Virgin Bet Best Odds Daily Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

Newmarket

16:25

Date 2024-10-05

Distance 7f

Class Class 2

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £10,308

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (12)	Spirit Of Summer Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	133	—	293	79	86	61	25d	—	—	-7	21.6	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Made running when third at Leicester; sets standard on form and unlikely to be far away
9 (9)	Secret Theory Bay J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-17	7.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Has a quality pedigree and represents a top stable; has to be high on the list
3 (7)	Dragonflame Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Brian Meehan	J:Rob Hornby T:Brian Meehan	133	—	7	-	77	66	77d	—	—	-11	4.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Pinatubo colt who still holds a Dewhurst entry; some promise on debut; not ruled out
6 (11)	Moutai Bay J:Colin Keane T:Ed Walker	J:Colin Keane T:Ed Walker	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
225,000euros 2yo; yard having good season with 2yos; Colin Keane a positive jockey booking
8 (6)	Palmarian Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Kingman half-brother to UAE 1m1f Group 1 winner Blair House; appealing newcomer
2 (2)	Crown Of Oaks Bay J:Pat Dobbs T:William Haggas	J:Pat Dobbs T:William Haggas	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
260,000gns yearling; bred to be smart; stable won this with a newcomer in 2021
4 (4)	Elarak Bay J:Harry Davies T:Charles Hills	J:Harry Davies T:Charles Hills	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
By Kingman out of smart sprinting mare; stable just 3-61 with its juveniles this season
7 (3)	Oceans Five Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Brian Meehan	J:Hollie Doyle T:Brian Meehan	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
42,000gns yearling; by Bated Breath; stable also runs Dragonflame; worth a market check
1 (5)	All Cost Bay J:Edward Greatrex T:Martin Dunne	J:Edward Greatrex T:Martin Dunne	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Already gelded; stable has modest strike-rate with 2yos; others appeal more on paper
11 (1)	No Gain Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Martin Dunne	J:Liam Keniry T:Martin Dunne	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
11,000gns yearling; half-sister to two winners; stablemate of fellow newcomer All Cost
5 (10)	Ignition Chestnut J:Sam James T:George Scott	J:Sam James T:George Scott	133	—	679	-	52	39	15d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Has gone the wrong way in three outings; difficult to recommend
12 (8)	Vizzavona Lady Bay J:Olivia Haines T:Jack Jones	J:Olivia Haines T:Jack Jones	128	—	86	-	67	32	21d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Just modest form at Deauville (7f) and Bath (1m); plenty of improvement required

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Spirit Of Summer	2/1	2/1	2/1	15/8	2/1
Secret Theory	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Dragonflame	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	5/1
Moutai	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Palmarian	10/1	8/1	17/2	17/2	9/1
Crown Of Oaks	14/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Elarak	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Oceans Five	22/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
All Cost	150/1	125/1	150/1	100/1	125/1
No Gain	150/1	150/1	150/1	100/1	125/1
Ignition	200/1	200/1	200/1	125/1	150/1
Vizzavona Lady	150/1	150/1	150/1	100/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Spirit Of Summer

21.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 8.9

2/1

2nd

Secret Theory

7.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Dragonflame

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Moutai

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Palmarian

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Crown Of Oaks

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Elarak

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Oceans Five

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

All Cost

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

No Gain

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ignition

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Vizzavona Lady

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Spirit Of Summer	79	86	61
Secret Theory	—	—	—
Dragonflame	—	77	66
Moutai	—	—	—
Palmarian	—	—	—
Crown Of Oaks	—	—	—
Elarak	—	—	—
Oceans Five	—	—	—
All Cost	—	—	—
No Gain	—	—	—
Ignition	—	52	39
Vizzavona Lady	—	67	32

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ignition	15d ago	Fit
Vizzavona Lady	21d ago	Fit
Spirit Of Summer	25d ago	Fit
Dragonflame	77d ago	Fresh
Secret Theory	—	—
Moutai	—	—
Palmarian	—	—
Crown Of Oaks	—	—
Elarak	—	—
Oceans Five	—	—
All Cost	—	—
No Gain	—	—