

OR: 14 Form: 9 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Forget The Way

22.1

OR: 14.8 Form: 3.3 Odds: 4

7/1

Obsessedwithyou

20.1

OR: 12.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.7

3/1

Dog Fox

19.3

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Light Dragoon

19.2

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Buxted Too

17.3

OR: 11 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Ikigai Star

14.6

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Ascension Day

13.5

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Forget The Way	109	110	105
Wise Guy	109	108	104
Dog Fox	107	112	83
Light Dragoon	106	112	89
Diplomatie	106	108	—
Ambassador	106	107	89
Ascension Day	104	111	92
Ikigai Star	100	109	84
Obsessedwithyou	99	110	91
Buxted Too	94	111	97

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Light Dragoon	17d ago	Fit
Ikigai Star	22d ago	Fit
Diplomatie	25d ago	Fit
Forget The Way	26d ago	Fit
Ambassador	26d ago	Fit
Buxted Too	37d ago	Fit
Obsessedwithyou	42d ago	Fit
Dog Fox	70d ago	Fresh
Ascension Day	87d ago	Fresh
Wise Guy	173d ago	Long break