Ted Palmer Memorial Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

19:15

Ted Palmer Memorial Handicap

Date 2024-10-09

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,757

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (8)	Mezzo Soprano Bay J:William Buick T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:William Buick T:Simon & Ed Crisford	138	—	1-2543	83	93	72	14d	—	—	-3	23.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Eyecatching third over C&D two weeks ago and is knocking on the door.
4 (6)	Chalk Mountain Grey J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Kittow	J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Kittow	137	t	820111	82	95	72	7d	—	—	+17	36.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Completed a hat-trick since returning to the AW over C&D last Wednesday; penalty to carry.
7 (7)	Upscale Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	134	h	023212	81	90	46	19d	—	—	+15	27.8	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Showed improvement when second on her handicap debut over C&D last month.
8 (10)	Asimov Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	133	tp	471261	80	93	58	29d	—	—	+16	25.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Improved form when winning in first-time cheekpieces at Newcastle; trip query at 7f
6 (5)	D Flawless Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Jamie Spencer T:John & Thady Gosden	134	—	2-1304	81	91	44	19d	—	—	+5	13.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Had two of these rivals finish in front of her when fourth over C&D last month.
5 (2)	Hat Toss Chestnut J:Darragh Keenan T:James Owen	J:Darragh Keenan T:James Owen	136	—	336712	81	91	-	26d	—	—	+15	22.3	3.00/1	12/1 8%
In good form at Sandown; had AW form for previous yard and should go well
1 (1)	Aljari Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Tom Clover	J:Jack Mitchell T:Tom Clover	140	—	8-3785	85	94	76	50d	—	—	+4	10.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Close third over 6f here in January but disappointing since.
9 (3)	Robbo Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Charles Hills	J:Billy Loughnane T:Charles Hills	132	—	3-1058	79	90	45	67d	—	—	+4	11.3	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Won at Chelmsford in April but has finished last in three handicaps back on turf since.
11 (9)	Supreme King Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:David Evans	J:Richard Kingscote T:David Evans	130	—	842556	75	91	-	21d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+5	8.7	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Won at this track in March and at Doncaster in May; beaten eight times on turf since.
2 (11)	Completed Bay J:William Cox T:Paul Attwater	J:William Cox T:Paul Attwater	139	—	1-5283	86	89	46	19d	—	—	+15	16.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Made promising debut for her new connections when third over C&D last month.
10 (4)	Tyke Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	131	—	499109	76	91	70	102d	—	—	+10	12	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Won twice at Southwell AW in 2023 and got off the mark on turf at Doncaster in May.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Mezzo Soprano	9/4	5/2	9/4	9/4	5/2
Chalk Mountain	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Upscale	11/2	6/1	6/1	6/1	5/1
Asimov	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
D Flawless	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Hat Toss	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	12/1
Aljari	12/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Robbo	16/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	16/1
Supreme King	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Completed	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Tyke	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Chalk Mountain

36.7

OR: 8 Form: 23 Odds: 5.7

10/3

2nd

Upscale

27.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 16.4 Odds: 3.6

6/1

3rd

Asimov

25.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 15.5 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Mezzo Soprano

23.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 7 Odds: 8

5/2

Hat Toss

22.3

OR: 7.8 Form: 12.6 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Completed

16.5

OR: 9 Form: 7 Odds: 0.5

66/1

D Flawless

13.6

OR: 7.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Tyke

OR: 6.5 Form: 5 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Robbo

11.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.9

16/1

Aljari

10.5

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Supreme King

8.7

OR: 6.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Completed	86	89	46
Aljari	85	94	76
Mezzo Soprano	83	93	72
Chalk Mountain	82	95	72
Upscale	81	90	46
D Flawless	81	91	44
Hat Toss	81	91	—
Asimov	80	93	58
Robbo	79	90	45
Tyke	76	91	70
Supreme King	75	91	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Chalk Mountain	7d ago	Quick return
Mezzo Soprano	14d ago	Fit
Upscale	19d ago	Fit
D Flawless	19d ago	Fit
Completed	19d ago	Fit
Supreme King	21d ago	Fit
Hat Toss	26d ago	Fit
Asimov	29d ago	Fit
Aljari	50d ago	Fresh
Robbo	67d ago	Fresh
Tyke	102d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.