Join Racing TV Now Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle (Go North Cab On Target Qual') (Div I)

Kelso

16:25

Date 2024-10-06

Distance 2m4f189y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,697

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7	Rickety Gate Bay J:Conor Rabbitt(3) T:Nicky Richards	J:Conor Rabbitt(3) T:Nicky Richards	158	—	3258-8	89	102	93	144d	—	—	-6	16.4	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Merely eighth in the spring on last two starts but can go well fresh and won this in 2022
9	Nastasiya Chestnut J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Lucinda Russell	J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Lucinda Russell	148	hp	32-354	79	100	95	10d	—	—	-5	12.3	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Went close in August 2023 but hasn't threatened on last three runs and is now 0-26
1	O'Grady's Hill Bay J:Alice Stevens T:Harry Derham	J:Alice Stevens T:Harry Derham	168	—	P-1222	99	97	72	81d	—	—	0	17.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Point winner; runner-up on all three rules starts; could have part to play on h'cap debut
2	Malangen Bay J:Peter Kavanagh T:Lisa Harrison	J:Peter Kavanagh T:Lisa Harrison	164	—	235355	95	101	90	11d	—	—	+5	16.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Won in June and now just 1lb higher; didn't run badly last month; might not be far away
4	Theirshegoes Bay J:Lewis Dobb(6) T:Sandy Thomson	J:Lewis Dobb(6) T:Sandy Thomson	163	—	554-1U	94	103	74	70d	—	—	+4	13.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Won over 2m at Uttoxeter in June; there can be hope she'll be fine now back up in trip
10	Swift Reply Brown J:Charlie Maggs(3) T:Simon Waugh	J:Charlie Maggs(3) T:Simon Waugh	144	—	P20-07	75	101	66	11d	—	—	+1	8.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
50-1 runner-up at Sedgefield in January but form has gone the wrong way since
5	Iwa Bay J:Harry Atkins(5) T:D J Jeffreys	J:Harry Atkins(5) T:D J Jeffreys	162	t	/P44P-	93	102	91	174d	—	—	+7	12.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Yet to shine in Britain but has had wind op since last time and he won twice in France
3	Be The Difference Bay J:Joe Williamson T:Philip Kirby	J:Joe Williamson T:Philip Kirby	163	—	624/S5	94	95	10	130d	—	—	+7	12.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Check betting on third start back from long absence but others have less to prove
6	Carrarea Chestnut J:Edward Austin T:Hannah McMahon	J:Edward Austin T:Hannah McMahon	162	tp	-97448	93	99	89	13d	—	—	+8	11.6	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Continues to drop down the weights but needs to raise his game in first-time cheekpieces
8	Darkest Day Bay J:Alan Doyle T:William Young Jnr	J:Alan Doyle T:William Young Jnr	155	tp	-02880	86	102	91	18d	—	—	+8	11.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Good second at Perth in June but well beaten on his last three outings
11	Luminaries Bay J:Dylan Johnston T:Ewan Whillans	J:Dylan Johnston T:Ewan Whillans	142	—	7PP-69	73	-	31	94d	—	—	+4	6.2	12.50/1	50/1 2%
0-9; has had wind op prior to this stable debut and a transformation is needed

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Rickety Gate	11/4	5/2	11/4
Nastasiya	4/1	4/1	4/1
O'Grady's Hill	4/1	9/2	9/2
Malangen	15/2	15/2	7/1
Theirshegoes	8/1	15/2	15/2
Swift Reply	11/1	10/1	10/1
Iwa	14/1	14/1	14/1
Be The Difference	20/1	20/1	20/1
Carrarea	28/1	25/1	28/1
Darkest Day	28/1	33/1	33/1
Luminaries	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

O'Grady's Hill

17.3

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Rickety Gate

16.4

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

11/4

3rd

Malangen

16.4

OR: 11.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Theirshegoes

13.9

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Be The Difference

12.4

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Nastasiya

12.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Iwa

12.1

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Carrarea

11.6

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Darkest Day

11.3

OR: 9 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Swift Reply

8.4

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Luminaries

6.2

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
O'Grady's Hill	99	97	72
Malangen	95	101	90
Theirshegoes	94	103	74
Be The Difference	94	95	10
Iwa	93	102	91
Carrarea	93	99	89
Rickety Gate	89	102	93
Darkest Day	86	102	91
Nastasiya	79	100	95
Swift Reply	75	101	66
Luminaries	73	—	31

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Nastasiya	10d ago	Quick return
Malangen	11d ago	Quick return
Swift Reply	11d ago	Quick return
Carrarea	13d ago	Quick return
Darkest Day	18d ago	Fit
Theirshegoes	70d ago	Fresh
O'Grady's Hill	81d ago	Fresh
Luminaries	94d ago	Long break
Be The Difference	130d ago	Long break
Rickety Gate	144d ago	Long break
Iwa	174d ago	Long break