Unibet Support Safe Gambling Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier)

Kempton (AW)

18:45

Date 2024-10-09

Distance 1m

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (10)	Midnight Drive Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	136	—	541134	70	80	64	23d	—	—	+1	20.8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Won first two handicaps, over C&D; not clear run back here latest; likely contender
8 (4)	Pursuit Of Truth Chestnut J:Jim Crowley T:Owen Burrows	J:Jim Crowley T:Owen Burrows	134	—	78-5	68	77	-	40d	—	—	-6	8.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Promising 5th on belated return (1m); has more to come now handicapping
7 (6)	Beauty Generation Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Marco Botti	J:Hollie Doyle T:Marco Botti	134	v	236663	68	79	59	19d	—	—	-1	11.7	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Has run well in all 3 C&D handicaps he's contested; thereabouts in first-time visor
6 (12)	New Kings Road Bay J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Richard Hannon	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Richard Hannon	136	—	661236	70	77	53	23d	—	—	+4	15.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Made all over 1m on turf in August; raced over further last twice; return to 1m can suit
12 (14)	Falcon Nine Chestnut J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	133	—	679782	64	82	-	20d	—	—	+1	11.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Useful effort in sole C&D start; hard to find the right race since; better latest
11 (3)	Adelabella Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Michael Wigham	J:Darragh Keenan T:Michael Wigham	133	—	521153	64	80	48	20d	—	—	+8	18.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Good spell at about 1m on turf but shade high in weights now back on the AW
10 (8)	English Spirit Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Heather Main	J:Jack Mitchell T:Heather Main	133	—	583536	64	81	59	24d	—	—	+1	8.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Four Tapeta wins; rarely races on Polytrack and first course run for nearly 3 years
5 (7)	Mbappe Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	136	—	141413	70	78	57	58d	—	—	+13	19.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
All 3 wins at about 7f; things didn't pan out over C&D latest but remains of interest
2 (9)	One Step Beyond Bay J:Tom Queally T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Tom Queally T:Gary & Josh Moore	137	p	-93690	68	84	-	33d	—	—	+1	7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
C&D winner in 2023; some lurches this year but no surprise if he recaptures form
9 (5)	Green Power Bay J:William Carson T:John Gallagher	J:William Carson T:John Gallagher	133	—	005073	64	85	49	19d	—	—	+4	7.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
3-7 over C&D; well handicapped again after a slow summer on turf; competitive
1 (11)	Masqool Bay J:William Cox T:James Evans	J:William Cox T:James Evans	139	—	246005	70	78	56	116d	—	—	+4	5.4	16.50/1	66/1 1%
C&D winner; quite well treated but lacks a recent run and without regular cheekpieces
13 (13)	Tactical Control Bay J:Luke Catton(3) T:B F Brookhouse	J:Luke Catton(3) T:B F Brookhouse	131	t	855156	65	76	43	14d	—	—	+8	9.1	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Acts on Polytrack; winner over 1m at Salisbury in August; return to this trip will suit
14 (1)	Mamora Bay Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Roger Teal	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Roger Teal	130	—	960-0	64	71	-	124d	—	—	+3	3.7	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Has shown ability but never involved on 7f handicap debut in June; off since
NR (2)	Kaaranah Bay J:TBC T:John Butler	J: T:John Butler	137	—	987-75	68	82	50	201d	—	—	—	4.5	—	—
Good late work at 1m in early 2024; first course run since C&D win in September 2023

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Midnight Drive	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Pursuit Of Truth	5/1	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Beauty Generation	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
New Kings Road	15/2	13/2	7/1	7/1	15/2
Falcon Nine	15/2	7/1	7/1	13/2	7/1
Adelabella	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
English Spirit	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Mbappe	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
One Step Beyond	16/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Green Power	20/1	20/1	20/1	18/1	20/1
Masqool	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1
Tactical Control	80/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	50/1
Mamora Bay	100/1	100/1	100/1	80/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Midnight Drive

20.8

OR: 5 Form: 10.1 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Mbappe

19.7

OR: 5 Form: 13 Odds: 1.7

12/1

3rd

Adelabella

18.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 12 Odds: 3.1

8/1

New Kings Road

15.9

OR: 5 Form: 7.6 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Beauty Generation

11.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Falcon Nine

11.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Tactical Control

9.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0.4

80/1

English Spirit

8.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Pursuit Of Truth

8.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Green Power

7.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.1

20/1

One Step Beyond

OR: 4.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Masqool

5.4

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Kaaranah

4.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Mamora Bay

3.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Midnight Drive	70	80	64
New Kings Road	70	77	53
Mbappe	70	78	57
Masqool	70	78	56
Pursuit Of Truth	68	77	—
Beauty Generation	68	79	59
One Step Beyond	68	84	—
Kaaranah	68	82	50
Tactical Control	65	76	43
Falcon Nine	64	82	—
Adelabella	64	80	48
English Spirit	64	81	59
Green Power	64	85	49
Mamora Bay	64	71	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tactical Control	14d ago	Fit
Beauty Generation	19d ago	Fit
Green Power	19d ago	Fit
Falcon Nine	20d ago	Fit
Adelabella	20d ago	Fit
Midnight Drive	23d ago	Fit
New Kings Road	23d ago	Fit
English Spirit	24d ago	Fit
One Step Beyond	33d ago	Fit
Pursuit Of Truth	40d ago	Fit
Mbappe	58d ago	Fresh
Masqool	116d ago	Long break
Mamora Bay	124d ago	Long break
Kaaranah	201d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.